ICES Journal of Marine Science,
Год журнала:
2020,
Номер
77(5), С. 1879 - 1892
Опубликована: Апрель 10, 2020
Abstract
Climate
change
is
rapidly
affecting
the
seasonal
timing
of
spatial
demographic
processes.
Consequently,
resource
managers
require
information
from
models
that
simultaneously
measure
seasonal,
interannual,
and
variation.
We
present
a
spatio-temporal
model
includes
annual,
variation
in
density
then
highlight
two
important
uses:
(i)
standardizing
data
are
spatially
unbalanced
within
multiple
seasons
(ii)
identifying
interannual
changes
(phenology)
population
demonstrate
these
uses
with
contrasting
case
studies:
three
bottom
trawl
surveys
for
yellowtail
flounder
(Limanda
ferruginea)
Northwest
Atlantic
Ocean
1985
to
2017
pelagic
tows
copepodite
stage
3+
copepod
(Calanus
glacialis/marshallae)
densities
eastern
Bering
Sea
1993
2016.
The
analysis
illustrates
how
can
be
used
infer
hot
spots
an
area
not
sampled
one
or
more
surveys.
assimilates
seasonally
samples
estimate
annual
index
abundance
identifies
positive
correlation
between
this
cold-pool
extent.
conclude
by
discussing
additional
potential
emphasize
their
ability
identify
climate-driven
shifts
fish
movement
ecosystem
productivity.
ICES Journal of Marine Science,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
80(7), С. 1829 - 1853
Опубликована: Авг. 3, 2023
Abstract
Machine
learning
covers
a
large
set
of
algorithms
that
can
be
trained
to
identify
patterns
in
data.
Thanks
the
increase
amount
data
and
computing
power
available,
it
has
become
pervasive
across
scientific
disciplines.
We
first
highlight
why
machine
is
needed
marine
ecology.
Then
we
provide
quick
primer
on
techniques
vocabulary.
built
database
∼1000
publications
implement
such
analyse
ecology
For
various
types
(images,
optical
spectra,
acoustics,
omics,
geolocations,
biogeochemical
profiles,
satellite
imagery),
present
historical
perspective
applications
proved
influential,
serve
as
templates
for
new
work,
or
represent
diversity
approaches.
Then,
illustrate
how
used
better
understand
ecological
systems,
by
combining
sources
Through
this
coverage
literature,
demonstrate
an
proportion
studies
use
learning,
pervasiveness
images
source,
dominance
classification-type
problems,
shift
towards
deep
all
types.
This
overview
meant
guide
researchers
who
wish
apply
methods
their
datasets.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
27(14), С. 3200 - 3217
Опубликована: Апрель 9, 2021
Climate-driven
changes
in
the
distribution
of
species
are
a
pervasive
and
accelerating
impact
climate
change,
despite
increasing
research
effort
this
rapidly
emerging
field,
much
remains
unknown
or
poorly
understood.
We
lack
holistic
understanding
patterns
processes
at
local,
regional
global
scales,
with
detailed
explorations
range
shifts
southern
hemisphere
particularly
under-represented.
Australian
waters
encompass
world's
third
largest
marine
jurisdiction,
extending
from
tropical
to
sub-Antarctic
zones,
have
warming
rates
twice
average
north
two
four
times
south.
Here,
we
report
results
multi-taxon
continent-wide
review
describing
observed
predicted
redistribution
around
coastline,
highlight
critical
gaps
knowledge
impeding
our
of,
response
to,
these
considerable
changes.
Since
were
first
reported
region
2003,
198
nine
Phyla
been
documented
shifting
their
distribution,
87.3%
which
poleward.
However,
there
is
little
standardization
methods
metrics
shifts,
both
hindered
by
baseline
data.
Our
demonstrate
importance
historical
data
sets
underwater
visual
surveys,
also
that
approximately
one-fifth
studies
incorporated
citizen
science.
These
findings
emphasize
important
role
public
has
had,
can
continue
play,
change.
Most
coastal
fish
sub-tropical
temperate
systems,
while
systems
general
explored.
Moreover,
most
distributional
only
described
poleward
boundary,
few
considering
warmer,
equatorward
limit.
Through
identifying
limitations,
highlights
future
opportunities
for
strategic
improve
representation
climate-impact
research.
