arXiv (Cornell University),
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2023
Antimicrobial
resistance
to
drugs
(AMR),
a
global
threat
human
and
animal
health,
is
often
regarded
as
resulting
from
cooperative
behaviour.
Moreover,
microbes
generally
evolve
in
volatile
environments
that,
together
with
demographic
fluctuations
(birth
death
events),
drastically
alter
population
size
strain
survival.
Motivated
by
the
need
better
understand
evolution
of
AMR,
we
study
time-varying
consisting
two
competing
strains,
one
drug-resistant
drug-sensitive,
subject
environmental
variability.
This
modelled
binary
carrying
capacity
randomly
switching
between
mild
harsh
conditions,
driving
fluctuating
volume
(total
amount
nutrients
antimicrobials
at
fixed
concentration),
thus
community
(number
resistant
sensitive
cells).
We
assume
that
AMR
shared
public
good
when
concentration
cells
exceeds
cooperation
threshold,
above
which
has
growth
advantage,
whereas
dominate
below
it.
Using
computational
means,
devising
an
analytical
treatment
(built
on
suitable
quenched
annealed
averaging
procedures),
fully
characterise
influence
eco-evolutionary
dynamics
notably
obtain
specific
fixation
long-lasting
coexistence
probabilities
function
variation
rate
threshold.
find
microbial
strains
tend
coexistence,
but
eventually
lead
extinction
or
for
small
large
values
respectively.
also
holds
dynamic
environments,
whose
properties
determine
timescale.
Journal of The Royal Society Interface,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
21(214)
Опубликована: Май 1, 2024
Recent
empirical
studies
have
revealed
that
social
interactions
among
agents
in
realistic
networks
merely
exist
intermittently
and
occur
a
particular
sequential
order.
However,
it
remains
unexplored
how
to
theoretically
describe
evolutionary
dynamics
of
multiple
strategies
on
temporal
networks.
Herein,
we
develop
deterministic
theory
for
studying
any
[Formula:
see
text]
pairwise
games
structured
populations
where
individuals
are
connected
organized
by
temporally
activated
edges.
In
the
limit
weak
selection,
derive
replicator-like
equations
with
transformed
payoff
matrix
characterizing
mean
frequency
each
strategy
varies
over
time,
then
obtain
critical
conditions
be
evolutionarily
stable
Interestingly,
re-scaled
is
linear
combination
original
an
additional
one
describing
local
competitions
between
pair
different
strategies,
whose
weights
solely
determined
network
topology
selection
intensity.
As
example,
apply
analysing
impacts
mini-ultimatum
game,
find
networked
population
structures
result
emergence
fairness.
Our
work
offers
theoretical
insights
into
subtle
effects
temporality
game
dynamics.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
122(14)
Опубликована: Март 31, 2025
Evolutionary
game
theory
(EGT)—overwhelmingly
employed
today
for
the
study
of
cooperation
in
various
systems,
from
microbes
to
cancer
and
insect
human
societies—started
with
seminal
1973
paper
by
Maynard
Smith
Price
showing
that
limited
animal
conflict
can
be
selected
at
individual
level.
Owing
explanatory
potential
this
enabled
powerful
machinery
soon-to-be-developed
replicator
dynamics,
EGT
took
off
an
accelerated
pace
began
shape
expectations
across
systems
scales.
But,
even
as
has
expanded
its
reach,
mathematical
foundations
development
adaptive
dynamics
inclusion
stochastic
processes,
equation
remains,
half
a
century
later,
most
widely
used
equation.
early
staying
power,
helped
set
both
baseline
terminology
field.
However,
much
like
original
paper,
rests
on
assumption
differences
reproduction
are
determined
only
payoff
(i.e.,
isolation,
all
individuals,
regardless
their
strategy,
have
identical
intrinsic
growth
rates).
Here,
we
argue
limits
scope
such
extent
warrant
not
just
more
deliberative
application
process,
but
also
reconsideration
broad
predictions
it
generated.
Simultaneously,
reestablish
dialog
ecology
mutually
fruitful,
e.g.,
providing
explanation
how
diverse
ecological
communities
assemble
evolutionarily.
