Temporal-spatial variation and regulatory mechanism of carbon budgets in territorial space through the lens of carbon balance: A case of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River urban agglomerations, China

Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 154, С. 110885 - 110885

Опубликована: Сен. 1, 2023

As China's largest cross-regional urban agglomerations, the middle reaches of Yangtze River agglomerations (MRYRUA) possess both significant societal carbon source volume and ecological sequestration capacity. Nevertheless, with uncontrolled expansion energy consumption activities industry migration from eastern coastal regions to inland cities, budget pattern territorial space is increasingly unbalanced in MRYRUA. To achieve low-carbon regulation, this study utilized land use data 31 cities within MRYRUA establish a "carbon source-carbon sink" quantification spatiotemporal exploration model, revealing spatial-temporal variation budgets 2005 2020. Furthermore, we developed balance indicator analysis system by employing offset rate (COR), productivity (CP), Gini coefficient, support coefficient (ESC), economic contribution (ECC), functional zoning was performed. Finally, using GM (1,1) derived for 2050 explored differentiated regulatory mechanisms under perspective. The results indicated that: (1) MRYRUA's have increased annually, displaying spatial distribution highest values central region, followed northwest, lowest southeast near water bodies. differentiation effects manifest as an east–west axial development trend, clustering demonstrating propensity outward dispersion northern hot spot radiation core. (2) COR has consistently remained below 10% decreased while CP shown yearly increase at accelerating rate. ESC ECC exhibit evident heterogeneity among cities. In response emission benefits carrying capacity reflected indicators, each city classified into zones, intensity control sink high-carbon optimization zones. (3) From 2020 2050, polarization trend continues intensify. Subsequently, established mechanism. This mechanism strengthens leading role zones green transition, moderately retains solid fixation capabilities, promotes transition research findings provide scientific basis formulating planning policies neutrality

Язык: Английский

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An input-output-based Bayesian neural network method for analyzing carbon reduction potential: A case study of Guangdong province

Journal of Cleaner Production, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 389, С. 135986 - 135986

Опубликована: Янв. 11, 2023

Язык: Английский

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Spatial and Temporal Variability Characteristics of Future Carbon Stocks in Anhui Province under Different SSP Scenarios Based on PLUS and InVEST Models

Land, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 12(9), С. 1668 - 1668

Опубликована: Авг. 25, 2023

With the rapid development of social economy, human activities have had a severe impact on environment. The global climate issue caused by CO2 emissions has attracted attention various countries around world, and reducing is urgent. This article simulates changes in carbon storage Anhui Province from 2030 to 2070 based SSP1-2.5, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-5.8 scenarios. First, land use data 2010, PLUS model was used simulate 2015, accuracy simulation results verified against real data. Then, were simulated future period under different SSP Finally, InVEST model, spatiotemporal calculated. research showed that, during 2070, spatial distribution three scenario simulations generally pattern high north south, low central region. Under SSP1-2.6 scenario, Province’s decreased 0.33 million tons, decrease 0.029%. SSP2-4.5 increased 0.25 an increase 0.021%. SSP5-8.5 1.54 0.133%. reasons for related areas arable land, forest grassland. study can provide reference low-carbon planning.

Язык: Английский

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Promoting sustainable development by mitigation of natural habitat quality decline through multifunctional urban land use: Insights from a multi-scenario simulation

Sustainable Cities and Society, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 110, С. 105563 - 105563

Опубликована: Май 31, 2024

Язык: Английский

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Balancing low-carbon and eco-friendly development: coordinated development strategy for land use carbon emission efficiency and land ecological security

Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 31(6), С. 9495 - 9511

Опубликована: Янв. 8, 2024

Язык: Английский

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