Journal of Operational Oceanography,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
14(sup1), С. 1 - 185
Опубликована: Авг. 20, 2021
Chapter
1:
CMEMS
OSR5 1 1.1
IntroductionKarina
von
Schuckmann
and
Pierre-Yves
Le
Traon 1 1.2
Knowledge
data
for
international
Ocean
governancePaula
Kellett,
Brittany
E.
Alexander
Jo...
Frontiers in Marine Science,
Год журнала:
2020,
Номер
7
Опубликована: Июль 29, 2020
Spatial
distributions
of
marine
fauna
are
determined
by
complex
interactions
between
environmental
conditions
and
animal
behaviors.
As
climate
change
leads
to
warmer,
more
acidic,
less
oxygenated
oceans,
species
shifting
away
from
their
historical
distribution
ranges,
these
trends
expected
continue
into
the
future.
Correlative
Species
Distribution
Models
(SDMs)
can
be
used
project
future
habitat
extent
for
species,
with
many
different
statistical
methods
available.
However,
it
is
vital
assess
how
behave
under
novel
before
using
models
management
advice,
consider
whether
projections
based
on
techniques
biologically
reasonable.
In
this
study,
we
built
SDMs
adults
larvae
two
ecologically
important
pelagic
fishes
in
California
Current
System:
Pacific
sardine
(Sardinops
sagax)
northern
anchovy
(Engraulis
mordax).
We
five
SDM
methods,
ranging
simple
(thermal
niche
model)
(artificial
neural
networks).
Our
results
show
that
some
trained
data
collected
2003
2013
lost
substantial
predictive
skill
when
applied
observations
recent
years,
ocean
temperatures
associated
a
heatwave
were
outside
range
measurements.
This
decrease
was
particularly
apparent
adult
sardine,
which
showed
non-stationary
relationships
catch
locations
sea
surface
temperature
through
time.
While
shifted
markedly
during
heatwave,
largely
maintained
spatiotemporal
distributions.
suggest
correlative
environment
become
unreliable
anomalous
conditions.
Understanding
underlying
physiology
therefore
essential
construction
robust
rapidly
changing
environments.
Developing
offer
skillful
predictions
such
as
anchovy,
migratory
include
separate
sub-stocks,
may
challenging.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
28(22), С. 6586 - 6601
Опубликована: Авг. 5, 2022
Projecting
the
future
distributions
of
commercially
and
ecologically
important
species
has
become
a
critical
approach
for
ecosystem
managers
to
strategically
anticipate
change,
but
large
uncertainties
in
projections
limit
climate
adaptation
planning.
Although
distribution
are
primarily
used
understand
scope
potential
change-rather
than
accurately
predict
specific
outcomes-it
is
nonetheless
essential
where
why
can
give
implausible
results
identify
which
processes
contribute
uncertainty.
Here,
we
use
series
simulated
distributions,
an
ensemble
252
models,
three
regional
ocean
projections,
isolate
influences
uncertainty
from
earth
system
model
spread
ecological
modeling.
The
simulations
encompass
marine
with
different
functional
traits
preferences
more
broadly
address
resource
manager
fishery
stakeholder
needs,
provide
true
state
evaluate
projections.
We
present
our
relative
degree
environmental
extrapolation
historical
conditions,
helps
facilitate
interpretation
by
modelers
working
diverse
systems.
found
associated
models
exceed
generated
diverging
(up
70%
total
2100),
that
this
result
was
consistent
across
traits.
Species
increased
through
time
related
extrapolated
into
novel
conditions
moderated
how
well
captured
underlying
dynamics
driving
distributions.
predictive
power
remained
relatively
high
first
30
years
alignment
period
stakeholders
make
strategic
decisions
based
on
information.
By
understanding
sources
uncertainty,
they
change
at
forecast
horizons,
recommendations
projecting
under
global
change.
Species
distribution
models
(SDMs)
are
widely
used
to
relate
species
occurrence
and
density
local
environmental
conditions,
often
include
a
spatially
correlated
variable
account
for
spatial
patterns
in
residuals.
Ecologists
have
extended
SDMs
varying
coefficients
(SVCs),
where
the
response
given
covariate
varies
smoothly
over
space
time.
However,
SVCs
see
relatively
little
use
perhaps
because
they
remain
less
known
relative
other
SDM
techniques.