Journal of Physics A Mathematical and Theoretical,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
57(26), С. 265003 - 265003
Опубликована: Май 13, 2024
Abstract
Antimicrobial
resistance
to
drugs
(AMR),
a
global
threat
human
and
animal
health,
is
often
regarded
as
resulting
from
cooperative
behaviour.
Moreover,
microbes
generally
evolve
in
volatile
environments
that,
together
with
demographic
fluctuations
(birth
death
events),
drastically
alter
population
size
strain
survival.
Motivated
by
the
need
better
understand
evolution
of
AMR,
we
study
time-varying
consisting
two
competing
strains,
one
drug-resistant
drug-sensitive,
subject
environmental
variability.
This
modelled
binary
carrying
capacity
randomly
switching
between
mild
harsh
conditions,
driving
fluctuating
volume
(total
amount
nutrients
antimicrobials
at
fixed
concentration),
thus
community
(number
resistant
sensitive
cells).
We
assume
that
AMR
shared
public
good
when
concentration
cells
exceeds
cooperation
threshold
,
above
which
has
growth
advantage,
whereas
dominate
below
it.
Using
computational
means,
devising
an
analytical
treatment
(built
on
suitable
quenched
annealed
averaging
procedures),
fully
characterise
influence
eco-evolutionary
dynamics
notably
obtain
specific
fixation
long-lasting
coexistence
probabilities
function
variation
rate
threshold.
find
microbial
strains
tend
coexistence,
but
eventually
lead
extinction
or
for
small
large
values
threshold,
respectively.
also
holds
dynamic
environments,
whose
properties
determine
timescale.
Journal of The Royal Society Interface,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
20(208)
Опубликована: Ноя. 1, 2023
There
is
a
pressing
need
to
better
understand
how
microbial
populations
respond
antimicrobial
drugs,
and
find
mechanisms
possibly
eradicate
antimicrobial-resistant
cells.
The
inactivation
of
antimicrobials
by
resistant
microbes
can
often
be
viewed
as
cooperative
behaviour
leading
the
coexistence
sensitive
cells
in
large
static
environments.
This
picture
is,
however,
greatly
altered
fluctuations
arising
volatile
environments,
which
communities
commonly
evolve.
Here,
we
study
eco-evolutionary
dynamics
population
consisting
an
strain
drugs
time-fluctuating
environment,
modelled
carrying
capacity
randomly
switching
between
states
abundance
scarcity.
We
assume
that
resistance
(AMR)
shared
public
good
when
number
exceeds
certain
threshold.
Eco-evolutionary
thus
characterised
demographic
noise
(birth
death
events)
coupled
environmental
cause
bottlenecks.
By
combining
analytical
computational
means,
determine
conditions
for
long-lived
fixation
both
strains,
characterise
fluctuation-driven
AMR
eradication
mechanism,
where
experience
bottlenecks
extinction.
also
discuss
possible
applications
our
findings
laboratory-controlled
experiments.
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory),
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Июль 15, 2024
Abstract
Evolutionary
game
theory
(EGT)—overwhelmingly
employed
today
for
the
study
of
cooperation
in
a
variety
systems,
from
microbes
to
cancer
and
insect
human
societies—started
with
seminal
1973
paper
by
John
Maynard
Smith
George
Price
[1],
which
they
probed
logic
limited
war
animal
conflict.
If
fighting
was
essential
get
access
mates
territory,
then
why
did
fights
rarely
lead
serious
injury?
developed
show
that
can
be
selected
at
individual
level.
Owing
explanatory
potential
this
first
paper,
enabled
elegant
powerful
machinery
soon-to-be-developed
replicator
dynamics
[2,
3],
EGT
took
off
an
accelerated
pace
began
shape
expectations
across
systems
scales.
But,
even
as
it
expanded
its
reach
animals
[4–8]
[9–11],
field
not
revisit
fundamental
assumption
subsequently
got
weaved
into
very
fabric
framework—that
differences
reproduction
are
determined
only
payoff
(i.e.
isolation,
all
individuals,
regardless
strategy,
were
assumed
have
identical
intrinsic
growth
rates).
Here,
we
argue
original
substantially
limits
scope
EGT.
because
is
explicitly
presented
caveat,
predictions
been
empirically
tested
broadly
real
where
rates
generally
equal.
