Futures, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 156, С. 103321 - 103321
Опубликована: Янв. 12, 2024
Язык: Английский
BioScience, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown
Опубликована: Окт. 8, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
61
Sustainability, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 15(9), С. 7243 - 7243
Опубликована: Апрель 26, 2023
The concept of nature-based solutions (NbS) has been endorsed by multiple international organizations as one the priority approaches to address climate-related challenges. These are versatile, and can simultaneously challenges such climate impacts, public health, inequality, biodiversity crisis, being uniquely suited for urban adaptation. NbS particularly relevant in developing world, where strategies should be self-reliant possible, reducing need technological processes that require expensive complex maintenance. also promote political, societal, cultural, ultimately, systems change. purpose this paper is present a literature review on use adaptation, identifying main opportunities, challenges, and, most specifically, knowledge gaps, which addressed subsequent research. identifies four types gaps adaptation: future uncertainty, lack site-specific technical design criteria, governance strategies, effectiveness assessment evaluation. To overcome local governments’ limitations, specific implementation structures considered, centered transfer within transdisciplinary participatory framework. developed partnership with planning entities, seeking consolidate these policies support social resilience institutional capacity. Therefore, adaptation initiated pilot projects urgency implementation, while allowing practices time adjust, building capacity at level, filling through effectiveness. climate-resilience tree species adequate was identified gap NbS.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
34
Global Challenges, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 8(1)
Опубликована: Дек. 20, 2023
Modern civilization relies on a complex, globally interconnected industrial agriculture system to produce food. Its unprecedented yields hinge external inputs like machinery, fertilizers, and pesticides, rendering it vulnerable disruptions in production international trade. Such disruption could be caused by large-scale damage the electrical grid. Solar storms, nuclear detonations upper atmosphere, pandemics, or cyber-attacks, cause this severe infrastructure. To assess impact of such global catastrophic infrastructure loss major food crops (corn, rice, soybean, wheat), we employ generalized linear model. The predictions show crop-specific yield reduction between 15% 37% phase 1, year after catastrophe, assuming rationed use fuel stocks. In 2, when all stocks are depleted, decrease 35%-48%. Soybean is less affected while experience strong declines 2. Europe, North South America, parts India, China, Indonesia face reductions, potentially up 75%, most African countries affected. These findings underscore necessity for preparation highlighting vulnerability system.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
22
World, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 4(3), С. 509 - 527
Опубликована: Авг. 11, 2023
Homo sapiens has evolved to reproduce exponentially, expand geographically, and consume all available resources. For most of humanity’s evolutionary history, such expansionist tendencies have been countered by negative feedback. However, the scientific revolution use fossil fuels reduced many forms feedback, enabling us realize our full potential for exponential growth. This natural capacity is being reinforced growth-oriented neoliberal economics—nurture complements nature. Problem: human enterprise a ‘dissipative structure’ sub-system ecosphere—it can grow maintain itself only consuming dissipating energy resources extracted from its host system, ecosphere, discharging waste back into host. The population increase one eight billion, >100-fold expansion real GWP in just two centuries on finite planet, thus propelled modern techno-industrial society state advanced overshoot. We are polluting biophysical basis own existence. Climate change best-known symptom overshoot, but mainstream ‘solutions’ will actually accelerate climate disruption worsen Humanity exhibiting characteristic dynamics one-off boom–bust cycle. global economy inevitably contract humanity suffer major ‘correction’ this century.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
20
International Journal of Science Education, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 1 - 22
Опубликована: Фев. 4, 2025
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
1
Social Sciences, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 12(3), С. 192 - 192
Опубликована: Март 21, 2023
This article presents the almost century-long history of development futures studies in a comprehensive review. Futures studies, rooted sociology and policy sciences, had become an academic discipline by 1960s. One major global communities representing discipline, World Studies Federation (WFSF), celebrates its 50th anniversary 2023. In 1970s, focus was placed on discourses problems preferred futures. then developed institutional community mature 1980s 1990s. Futurists already mutually shared theoretical perspectives, objectives, ethics, methods, produced empirical results. A wide range publications at that time synthesized foundations preceding results studies. From turn millennium, active discourse took place forthcoming role By time, theoretical, methodological, practical knowledge also appeared internationally well-documented curricula. Since around 2010, has been characterized foresight projects. Based notable trends identified research gaps, this formulates up-to-date expectations directions within which might develop future.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
16
European Journal of Futures Research, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 12(1)
Опубликована: Апрель 15, 2024
Abstract In honor of its 50th anniversary, the World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF) held XXV Conference in Paris. The conference provided a venue for reviewing earlier developments and reevaluating prospective directions futures field. Scientific-based studies has long history, drawing from variety fields including sociology, policy sciences, philosophy science, economic prognostics, environmental sustainability. became widely acknowledged as an academic discipline 1960s when it evident global scientific community. 1970s saw focus on challenges discussions about preferred futures. synthesis emerged 1980s 1990s, with critical evolutionary approaches contributing to advancement theoretical foundations. twenty-first century focuses anticipation literacy, development post-normal, metamodern, integral approaches, attainment foresight common practice. Future research is expected various aspects, artificial general intelligence (AGI), socio-technical transitions, singularity, sustainability, societal collapses, entrepreneurial innovation, energy futures, decolonization, negation post-prefix notions, systemic foresight, applied on-site foresight. activities are also include objects, challenges, problems that do not yet exist.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
5
Population and Environment, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 45(3)
Опубликована: Сен. 1, 2023
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
11
Futures, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 158, С. 103340 - 103340
Опубликована: Фев. 23, 2024
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
4
Trends in Ecology & Evolution, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 39(8), С. 734 - 744
Опубликована: Май 31, 2024
For five decades, paleontologists, paleobiologists, and ecologists have investigated patterns of punctuated equilibria in biology. Here, we step outside those fields summarize recent advances the theory evidence for equilibria, gathered from contemporary observations geology, molecular biology, genetics, anthropology, sociotechnology. Taken aggregate, these lead to a more general that refer as evolution. The quality datasets is beginning illustrate mechanics evolution way can be modeled across vast range phenomena, mass extinctions hundreds millions years ago possible future ahead Anthropocene. We expect study applicable beyond biological scenarios.
Язык: Английский
Процитировано
4