Weather and Forecasting,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
37(7), С. 1157 - 1168
Опубликована: Апрель 26, 2022
Abstract
Icelandic
volcanic
emissions
have
been
shown
historically
and
more
recently
to
an
impact
on
public
health
aviation
across
northern
western
Europe.
The
severity
of
these
impacts
is
governed
by
the
prevailing
weather
conditions
nature
eruption.
This
study
focuses
former
utilizing
existing
set
30
patterns
produced
Met
Office.
Associated
daily
historical
classifications
are
used
assess
which
most
likely
result
in
flow
from
Iceland
into
four
flight
information
regions
(FIRs)
covering
British
Isles
North
Atlantic,
may
lead
disruption
during
episodes.
High-risk
vary
between
FIRs,
with
a
total
14
impacting
at
least
one
FIR.
These
high-risk
types
predominantly
northwesterly
or
westerly
airspace.
Analysis
reveals
typical
duration
for
periods
3–5
days,
when
transitions
considered.
lasting
over
week
also
possible
all
FIRs.
Additionally,
winter
months
Knowledge
can
be
within
operational
probabilistic
pattern
forecasting
tools.
Combined
probabilities
derived
medium-range
(1–2
weeks
ahead)
provide
rapid
assessment
as
likelihood
Iceland.
application
illustrated
using
archived
forecast
data
2010
Eyjafjallajökull
Agriculture,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
13(8), С. 1508 - 1508
Опубликована: Июль 27, 2023
In
recent
years,
the
adverse
effect
of
climate
change
on
soil
properties
in
agricultural
sector
has
become
a
dreadful
reality
worldwide.
Climate
change-induced
abiotic
stresses
such
as
salinity,
drought
and
temperature
fluctuations
are
devastating
crops’
physiological
responses,
productivity
overall
yield,
which
is
ultimately
posing
serious
threat
to
global
food
security
agroecosystems.
The
applications
chemical
fertilizers
pesticides
contribute
towards
further
deterioration
rapid
changes
climate.
Therefore,
more
careful,
eco-friendly
sustainable
strategies
required
mitigate
impact
climate-induced
damage
sector.
This
paper
reviews
recently
reported
damaging
impacts
various
crops,
along
with
two
emerging
mitigation
strategies,
biochar
biostimulants,
light
studies
focusing
combating
worsening
deteriorated
environment
yields,
environment.
Here,
we
highlighted
agriculture
applying
an
aim
protecting
soil,
Environmental Technology & Innovation,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
28, С. 102809 - 102809
Опубликована: Июль 9, 2022
Tropospheric
ozone
(O3)
has
increased
globally
since
the
end
of
20th
century.
Its
formation
undergoes
complicated
photochemical
reactions
and
processes
in
lower
boundary
layer.
As
a
result,
changes
O3
levels
are
not
about
one
specific
factor
but
combined
process
other
effects
such
as
anthropogenic
emissions,
topographic
characteristics,
meteorological
influences.
Consequently,
published
studies
often
show
conflicting
findings
on
levels.
NOx
is
significant
precursors
generated
during
combustion
processes.
Therefore,
despite
efforts
emission
controls,
reducing
will
guarantee
downward
trend.
Furthermore,
weather
phenomena
(e.g.,
anticyclones
sea–land
breezes)
can
enhance
parameters
that
govern
transport
diffusion
precursors.
The
review
summarizes
current
knowledge
emissions
recent
years.
It
helps
to
understand
how
regional
features
influence
its
precursors,
which
beneficial
for
efficient
surface
evaluation
control.
Abstract
Since
2019,
Central
South
America
(CSA)
has
been
reeling
under
drought
conditions,
with
the
last
4
months
of
2022
receiving
only
44%
average
total
precipitation.
Simultaneously
to
drought,
a
series
record-breaking
heat
waves
affected
region.
The
rainfall
deficit
during
October–November-December
(OND)
is
highly
correlated
Niño3.4
index,
indicating
that
OND
partly
driven
by
La
Niña,
as
observed
in
previous
droughts
this
To
identify
whether
human-induced
climate
change
was
also
driver
deficit,
we
analysed
precipitation
over
most
impacted
Our
findings
revealed
pattern
decreased
past
40
years,
although
cannot
definitively
conclude
trend
exceeds
what
would
be
expected
from
natural
variations.
clarify
if
can
attributed
change,
looked
at
1-in-20-year
low
events
same
region
models.
models
show
severity
decreases
(i.e.
they
become
wetter,
opposite
weather
records),
again
not
significant
and
compatible
variability.