That
has,
unsurprisingly,
led
puzzling
findings
contentious
debates
[7,
12–15].
Flagging
high
confusion
arise
applications
empirical
designed
suggesting
way
forward
constitute
our
main
motivation
work.
In
process,
reestablish
dialog
ecology
fruitful
both
ways,
e.g.,
providing
so-far-elusive
explanation
how
diverse
ecological
communities
assemble
evolutionarily.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
121(30)
Опубликована: Июль 17, 2024
Humans
update
their
social
behavior
in
response
to
past
experiences
and
changing
environments.
Behavioral
decisions
are
further
complicated
by
uncertainty
the
outcome
of
interactions.
Faced
with
uncertainty,
some
individuals
exhibit
risk
aversion
while
others
seek
risk.
Attitudes
toward
may
depend
on
socioeconomic
status;
preferences
over
time,
which
will
feedback
behavior.
Here,
we
study
how
shape
evolution
behaviors.
We
extend
game-theoretic
framework
for
behavioral
incorporate
about
payoffs
variation
respond
this
uncertainty.
find
that
different
attitudes
can
substantially
alter
long-term
outcomes,
as
optimize
rewards
from
In
a
standard
setting
without
risk,
example,
defection
always
overtakes
well-mixed
population
engaged
classic
Prisoner's
Dilemma,
whereas
reverse
direction
evolution,
promoting
cooperation
defection.
When
along
strategic
behaviors,
oscillate
between
periods
dominated
risk-averse
cooperators
risk-seeking
defectors.
Our
analysis
provides
systematic
account
modulate,
even
coevolve
with,
an
uncertain
world.
The American Naturalist,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
unknown, С. 000 - 000
Опубликована: Сен. 18, 2024
AbstractTheoretical
studies
from
diverse
areas
of
population
biology
have
shown
that
demographic
stochasticity
can
substantially
impact
evolutionary
dynamics
in
finite
populations,
including
scenarios
where
traits
are
disfavored
by
natural
selection
nevertheless
increase
frequency
through
the
course
evolution.
Here,
we
analytically
describe
eco-evolutionary
populations
first
principles.
We
investigate
how
noise-induced
effects
alter
fate
which
total
size
may
vary
stochastically
over
time.
Starting
a
generic
birth-death
process,
derive
set
stochastic
differential
equations
(SDEs)
individuals
bearing
discrete
traits.
Our
recover
well-known
descriptions
dynamics,
such
as
replicator-mutator
equation,
Price
and
Fisher's
fundamental
theorem
infinite
limit.
For
our
SDEs
reveal
predictably
bias
trajectories
to
favor
certain
traits,
phenomenon
call
"noise-induced
biasing."
show
biasing
acts
two
distinct
mechanisms,
"direct"
"indirect"
mechanisms.
While
direct
mechanism
be
identified
with
classic
bet-hedging
theory,
indirect
is
more
subtle
consequence
frequency-
density-dependent
stochasticity.
lead
evolution
proceeding
direction
opposite
predicted
By
extending
generalizing
some
standard
genetics,
thus
appears
alongside,
interacts
with,
well-understood
forces
neutral
drift
determine
nonconstant
size.
New Journal of Physics,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
25(12), С. 123010 - 123010
Опубликована: Ноя. 16, 2023
Abstract
Microbial
populations
generally
evolve
in
volatile
environments,
under
conditions
fluctuating
between
harsh
and
mild,
e.g.
as
the
result
of
sudden
changes
toxin
concentration
or
nutrient
abundance.
Environmental
variability
(EV)
thus
shapes
long-time
population
dynamics,
notably
by
influencing
ability
different
strains
microorganisms
to
coexist.
Inspired
evolution
antimicrobial
resistance,
we
study
dynamics
a
community
consisting
two
competing
subject
twofold
EV.
The
level
varies
time,
favouring
growth
one
strain
low
drug
other
when
is
high.
We
also
model
time-changing
resource
abundance
randomly
switching
carrying
capacity
that
drives
size
community.
While
dominates
static
environment,
show
species
coexistence
possible
presence
By
computational
analytical
means,
determine
environmental
which
long-lived
it
almost
certain.
Notably,
circumstances
demographic
fluctuations
promote,
hinder,
coexistence.
how
make-up
phase
average
each
depend
on