Research Square (Research Square),
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Сен. 27, 2023
Abstract
Context:
Long-term
farmland
abandonment
is
increasing
fuel
hazard
in
many
mountainous
landscapes
of
the
Mediterranean
Basin.
Combined
with
ongoing
climate
change,
fire
activity
and
regimes
may
change
future,
thus
challenging
management
these
regions.
Objectives:
To
assess
effects
fire-smart
strategies
on
landscape
dynamics,
regulation
capacity
(FRC)
regime
under
long-term
land
scenarios.
Methods:
We
applied
LANDIS-II
model
to
simulate
fire-landscape
dynamics
(RCP
4.5
8.5
scenarios)
(2020-2050)
according
three
focused
prevention
(compared
a
business-as-usual
(BAU)
strategy
based
suppression)
fire-prone
Portugal.
Results:
Fire
increased
fire-adapted
forests
agroforestry
systems
decreased
dominance
shrublands
croplands,
thereby
fostering
heterogeneity
fragmentation.
FRC
over
time,
particularly
RCP
BAU.
Fire-smart
prevented
larger
intense
fires
compared
BAU,
although
less
effectively
8.5.
Shifts
historical
are
expected
future
(increasing
burned
area
frequency),
more
markedly
BAU
strategy.
Conclusions:
performed
better
than
averting
current
intensification.
Merging
forest-
silvopasture-based
promising
approach
taming
activity.
Our
work
underlined
importance
decreasing
buffer
impact
global
mountain
landscapes.
Journal of Environmental Management,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
337, С. 117707 - 117707
Опубликована: Март 27, 2023
In
southern
Europe,
land
abandonment
and
an
unbalanced
investment
toward
fire
suppression
instead
of
prevention
has
gradually
increased
wildfire
risk,
which
calls
for
a
paradigm
change
in
management
policies.
Here
we
combined
scenario
analysis,
landscape
modelling,
economic
tools
to
identify
land-use
policies
would
reduce
the
expected
wildfire-related
losses
Transboundary
Biosphere
Reserve
'Gerês-Xurés'
(Spain-Portugal).
To
do
so,
applied
least-cost-plus-net-value-change
approach
estimated
net
changes
damages
based
on
their
implications
2010–2050
period
five
ecosystem
services:
agriculture,
pasture,
timber,
recreation
climate
regulation.
Four
scenarios
were
considered:
(1)
Business
as
Usual
(BAU);
(2)
fire-smart,
fostering
more
fire-resistant
(less
flammable)
and/or
fire-resilient
landscapes
(fire-smart);
(3)
High
Nature
Value
farmlands
(HNVf),
wherein
extensive
agriculture
is
reversed;
(4)
combination
HNVf
fire-smart.
best
cost
savings,
but
it
generates
lowest
present
value
societal
benefits
from
fact,
most
efficient
with
discounted
costs
services
+
fire-smart
scenario,
also
savings
agricultural
expansion,
lead
significant
reduction
timber
recreational
benefits.
Therefore,
reverting
through
recultivation
promoting
tree
species
way
hazard.
this
sense,
payments
should
reward
farmers
landowners
role
prevention.
This
study
improves
understanding
financial
derived
reducing
spending
damage
by
undertaking
strategies,
can
be
essential
enhance
local
stakeholders'
support
Payments
Ecosystem
Services
International Journal of Wildland Fire,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
unknown
Опубликована: Янв. 1, 2023
Extreme
wildfires
are
expected
to
increase
in
Southern
Europe,
due
climate
change
and
rural
abandonment.
Fire
management
is
focused
on
suppression,
which
accelerates
the
transition
more
flammable
landscapes.
Here,
we
synthesise
knowledge
acquired
over
'FirESmart'
project
(https://firesmartproject.wordpress.com).
Our
findings
show
how
agroforestry
policies
could
benefit
biodiversity
while
providing
further
fire
suppression
opportunities.
The
EU
Green
Deal
offers
an
opportunity
incorporate
'fire-smartness'
into
upcoming
policies.
Still,
if
these
fail
at
reversing
abandonment,
use
of
enhance
rewilding
tree-planting
as
'climate-smart'
strategies
fire-prone
mountains
Europe.
As
wildfires
become
more
frequent
and
severe
in
the
face
of
global
environmental
change,
it
becomes
crucial
not
only
to
assess,
prevent,
suppress
them
but
also
manage
aftermath
effectively.
Given
temporal
interconnections
between
these
issues,
we
explored
concept
“wildfire
science
loop”—a
framework
categorizing
wildfire
research
into
three
stages:
“before”,
“during”,
“after”
wildfires.
Based
on
this
partition,
performed
a
systematic
review
by
linking
particular
topics
keywords
each
stage,
aiming
describe
one
quantify
volume
published
research.