Therefore,
attribute
change.
Moreover,
our
analysis
effective
potential
(evapotranspiration
minus
rainfall)
shows
that,
models,
increase
temperature
does
compensate
for
but
offset
wetting,
lead
signal
However,
higher
temperatures
region,
which
have
water
availability
late
2022,
probably
reduced
period
observations,
increasing
agricultural
study
did
quantify
effect.
This
means
even
though
within
variability,
consequences
are
becoming
more
severe
due
strong
extreme
heat.
case
ongoing
CSA
clear
example
interplay
between
variability
importance
considering
those
aspects
associated
order
understand
particular
or
trends
regional
level.
Communications Earth & Environment,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
5(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 23, 2024
Abstract
Lightning
strikes,
snow,
and
wind
are
common
causes
of
power
system
failures.
Their
frequency
occurrence
varies
depending
on
weather
patterns
seasons.
Here,
we
analyse
the
thirty
pre-defined
daily
along
with
nearly
70,000
failures
in
United
Kingdom
between
2010
2019
to
investigate
predictability
weather-induced
outages.
We
identify
high-risk
pattern
transitions
for
all
Winter
characterized
by
high
speeds
precipitation
volumes
responsible
many
instances
outages
caused
wind,
gale,
lightning
strikes.
Weather
moderate
snowfall
often
linked
snow
ice.
Because
can
be
forecast
reliably
valuable
lead
time,
clear
links
specific
significantly
improve
preparedness
broader
European
distribution
network
operators
adverse
conditions.
In
recent
days,
the
adverse
effect
of
climate
change
on
soil
properties
in
agriculture
sector
is
a
dreadful
reality
worldwide.
Climate
change-induced
abiotic
stresses
such
as
salinity,
drought
and
temperature
fluctuations
are
devastating
crops’
physiological
responses,
productivity
overall
yield
which
ultimately
posing
serious
threat
to
global
food
security
agroecosystems.
The
applications
chemical
fertilizers
pesticides
contribute
towards
further
deterioration
rapid
climate.
Therefore,
more
careful,
eco-friendly
sustainable
strategies
required
mitigate
impact
climate-induced
damage
sector.
This
paper
reviews
recently
reported
damaging
impacts
various
crops
along
with
two
emerging
mitigation
strategies;
biochar
biostimulants,
light
studies
for
combating
worsening
deteriorated
environment
yields,
properties,
environment.
Here
we
highlighted
applying
protecting
soil,
Abstract
When
local
extreme
water
levels
surpass
defences,
the
consequences
can
be
devastating.
We
assess
importance
of
sea-level
rise
and
future
weather
pattern
changes
on
UK
coastal
flood
impacts.
Historical
classifications
are
matched
with
observed
skew
surges
significant
wave
heights.
Coastal-risk
patterns
then
defined
as
≥
1%
events
in
distribution
exceeding
warning
threshold.
combine
this
methodology
projections
frequency
occurrences,
to
determine
relative
each
risk.
A
deep
low-pressure
system
situated
west
Ireland
(WP29)
has
highest
probability
(6.3%)
Newlyn’s
present-day
threshold;
is
projected
increase
under
climate
change
46.2%
by
2050
RCP2.6.
This
work
found
that
associated
storm
increasing
decreasing
frequency;
a
synoptic
situation
causing
windy
conditions
north
(WP23)
will
>
40%
RCP8.5
end
century
(2079–2090).
combining
impact
changing
patterns,
study
dominates
risk
highly
linked
emission
scenarios.
The
need
for
successful
adaptation,
such
defence
improvements
early
systems,
become
even
more
important
higher
pathway.
most
increases
along
east
coast,
through
English
Channel
Devon
coastline.
Climate Services,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
30, С. 100375 - 100375
Опубликована: Апрель 1, 2023
Climate
services
must
provide
robust
estimates
of
future
changes
to
precipitation
extremes
inform
flood
risk
management
and
assess
the
resilience
existing
urban
drainage
systems
in
a
changing
climate.
