Coevolutionary dynamics via adaptive feedback in collective-risk social dilemma game

eLife, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 12

Опубликована: Май 19, 2023

Human society and natural environment form a complex giant ecosystem, where human activities not only lead to the change in environmental states, but also react them. By using collective-risk social dilemma game, some studies have already revealed that individual contributions risk of future losses are inextricably linked. These works, however, often use an idealistic assumption is constant affected by behaviors. Here, we develop coevolutionary game approach captures coupled dynamics cooperation risk. In particular, level population affects state risk, while turn influences individuals' behavioral decision-making. Importantly, explore two representative feedback forms describing possible effect strategy on namely, linear exponential feedbacks. We find can be maintained keeping at certain fraction or forming evolutionary oscillation with independently type. However, such outcome depends initial state. Taken together, two-way coupling between collective actions essential avoid tragedy commons. More importantly, critical starting portion cooperators what really need for guiding evolution toward desired direction.

Язык: Английский

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Incorporating human behaviour into Earth system modelling

Nature Human Behaviour, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 6(11), С. 1493 - 1502

Опубликована: Ноя. 16, 2022

Язык: Английский

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Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences, Год журнала: 2022, Номер 377(1857)

Опубликована: Июнь 27, 2022

Global warming, habitat loss and overexploitation of limited resources are leading to alarming biodiversity declines. Ecosystems complex adaptive systems that display multiple alternative states can shift from one another in abrupt ways. Some these tipping points have been identified predicted by mathematical computational models. Moreover, scales involved potential mitigation or intervention scenarios tied particular levels complexity, cells human–environment coupled systems. In dealing with a biosphere where humans part complex, endangered ecological network, novel theoretical engineering approaches need be considered. At the centre most research efforts is biodiversity, which essential maintain community resilience ecosystem services. What done mitigate, counterbalance prevent points? Using 30-year window, we explore recent sense, preserve restore as well number proposed interventions (from afforestation bioengineering) directed mitigate reverse collapse. The year 2050 taken representative future horizon combines time scale deep changes will occur solutions might effective. This article theme issue ‘Ecological complexity biosphere: next 30 years’.

Язык: Английский

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Social-ecological system research in a changing world: State of the art and future challenges

Journal of Cleaner Production, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 144725 - 144725

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

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A framework for addressing the interconnectedness of early warning to action and finance to strengthen multiscale institutional responses to climate shocks and disasters

Climate Risk Management, Год журнала: 2025, Номер unknown, С. 100689 - 100689

Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2025

Язык: Английский

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Health and equity implications of individual adaptation to air pollution in a changing climate

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 121(5)

Опубликована: Янв. 16, 2024

Future climate change can cause more days with poor air quality. This could trigger alerts telling people to stay inside protect themselves, potential consequences for health and equity. Here, we study the in US quality over this century due fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), who they may affect, how respond. We find increase by 1 mo per year eastern United States 2100 quadruple on average. They predominantly affect areas high Black populations leakier homes, exacerbating existing inequalities impacting those less able adapt. Reducing emissions offer significant annual benefits ($5,400 person) mitigating effect of pollution its associated risks early death. Relying adapt, instead, would require them inside, doors windows closed, an extra 142 d year, at average cost $11,000 person. It appears likelier, however, that will achieve minimal protection without policy adaptation rates. Boosting net benefits, even alongside deep emission cuts. New policies could, example: reduce costs; infiltration improve indoor quality; awareness adaptation; provide measures working or living outdoors. emissions, conversely, lowers everyone’s need protects cannot Equitably protecting human from under requires both mitigation adaptation.

