Data injustice and attribution of drought events: implications for global climate policy
Climate Policy,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 1 - 16
Опубликована: Фев. 11, 2025
Язык: Английский
Climate change, hurricanes, and sovereign debt in the Caribbean basin
Climate and Development,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
unknown, С. 1 - 10
Опубликована: Март 7, 2025
Язык: Английский
The cost of flooding on housing under climate change in the Philippines: Examining projected damage at the local scale
Journal of Environmental Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
380, С. 124966 - 124966
Опубликована: Март 18, 2025
While
the
Philippines
has
made
significant
strides
in
proactive
disaster
risk
reduction
measures,
current
planning
actions
are
undertaken
primarily
based
on
historical
flood
risk.
There
gaps
understanding
how
escalating
impacts
of
climate
change
will
alter
dynamics.
This
study
examines
shifting
local
patterns
Municipality
Carigara
Leyte.
We
quantify
probabilistic
damage
residential
structures
for
early,
mid-,
and
late-term
scenarios
under
RCP4.5
RCP8.5
pathways.
By
utilising
localised
housing
vulnerability
functions,
we
assess
trends
at
a
household
level,
considering
concrete,
light
material,
elevated
material
typologies.
Our
results
indicate
3
%
decrease
future
damages
to
RCP
4.5
34
8.5
by
2100
attributable
100-year
events.
These
shifts
highlight
nuances
regional
changes
over
next
century.
The
findings
provide
insights
into
climate-risk
assessments
municipalities
might
be
established
as
entry
points
inform
policies
projects.
Through
mechanisms
such
Local
Disaster
Risk
Reduction
Management
Funds
(LDRRMF)
Philippines,
propose
methods
climate-informed
decision-making
government
units
minimise
scenarios.
Язык: Английский
Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts
Frontiers in Climate,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
6
Опубликована: Окт. 14, 2024
The
field
of
extreme
event
attribution
(EEA)
has
rapidly
developed
over
the
last
two
decades.
Various
methods
have
been
and
implemented,
physical
modelling
capabilities
generally
improved,
impact
emerged,
assessments
serve
as
a
popular
communication
tool
for
conveying
how
climate
change
is
influencing
weather
events
in
lived
experience.
However,
number
non-trivial
challenges
still
remain
that
must
be
addressed
by
community
to
secure
further
advancement
whilst
ensuring
scientific
rigour
appropriate
use
findings
stakeholders
associated
applications.
As
part
concept
series
commissioned
World
Climate
Research
Programme,
this
article
discusses
contemporary
developments
six
key
domains
relevant
EEA,
provides
recommendations
where
focus
EEA
should
concentrated
coming
decade.
These
are:
(1)
observations
context
EEA;
(2)
definitions;
(3)
statistical
methods;
(4)
(5)
attribution;
(6)
communication.
Broadly,
call
increased
capacity
building,
particularly
more
vulnerable
regions;
guidelines
assessing
suitability
models;
establishing
best-practice
methodologies
on
compound
record-shattering
extremes;
co-ordinated
interdisciplinary
engagement
develop
scaffolding
their
broader
applications;
ongoing
investment
To
address
these
requires
significant
multiple
fields
either
underpin
(e.g.,
monitoring;
modelling)
or
are
closely
related
events;
impacts)
well
working
consistently
with
experts
outside
science
generally.
if
approached
investment,
dedication,
coordination,
tackling
next
decade
will
ensure
robust
analysis,
tangible
benefits
global
community.
Язык: Английский
Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making
Frontiers in Climate,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
6
Опубликована: Дек. 18, 2024
The
World
Climate
Research
Programme
(WCRP)
envisions
a
future
where
actionable
climate
information
is
universally
accessible,
supporting
decision
makers
in
preparing
for
and
responding
to
change.
In
this
perspective,
we
advocate
enhancing
links
between
science
decision-making
through
better
more
decision-relevant
understanding
of
impacts.
proposed
framework
comprises
three
pillars:
science,
impact
decision-making,
focusing
on
generating
seamless
from
sub-seasonal,
seasonal,
decadal
century
timescales
informed
by
observed
events
their
link
has
strengthened
recent
years,
partly
owing
undeniable
impacts
arising
disastrous
weather
extremes.
Enhancing
involves
utilizing
lessons
past
extreme
implementing
impact-based
early
warning
systems
improve
resilience.
Integrated
risk
assessment
management
require
comprehensive
approach
that
encompasses
good
knowledge
about
possible
impacts,
hazard
identification,
monitoring,
communication
risks
while
acknowledging
uncertainties
inherent
predictions
projections,
but
not
letting
the
uncertainty
lead
paralysis.
importance
data
accessibility,
especially
Global
South,
underscores
need
coordination
resource
allocation.
Strategic
frameworks
should
aim
enhance
impact-related
open-access
services
around
world.
Continuous
improvements
predictive
modeling
observational
are
critical,
as
ensuring
remains
relevant
locally
globally.
Ultimately,
fostering
stronger
collaborations
dedicated
investments
process
tailor
will
societal
preparedness,
enabling
communities
navigate
complexities
changing
effectively.
Язык: Английский
Climate Change, Hurricanes, and Sovereign Debt in the Caribbean Basin
Опубликована: Янв. 8, 2024
Caribbean
Islands
are
exposed
to
hurricanes,
the
damages
of
which
projected
intensify
due
anthropogenic
climate
change.
The
region
is
also
highly
indebted.
We
focus
on
interaction
between
change,
and
public
debt.
investigate
what
typical
impact
hurricanes
debt
in
has
been
how
change
shaped
this
impact.
Our
findings
show
that
for
10
most
severe
storms,
average
increase
debt,
measured
as
difference
post
pre-storm
trends,
about
percent.
Three
years
after
such
a
storm,
levels
18
percent
higher
than
would
have
expected
otherwise.
Based
from
Extreme
Weather
Event
Attribution
(EEA)
research,
we
calculate
hurricane
attributable
amounts
an
3.8
stock
relative
level
at
time
event.
Язык: Английский