This
paper
studies
the
impact
of
US-China
tariff
war
on
China,
using
high-frequency
night
lights
data
and
grid-level
measures
exposure.
Exploiting
within-grid
variation
over
time
controlling
extensively
for
grid-specific
contemporaneous
trends,
we
find
that
each
one-percentage-point
increase
in
exposure
to
US
tariffs
was
associated
with
a
0.59%
reduction
night-time
luminosity.
highly
skewed
across
locations:
Grids
negligible
direct
accounted
70%
China's
population.
But
tail
2.5%
population
highest
saw
an
implied
2.52%
(1.62%)
decrease
income
per
capita
(manufacturing
employment)
relative
unaffected
grids.
These
effects
were
moreover
concentrated
locations
high
commuting
openness.
By
contrast,
do
not
significant
from
retaliatory
tariffs,
offer
evidence
several
channels
through
which
imported
inputs
mitigated.
The Journal of Economic Perspectives,
Год журнала:
2017,
Номер
31(1), С. 117 - 140
Опубликована: Янв. 30, 2017
In
this
paper,
we
document
basic
facts
regarding
public
debates
about
controversial
political
issues
on
Chinese
social
media.
Our
documentation
is
based
a
dataset
of
13.2
billion
blog
posts
published
Sina
Weibo—the
most
prominent
microblogging
platform—during
the
2009–2013
period.
primary
finding
that
shockingly
large
number
highly
sensitive
topics
were
and
circulated
For
instance,
find
millions
discussing
protests,
these
are
informative
in
predicting
occurrence
specific
events.
We
an
even
larger
with
explicit
corruption
allegations,
predict
future
charges
individuals.
findings
challenge
popular
view
authoritarian
regime
would
relentlessly
censor
or
ban
Instead,
interaction
government
media
seems
more
complex.
Citizens
have
long
taken
to
the
streets
demand
change,
expressing
political
views
that
may
otherwise
be
suppressed.Protests
produced
change
at
local,
national,
and
international
scales,
including
spectacular
moments
of
social
transformation.We
document
five
new
empirical
patterns
describing
1.2
million
protest
events
across
218
countries
between
1980
2020.First,
autocracies
weak
democracies
experienced
a
trend
break
in
protests
during
Arab
Spring.Second,
movements
also
rose
importance
following
Spring.Third,
geographically
diffuse
over
time,
spiking
their
peak,
before
falling
off.Fourth,
country's
year-to-year
economic
performance
is
not
strongly
correlated
with
protests;
individual
values
are
predictive
participation.Fifth,
US,
China,
Russia
most
over-represented
by
share
academic
studies.We
discuss
each
pattern's
connections
existing
literature
anticipate
paths
for
future
work.
Regional Science Policy & Practice,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
16(5), С. 100044 - 100044
Опубликована: Май 1, 2024
This
study
uses
Chinese
firm
export
data
to
investigate
the
heterogeneous
impact
of
economic
policy
uncertainty
(EPU)
faced
by
firms
on
recovery,
and
then
explores
moderating
effect
regional
digital
economy.
We
find
that
rise
in
EPU
due
external
shocks
weakens
firms'
recovery.
By
reducing
costs
improving
margins,
development
economy
mitigates
this
weakening
effect,
but
is
pronounced
more
productive
firms.
These
findings
provide
insights
for
supply
chain
stability
under
uncertainty,
thus
promoting
collaborative
real-economy