The
results
from
our
identified
substantial
imbalance
landscape,
with
post-fire
stage
being
markedly
underrepresented.
Research
focusing
is
1.5
times
(or
46%)
less
prevalent
than
that
“before”
1.8
77%)
“during”
stage.
This
discrepancy
likely
driven
historical
emphasis
prevention
suppression
due
immediate
societal
needs.
Aiming
address
overcome
imbalance,
present
perspectives
regarding
strategic
agenda
enhance
understanding
processes
outcomes,
emphasizing
socioecological
impacts
management
recovery
multi-level
transdisciplinary
approach.
These
proposals
advocate
integrating
knowledge-driven
burn
severity
ecosystem
mitigation/recovery
practical,
application-driven
strategies
policy
development.
supports
comprehensive
spans
short-term
emergency
responses
long-term
adaptive
management,
ensuring
landscapes
are
better
understood,
managed,
restored.
We
emphasize
critical
importance
“after-fire”
breaking
negative
planning
cycles,
enhancing
practices,
implementing
nature-based
solutions
vision
“building
back
better”.
Strengthening
balanced
focused
will
ability
close
loop
involved
improve
alignment
international
agendas
such
as
UN’s
Decade
Ecosystem
Restoration
EU’s
Nature
Law.
By
addressing
can
significantly
restore
ecosystems,
resilience,
develop
suited
challenges
rapidly
changing
world.
Regional Environmental Change,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
24(1)
Опубликована: Янв. 13, 2024
Abstract
Fire
is
a
fundamental
social-ecological
process,
but
combination
of
changing
climate,
land
use
and
values
at
risk
increasing
the
incidence
large
wildfires
with
high
societal
biodiversity
impacts.
Academic
practitioner
understanding
now
converging
around
need
to
manage
fire
as
an
outcome
intersecting
governance
regimes,
comprising
geohistorically
defined
institutions
decision-making
pathways
shaped
by
earlier
wildfires.
We
investigate
this
proposition
through
case
study
Italy,
country
greatly
affected
wildfire
characterised
strong
organisational,
socio-cultural
geographical
variation
nationally.
To
best
our
knowledge,
first
collecting
analysing
qualitative
data
on
how
different
national
sub-national
procedures
interrelate
promote
particular
management
strategies,
support
or
impede
adaptive
change.
Participants
in
key
agencies
were
consulted
across
seven
nationally
representative
regions.
Findings
show
highly
fragmented
institutional
structure,
where
policy
responsibilities
are
increasingly
allocated
disparate
organisations
variety
scales.
Local
stakeholder
participation
has
been
displaced
shift
extra-local
actors
networks.
While
formally
committed
adopting
precautionary
approach
risk,
practice,
emergency
response
remains
default
choice,
result
patchy
uncoordinated
legislation.
Notably,
wider
international
(EU)
regulatory
context
plays
muted
role
governing
present
results
novel
action
research
agenda
for
Italy
southern
Europe
more
generally,
emphasising
urgent
develop
new
anticipatory
systems
closer
integration
cross-scale
arrangements.
Fire,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
6(12), С. 457 - 457
Опубликована: Дек. 1, 2023
Integrating
fire
into
land
management
is
crucial
in
fire-prone
regions.
To
evaluate
the
effectiveness
and
efficiency
of
prescribed
(PF),
we
employed
REMAINS
model
NW
Iberia’s
Transboundary
Biosphere
Reserve
Gerês-Xurés.
We
tested
three
levels
treatment
effort
for
shrubland
grassland,
employing
spatial
allocation
strategies:
random
distribution,
prioritization
high-wildfire-risk
zones,
creating
fuel
breaks
by
utilizing
existing
road
network.
These
approaches
were
assessed
isolation
combination
with
land-use
scenarios:
Business-as-usual
(representing
rural
abandonment
trends),
High
Nature
Value
farmland
(reversing
abandonment),
Fire-Smart
forest
(promoting
fire-resistant
landscapes).
Our
results
confirm
that
PF
effective
reducing
future
wildfires
(reductions
up
to
36%),
leverage
values
ranging
from
0.07
0.45.
Strategic
allocation,
targeting
wildfire-risk
areas
networks,
essential
maximizing
fire’s
(leverage
0.32
0.45;
i.e.,
approximately
3
ha
decrease
subsequent
wildfire
1
ha).
However,
treatments
yield
best
when
integrated
policies
promoting
‘fire-smart’
landscapes
(reaching
1.78
under
‘HNVf
conversion).
recommendations
strengthen
prevention
enhance
landscape
resilience
Ecological Processes,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
13(1)
Опубликована: Авг. 1, 2024
Abstract
Background
Long-term
farmland
abandonment
has
increased
fuel
build-up
in
many
Euro-Mediterranean
mountainous
regions.