Язык: Английский

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Bioeconomia para quem?: bases para um desenvolvimento sustentável na Amazônia

Опубликована: Июнь 11, 2024

A argumentação desta obra já se inicia no título, com a veemente e bem-vinda pergunta: Bioeconomia Para Quem? As respostas desdobram-se em doze robustos ensaios produzidos por trinta dois autores de instituições acadêmicas pesquisa sediadas Norte, Nordeste Sudeste do Brasil. bioeconomia é um conhecimento abrangente ramificações múltiplas. Algumas constam coletiva, cada qual tratada ensaio específico. Mas há diversas outras bioeconomias, entre as quais que relaciona biomassa, cadeia sucroenergética, o refino demais desdobramentos na indústria. Impõe--se, portanto, como dever comedimento, reconhecer magnitude extensão tema nos reúne assumir vamos trabalhar apenas parte uma totalidade ampla complexa, desenvolve para fortalecer Revolução Verde neste vasto planeta habitamos cabe preservar. Este livro trata muitos outros assuntos, está claramente exposto Sumário. Sem fugir ao rigor dos conceitos, torna-se imperioso enfatizar função social da Amazônia. Todos os oferecem subsídios inovadores, bem além sabido. Tudo reflete novo, páginas livro. O leitor, seja ele estudioso ou cidadão comum, tem nas mãos, diante olhos, importante produção, prazerosa construtiva. Boa leitura.

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Quantifying the global stability and transition dynamics of a coupled human–environment system via a landscape-flux approach

Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 35(3)

Опубликована: Март 1, 2025

Human and environmental systems should not be viewed in isolation from each other but as a complex integrated system since humans only influence ecosystem services functions also respond to changes the ecosystem. Additionally, stochastic perturbations play crucial role natural systems, factors associated with social ecological can significantly affect dynamics of coupled models, such noise-induced tipping. In this paper, we propose human-environment model noisy disturbances that includes forest conservation opinions within population expansion harvesting ecosystems. We investigate how stochasticity triggers critical transitions between high low cover states (or stable oscillatory state) using fitting parameters old-growth forests Oregon. Based on landscape-flow theory non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, quantify global stability robustness equilibria limit cycles barrier height average flux. find state weakens, becomes increasingly noise intensity increases. Conversely, an increase injunctive norms favors state. Moreover, sufficiently small protection cost will allow maintained at level. Finally, sensitivity analysis is conducted, revealing key affecting states.

Язык: Английский

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The Beneficial Interaction Between Human Well-Being and Natural Healthy Ecosystems: An Integrative Narrative Approach

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 22(3), С. 427 - 427

Опубликована: Март 14, 2025

This study highlights the lack of research on relationship between ecosystem services, climate change, and human well-being. The experiences with COVID-19 pandemic show value natural environment for people's We propose a framework that fosters an integrative approach to enhance our connection nature, which is vital tackling current environmental challenges. reviewed over 70 articles 160 references from databases such as Elsevier, ScienceDirect, Dialnet, MDPI, Taylor & Francis, focusing correlation pro-environmental behavior emotional bonds nature. Increasing awareness nature crucial fostering sustainable ecosystems. To deepen understanding how this influences well-being health, we advocate application specific neuroscience artificial intelligence techniques. presents compendium prospective topics future investigation analysis. In particular, it underscores significance development effective policy practical applications in realm conservation efforts.

Язык: Английский

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Self-organized institutions in evolutionary dynamical-systems games

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 122(15)

Опубликована: Апрель 11, 2025

Social institutions are systems of shared norms and rules that regulate people’s behaviors, often emerging without external enforcement. They provide criteria to distinguish cooperation from defection establish sustain cooperation, shaped through long-term trial error. While principles for successful have been proposed, the mechanisms underlying their emergence remain poorly understood. To address this, we introduce evolutionary dynamical-systems game theory couples actions with environmental dynamics explores evolution cognitive frameworks decision-making. We analyze a minimal model common-pool resource management, where resources grow naturally harvested. Players use decision-making functions determine whether harvest at each step, based on peer monitoring. After evolution, enable players detect selfish harvesting punish it by overharvesting, which degrades environment. This process leads self-organization classify as cooperative, defective, or punitive. The emergent “cooperativeness” punishment serve institutions. players’ states converge distinct modes characterized limit-cycle attractors, representing temporal regularities in socio-ecological systems. These stable despite slight variations individual decision-making, illustrating stability measure robustness functions, defined capacity keep dominance against invasion. It is revealed plasticity, ability adjust cope diverse opponents, allows such robustness. work introduces foundational concepts games elucidates social

Язык: Английский

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