We
therefore
review
ecological
contexts
can
improve
interpretability
descriptive
power
from
SDMs,
including
responses
regional
indices
that
represent
teleconnections;
density‐dependent
habitat
selection;
detectability;
context‐dependent
interactions
with
unmeasured
covariates.
then
illustrate
three
additional
examples
detail
using
vector
autoregressive
spatio‐temporal
(VAST)
model.
First,
decadal
trends
model
identifies
arrowtooth
flounder
Atheresthes
stomias
Bering
Sea
1982
2019.
Second,
trait‐based
joint
highlights
role
of
body
size
temperature
community
assembly
Gulf
Alaska.
Third,
an
age‐structured
walleye
pollock
Gadus
chalcogrammus
contrasts
cohorts
broad
distributions
(1996
2009)
those
more
constrained
(2002
2015).
conclude
extend
address
wide
variety
be
better
understand
range
processes,
e.g.
dependence,
population
dynamics.
Ecological Informatics,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
81, С. 102634 - 102634
Опубликована: Май 11, 2024
Large-scale
modeling
of
environmental
variables
is
an
increasingly
complex
but
necessary
task.
In
this
paper,
we
review
the
literature
on
using
machine
learning
to
cope
with
challenges
associated
spatial
autocorrelation.
Our
focus
was
studies
in
which
researchers
predicted
a
supervised
regression
algorithm
that
accounted
for
autocorrelation
any
part
pipeline
from
data
exploration
model
validation.
Methods
included
explicit
covariates,
splitting
training–testing,
calculations,
and
independent
exploratory
analysis.
Authors
most
often
analysis
had
no
impact
values.
We
concluded
there
seems
be
overall
systematic
approach
how
account
models.
selected
studies,
appropriate
method
depended
specific
characteristics
study.
Using
covariates
training-testing
provided
more
insights
into
method's
applicability.
summarize
these
provide
considerations
selecting
method.
Ecology and Evolution,
Год журнала:
2020,
Номер
10(12), С. 5759 - 5784
Опубликована: Май 11, 2020
Abstract
Species
distribution
models
(SDMs)
are
important
management
tools
for
highly
mobile
marine
species
because
they
provide
spatially
and
temporally
explicit
information
on
animal
distribution.
Two
prevalent
modeling
frameworks
used
to
develop
SDMs
generalized
additive
(GAMs)
boosted
regression
trees
(BRTs),
but
comparative
studies
have
rarely
been
conducted;
most
rely
presence‐only
data;
few
explored
how
features
such
as
characteristics
affect
model
performance.
Since
the
majority
of
BRTs
predict
habitat
suitability,
we
first
compared
GAMs
that
presence/absence
response
variable.
We
then
results
from
these
suitability
density
(animals
per
km
2
)
built
with
a
subset
data
here
previously
received
extensive
validation.
both
explanatory
power
(i.e.,
goodness
fit)
predictive
performance
novel
dataset)
taxonomically
diverse
suite
cetacean
using
robust
set
systematic
survey
(1991–2014)
within
California
Current
Ecosystem.
Both
were
successful
at
describing
overall
patterns
throughout
study
area
considered,
when
predicting
data,
exhibited
substantially
greater
than
BRTs,
likely
due
different
variables
fitting
algorithms.
Our
an
improved
understanding
some
strengths
limitations
developed
two
methods.
These
can
be
by
modelers
developing
resource
managers
tasked
spatial
determine
best
technique
their
question
interest.
PLoS ONE,
Год журнала:
2020,
Номер
15(2), С. e0228065 - e0228065
Опубликована: Фев. 5, 2020
Understanding
the
distribution
of
life's
variety
has
driven
naturalists
and
scientists
for
centuries,
yet
this
been
constrained
both
by
available
data
models
needed
their
analysis.
Here
we
compiled
over
67,000
marine
terrestrial
species
used
artificial
neural
networks
to
model
richness
with
state
variability
climate,
productivity,
multiple
other
environmental
variables.
We
find
diversity
is
better
predicted
drivers
than
diversity,
that
can
be
a
smaller
set
Ecological
mechanisms
such
as
geographic
isolation
structural
complexity
appear
explain
residuals
also
identify
regions
processes
deserve
further
attention
at
global
scale.
Improving
estimates
relationships
between
patterns
biodiversity,
support
them,
should
help
in
efforts
mitigate
impacts
climate
change
provide
guidance
adapting
life
Anthropocene.