The
high
hazard
these
landscapes,
combined
with
ongoing
climate
change,
is
increasing
the
frequency
of
extreme
wildfires,
thus
altering
contemporary
fire
regimes.
Mitigating
loss
landscape’s
capacity
to
regulate
large
and
intense
fires
crucial
prevent
future
harmful
effects
fires.
As
such,
effective
strategies
manage
fire-prone
landscapes
are
needed.
Yet,
further
understanding
their
performance
under
global
change
scenarios
required.
This
study
assessed
fire-smart
management
on
landscape
dynamics,
regulation
(FRC),
regime
a
Mediterranean
Portugal
(30,650
ha)
undergoing
long-term
land
scenarios.
For
that,
we
applied
LANDIS-II
model
(RCP
4.5
8.5)
(2020–2050)
according
three
focused
prevention
compared
business-as-usual
(BAU)
strategy
based
suppression.
Results
Future
activity
dynamics
resulted
changes
that
fostered
heterogeneity
fragmentation
favoured
fire-adapted
forests
agroforestry
systems
while
decreasing
dominance
shrublands
croplands.
FRC
decreased
over
time,
particularly
RCP
8.5
BAU
strategy.
In
turn,
better
prevented
than
strategy,
but
effectiveness
8.5.
burned
area
frequency,
which
predicts
shift
from
regimes
more
markedly
Conclusions
Fire-smart
outperformed
averting
current
intensification.
Merging
forest-
silvopasture-based
most
promising
approach
taming
activity.
Our
underlines
planning
policies
mountain
must
integrate
decrease
buffer
impact
Environmental Science & Policy,
Год журнала:
2024,
Номер
157, С. 103776 - 103776
Опубликована: Май 14, 2024
In
recent
decades,
extreme
wildfire
seasons
worldwide
have
disrupted
coupled
human
and
natural
systems
owing
to
both
changing
climatic
conditions
inadequate
land
fire
management
policies.
Given
that
wildfires
are
expected
become
more
frequent,
the
number
of
relevant
scientific
studies
has
also
boomed
in
years.
Simultaneously,
shifts
approaches
resulted
development
new
policies
vice
versa.
Originating
from
diverse
fields,
terminology
used
research
policy
communities
is
far
consistent,
which
hinders
science-based,
up-to-date
engagement
between
researchers
policymakers.
Hence,
this
study
aims
harmonize
on
key
concepts
establish
a
typology
for
systematically
classifying
all
actions
observed
literature.
We
conducted
scoping
literature
review
developed
cyclical
analytical
framework,
called
ring-of-fire,
drawing
conceptions
public
policy,
respectively.
Consequently,
we
propose
criteria
establishing
common
dialogue
actors
by
providing
system
presenting
reference
definitions.
Furthermore,
present
results
geographical
regions
regarding
discuss
use
"fire
suppression"
concept
given
its
ambiguity.
This
highlights
importance
consistent
interpreting
differences
types.
hope
removing
linguistic
uncertainty
management-related
will
result
rigorous
terms
among
scientists
while
clarifying
their
communication
scientists,
policymakers,
broader
public.
Journal of Environmental Management,
Год журнала:
2025,
Номер
387, С. 125839 - 125839
Опубликована: Май 23, 2025
Enhancing
stakeholder
acceptance
of
marine
protected
areas
(MPAs)
is
key
to
fulfilling
the
30
×
Target,
ocean-related
Sustainable
Development
Goals,
and
UN
Decade
Ocean
Science
for
(2021-2030).
These
require
MPAs
not
merely
as
management
interventions,
but
also
social-ecological
systems
(SESs),
where
effectiveness
complex
coupling
social
ecological
through
interactions.
However,
relationships
between
perceived
are
often
indirect
mediated,
while
traditional
models
can
yield
statistical
instabilities,
risking
false
conclusions.
This
article
tentatively
proposes
a
partially
informative
Bayesian
posterior
framework
with
three
steps
five
criteria,
using
theoretically
based
regulator
formula
an
inverse-Wishart
prior
in
penalized
likelihood
function
stricter
estimates.
Using
field
surveys
remote
sensing
data
China's
Sousa
chinensis
MPAs,
study
explores
proposed
perceptions.
estimates
improved
model
convergence,
positive
definiteness
nonsingularity,
revealing
average
63
%
underestimation
standard
errors.
Monte
Carlo
bootstrapping
suggested
chain
mediation
layered
mechanisms,
whereby
related
stakeholder-MPA
interaction.
Practical
implications
include
socially
effective
conservation,
community-based
activities,
monitoring
by
scientific
community.
The
more
methods
may
offer
preliminary
insights
broader
biological
conservation
settings
practices,
subject
contextual
adaptations.