Adaptation to compound climate risks: A systematic global stocktake

iScience, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 26(2), С. 105926 - 105926

Опубликована: Янв. 5, 2023

This article provides a stocktake of the adaptation literature between 2013 and 2019 to better understand how responses affect risk under particularly challenging conditions compound climate events. Across 39 countries, 45 response types hazards display anticipatory (9%), reactive (33%), maladaptive (41%) characteristics, as well hard (18%) soft (68%) limits adaptation. Low income, food insecurity, access institutional resources finance are most prominent 23 vulnerabilities observed negatively responses. Risk for security, health, livelihoods, economic outputs commonly associated risks driving Narrow geographical sectoral foci highlight important conceptual, sectoral, geographic areas future research way shape risk. When integrated within assessment management, there is greater potential advance urgency safeguards vulnerable.

Язык: Английский

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The role of local adaptive capacity in marine ecotourism scenarios

Tourism Management, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 107, С. 105039 - 105039

Опубликована: Сен. 10, 2024

Язык: Английский

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Integrating power, justice and reflexivity into transformative climate change adaptation

Global Environmental Change, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 91, С. 102981 - 102981

Опубликована: Фев. 19, 2025

Язык: Английский

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Hydrological Modelling and Climate Adaptation under Changing Climate: A Review with a Focus in Sub-Saharan Africa

Water, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 14(24), С. 4031 - 4031

Опубликована: Дек. 10, 2022

Empirical evidence continues to show that climate change remains a threat the stability of hydrologic system. As system interacts with cycle, one significant repercussion global warming includes changes in water availability at both regional and local scales. Climate adaptation is intrinsically difficult attain due dynamic earth lack comprehensive understanding future its associated uncertainties. Mostly developing countries, hampered by scarcity good quality adequate hydro-meteorological data. This article provides synopsis modelling chain applied investigate response under changing climate, which choosing appropriate models, downscaling techniques, emission scenarios, approach be used modelling. The conventional criteria for suitable hydrological model are discussed. advancement scenarios including latest Shared Socioeconomic Pathways their role modelling, impact assessment, adaptation, also highlighted. paper discusses uncertainties impacts plausible approaches reducing such Among outcomes this review include highlights studies on commonly models assessing particularly sub-Saharan Africa region some specific reviews southern Africa. Further, as human systems keep dominating within several ways, effective should involve coupling these may truly represent bidirectional feedback experienced modern world. concludes data key having robust measures, hence poorly gauged basins use artificial neural networks satellite datasets have shown successful tools, calibration validation.

Язык: Английский

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Role of Indigenous and local knowledge in seasonal forecasts and climate adaptation: A case study of smallholder farmers in Chiredzi, Zimbabwe

Environmental Science & Policy, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 145, С. 13 - 28

Опубликована: Апрель 2, 2023

Accessible, reliable and diverse sources of climate information are needed to inform change adaptation at all levels society, particularly for vulnerable sectors such as smallholder farming. Globally, many farmers use Indigenous knowledge (IK) local (LK) forecast weather climate; however, less is known about how the these forecasts connects decisions actions reducing risks. We examined role IK LK in seasonal forecasting broader decision-making Chiredzi, Zimbabwe. The data were collected from a sample 100 farmers. Seventy-three interviewed used forecasts, 32% relied solely on decision-making. Observations cuckoo birds, leaf-sprouting Mopane trees, high summer temperatures, Nimbus clouds main indicators forecasts. was significantly positively associated with increasing farmer age farmland size. Farmers using implemented, average, triple number measures compared not LK. These findings demonstrate widespread reliance strong positive link between implementation actions. This association usage may be farming communities throughout Africa globally. Recognition inclusion services important ensure their continued potential enhancing adaptation.

Язык: Английский

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Integrating CARE and FAIR Principles in the Digital Preservation of Indigenous Knowledge to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals

Advances in religious and cultural studies (ARCS) book series, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 197 - 230

Опубликована: Фев. 19, 2025

Preserving and disseminating indigenous knowledge in the digital age presents unique ethical challenges. There is a need to use frameworks such as CARE FAIR principles preservation of Indigenous knowledge. A literature review was conducted unpack how can be integrated into The databases searched were Scopus, Web Science, Google Scholar. findings show that integrating both require community-led governance models, culturally appropriate metadata systems, collaborative partnerships between communities, researchers, technologists. These approaches ensure groups retain authority over sharing while benefiting from advancements. This, emphasising there for paradigm shift respects epistemologies development technology prioritises communities by all stakeholders.