We
use
an
ensemble
convection-permitting
UK
climate
projections,
UKCP
Local
estimate
return
levels
1–24
h
extremes,
combining
state-of-the-art
spatial
statistical
modelling.
produce
low,
central
high
level
uplifts
at
5
km
resolution
across
UK.
On
average
UK,
30y
1
24
is
projected
increase
by
30–45%
20–40%
respectively
2070
under
RCP8.5,
for
central-to-high
estimates.
Uplifts
are
consistently
higher
over
northern
For
here
than
official
guidance
some
parts
where
guidelines
pre-date
Local.
These
spatially-varying
given
durations
out
with
lower
longer
duration
extremes.
physical
explanations
these
patterns
variation
duration.
The
new
improve
on
previous
that
used
single
value
all
most
nations,
was
based
models
poor
representation
sub-daily
results
translate
latest
change
projections
into
tailored
adaptation
information
useful
suitable
water
industry
stakeholders.
This
critical
ensuring
we
benefit
from
advances
modelling
build
society
resilient
Journal of Hydrology,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
625, С. 130074 - 130074
Опубликована: Авг. 9, 2023
The
UK
has
experienced
recurring
hydrological
droughts
in
the
past
and
their
frequency
severity
are
predicted
to
increase
with
climate
change.
However,
quantifying
risks
of
extreme
is
challenging
given
short
observational
record,
multivariate
nature
large
internal
variability
system.
We
use
EC-Earth
time-slice
ensembles,
which
consist
2000
years
data
each
for
present-day,
2°C
3°C
conditions
relative
pre-industrial,
drive
models
river
catchments
Great
Britain
(GB)
obtain
a
set
plausible
droughts.
Since
future
warming
certain,
uncertainty
drought
mainly
associated
precipitation.
Estimates
unprecedented
extremes
show
that
chance
summer
month
year
drier
than
observed
driest
(1995)
projected
(from
9%
present-day
(PD)
18%
warmer
world
(3C)
southeast
England).
For
winter,
dry
winter
(1991-92)
slightly
decreases
10%
-
PD
8%
3C
England)
but
does
not
change
significantly
warming.
add
value
these
probabilistic
estimates
by
sampling
physical
storylines
sequences
characterised
spring-summers,
autumn-winters
consecutive
winters
.
Dry
spring-summers
estimated
become
primarily
driven
reduced
precipitation
summer.
may
wetter
general
trend
more
although
triggered
moderate
autumn-winter
deficits
worsen
higher
likelihood
being
followed
Similarly,
impacts
winters,
particular
risk
slow-responding
English
lowlands,
as
intervening
hotter
drier.
These
can
be
used
stress-test
systems
inform
decision-making.
Environmental Research Letters,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
18(6), С. 064048 - 064048
Опубликована: Май 17, 2023
Abstract
How
climate
change
will
affect
the
spatial
coherence
of
droughts
is
a
key
question
that
water
managers
must
answer
in
order
to
adopt
strategies
mitigate
impacts
on
resources.
Water
transfers
from
regions
with
excess
those
deficit
are
fundamental
such
strategies,
but
only
possible
if
both
not
simultaneously
under
drought
conditions—these
relationships
could
warming
world.
Here,
we
use
future
simulations
(under
RCP8.5)
streamflow
(186
catchments)
and
groundwater
level
(41
boreholes)
Enhanced
Future
Flows
Groundwater
(eFLaG)
dataset
analyse
projected
hydrological
at
national
scale,
Great
Britain
as
an
example.
Joint
conditional
probabilities
two
being
used
characterise
coherence.
The
results
sensitive
various
uncertainties,
including
way
defined.
However,
some
findings
emerge.
In
particular,
for
defined
based
current
conditions,
our
show
‘far
future’
(2050–2089)
expected
increase
during
summer
everywhere
country.
During
winter,
however,
may
South-East,
where
sharpest
rise
winter
likely
occur.
between
shows
more
mixed
picture,
dependant
season
region.
One
important
observation
that,
South-East
summer,
proportion
coincide
decrease.
These
provide
valuable
insight
help
inform
their
long-term
strategy
overcome
droughts,
feasibility
inter-region
conjunctive
(surface
groundwater)
schemes.
This
flexible
methodology
has
potential
be
applied
other
parts
world
shape
strategic
regional
investments
resilience
droughts.