Язык: Английский

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Convergence of mechanistic modeling and artificial intelligence in hydrologic science and engineering

PLOS Water, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 2(8), С. e0000059 - e0000059

Опубликована: Авг. 7, 2023

Hydrology is a mature physical science based on application of first principles. However, the water system complex and its study requires analysis increasingly large data available from conventional novel remote sensing IoT sensor technologies. New data-driven approaches like Artificial Intelligence (AI) Machine Learning (ML) are attracting much “hype” despite their apparent limitations (transparency, interpretability, ethics). Some AI/ML applications lack in addressing explicitly important hydrological questions, focusing mainly “black-box” prediction without providing mechanistic insights. We present typology four main types problems dominant space time scales, review current tools challenges, identify opportunities for hydrology around three topics: management, insights knowledge extraction, modelling structure. Instead just prediction, we propose that can be powerful inductive exploratory dimension-reduction tool within rich toolchest to support development new theories address standing gaps changing systems. incorporate other forms structured non-structured traditional typically not considered process-based models. This help us further advance understanding, forecasting management systems, particularly at larger integrated scales with big call reimagining original definition AI only today’s focus learning, but decision analytics action rules, autonomous machines continuous cycle learning refinement context strong ethical, legal, social, economic constrains. For this, transdisciplinary communities practice will need forged investment public sector private engagement protect as common good under accelerated demand environmental change.

Язык: Английский

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Is indigenous knowledge serving climate adaptation? Evidence from various African regions

Development Policy Review, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 41(2)

Опубликована: Авг. 24, 2022

Summary Motivation Communities across the global south use their rich indigenous and local knowledge (ILK) to predict weather events climate hazards. ILK may assist efforts address change challenges in Africa make subsequent decisions regarding adaptation. Purpose The article documents evidence of ILK's potential reducing vulnerability and/or improving resilience communities. study also reflects on major barriers that hinder improved mainstreaming into adaptation strategies. Methods approach present uses two main methods: a literature review presentation case studies from sample African countries where informs options, including land‐tenure practices prediction. selected highlight historical legacy its effectiveness impacts change. Findings results indicate that, despite being acknowledged as valuable resource for adaptation, current national policies continent still show serious gaps effectively integrating systems within legal frameworks reduce vulnerability. Policy implications should be better integrated with modern strategies anticipate more effective responses. Both rural communities relevant government agencies complement strategies, so maximize contribution implementation policies.

Язык: Английский

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Farmers’ Perception of Climate Change and Its Impacts on Agriculture

Hydrology, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 9(12), С. 212 - 212

Опубликована: Ноя. 28, 2022

Climate change and climate variability drive rapid glacier melt snowpack loss, extreme precipitation temperature events, alteration of water availability in the Himalayas. There is increasing observational evidence impacts on resource agricultural productivity central Himalayan region. Here, we assess farmers’ perception its agriculture western Nepal. We interviewed 554 households conducted eight focus group discussions to collect perceptions rainfall characteristics, availability, onset duration different seasons, such changes their lives livelihoods. Our results indicate that rising annual summer temperatures are consistent with observations. Perception, however, contradicts observed trends winter temperature, as well annual, monsoon, precipitation. In addition, farmers increasingly facing incidences including rainfall, floods, landslides, droughts. These hazards often impact production, reducing household income exacerbating economic subsistence farmers. Integrated assessment hydrometeorological observations crucial improving informing design mitigation adaptation strategies.

Язык: Английский

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Climate change in South Africa: Risks and opportunities for climate-resilient development in the IPCC Sixth Assessment WGII Report

South African Journal of Science, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 118(9/10)

Опубликована: Сен. 26, 2022

South Africa is wrestling with increasing climate change impacts and how to respond.The 2022 IPCC Working Group II Report synthesises the latest evidence on impacts, vulnerability adaptation, what this means for climate-resilient development.In commentary, African authors reflect its key findings implications country.The commentary highlights challenges opportunities cities, food-water-energy-nature nexus, knowledge capacity strengthening (which includes services, literacy, indigenous local knowledge), finance, equity, justice social protection, development pathways.The piece closes a reflection research gaps requiring attention importance of urgently ramping up action secure liveable future all Africans.The Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change (IPCC) reports, published about every 7 years, present policyrelevant assessments causes consequences change, options preventing adapting change.South well represented in process, Dr Debra Roberts as (WGII) co-chair numerous lead contributing authors.In Invited Commentary, seven recent 2022: Impacts, Adaptation Vulnerability Sixth Assessment (henceforth 'WGII report') discuss risk Africa, identified report.The draws primarily Chapter 9 ('Africa') 1 , which 'presents clearest most comprehensive review [climate assessment issues on] continent ever contained an report' 2 .It also 6 ('Cities, Settlements Key Infrastructure') two synthesis chapters: 16 ('Key Risks Across Sectors Regions') 17 ('Decision-making Options Managing Risks').

Язык: Английский

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