Prediction of Land Use Change and Carbon Storage in Lijiang River Basin Based on InVEST-PLUS Model and SSP-RCP Scenario DOI Creative Commons
Jing Jing, Feili Wei, Hong Jiang

и другие.

Land, Год журнала: 2025, Номер 14(3), С. 460 - 460

Опубликована: Фев. 23, 2025

Global climate change and changes in land use structures during rapid urbanization have profoundly impacted ecosystem carbon storage. Previous studies not combined different scenarios patterns to predict Using from both the InVEST-PLUS model SSP-RCP, with multi-source remote sensing data, this study takes Lijiang River Basin as area explore dynamic storage under scenarios. The findings are follows: (1) From 2000 2020, cultivated construction increased, while forest significantly decreased, lowering 4331.404 km2 4111.936 km2. This mainly manifests significant transformation of into lands. Under scenarios, lands will continue expand, decrease, grassland increase. (2) Total decreased changing most significantly, for a total reduction 5,540,612.13 tons, followed by water area. Regardless future scenario, experience decreasing trend; decline reserves is SSP585 scenario smallest SSP126 slight increases even appearing some regions. (3) perspective change, large-scale expansion process has occupied large amount ecological land, such forests grasslands, main reason basin. global temperature increase caused high-emission (SSP585) may exceed optimal growth plants, inhibit absorption capacity vegetation, thus reduce fixation grassland. Therefore, maintain long-term goals sustainable development, should be prioritized strengthen protection resources northern central regions Basin, balance relationship between urbanization, avoid occupation excessive improve sink potential These research results can provide scientific basis optimization spatial patterns, restoration protection, enhancement “double carbon” goal.

Язык: Английский

Impacts of climate and land use change on terrestrial carbon storage: A multi-scenario case study in the Yellow River Basin (1992–2050) DOI
Haoyang Wang,

Lishu Wu,

Yongsheng Yue

и другие.

The Science of The Total Environment, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 930, С. 172557 - 172557

Опубликована: Апрель 20, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

22

Urbanization-led land cover change impacts terrestrial carbon storage capacity: A high-resolution remote sensing-based nation-wide assessment in Pakistan (1990–2020) DOI
Mirza Waleed, Muhammad Sajjad, Muhammad Shareef Shazil

и другие.

Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 105, С. 107396 - 107396

Опубликована: Дек. 20, 2023

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

30

The Response of Carbon Stocks to Land Use/Cover Change and a Vulnerability Multi-Scenario Analysis of the Karst Region in Southern China Based on PLUS-InVEST DOI Open Access

Shuanglong Du,

Zhongfa Zhou, Denghong Huang

и другие.

Forests, Год журнала: 2023, Номер 14(12), С. 2307 - 2307

Опубликована: Ноя. 24, 2023

Quantitatively revealing the response of carbon stocks to land use change (LUCC) and analyzing vulnerability ecosystem stock (ECS) services are great significance for maintaining cycle ecological security. For this study, China’s Guizhou Province was study area. Land data in 2000, 2010, 2020 were selected explore impacts LUCC on multiple scenarios by combining PLUS InVEST models then ECS services. The results show that forest plays an important role improving karst plateau mountainous areas. In 2000–2020, expansion offset reduced built-up land, greatly regional function. Following natural trend (NT), total will decrease 1.86 Tg; however, under protection (EP) measures, service performs a positive function LUCC. Focusing socioeconomic development (ED) increase service. future, area size should be increased, restricted better improve

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

25

Spatiotemporal Patterns and Coupling Coordination Analysis of Multiscale Social–Economic–Ecological Effects in Ecologically Vulnerable Areas Based on Multi-Source Data: A Case Study of the Tuha Region, Xinjiang Province DOI Creative Commons
Y. Kou,

S.O. Chen,

Kefa Zhou

и другие.

Land, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(3), С. 282 - 282

Опубликована: Фев. 24, 2024

Ecologically fragile areas are confronted with the contradiction between economic development and ecological protection, especially in Tuha region (Turpan Hami), where extremely vulnerable environment limits local sustainable development. To address this, this study utilizes POI (Point of Interest) data, land use, socioeconomic statistical data to achieve spatial quantification indicators on a kilometer grid scale, constructing multi-factor, multi-dimensional evaluation system for effects based SDGs (Sustainable Development Goals). The entropy method, comprehensive coupling coordination degree model, geographical detector method used analyze relationships systems at different scales factors influencing system’s degree. results indicate that from 2010 2020, economic, social, region, as well their scores, exhibited similarity. showed an upward trend, social displayed inverted U-shaped trend rising then declining, while presented declining increasing. At county closely approximates index, showing continuous trajectory. Compared Turpan city, Hami Yizhou district, exhibits best degree, growth is most significant Gaochang district. main grain production GDP (gross domestic product). This provides new perspective indicators, which great significance balancing protection promoting coupled coordinated society, economy, ecology ecologically areas.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

8

SEA for better climate adaptation in the face of the flood risk: Multi-scenario, strategic forecasting, nature-based solutions DOI
Xiaoling Qin, Shifu Wang, Meng Meng

и другие.

Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 106, С. 107495 - 107495

Опубликована: Апрель 6, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

7

Assessment of regional Ecosystem Service Bundles coupling climate and land use changes DOI Creative Commons
Hao Su, Mingxi Du, Qiuyu Liu

и другие.

Ecological Indicators, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 169, С. 112844 - 112844

Опубликована: Ноя. 16, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

7

Spatiotemporal Variation Characteristics of Ecosystem Carbon Storage in Henan Province and Future Multi-Scenario Simulation Prediction DOI Creative Commons
Meng Li, Jincai Zhang,

Huishan Gao

и другие.

Land, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 13(2), С. 185 - 185

Опубликована: Фев. 4, 2024

In response to a series of problems brought about by rapid economic development, such as global warming and the continuous deterioration ecological environment, China has taken initiative shoulder responsibility major country continued contribute Chinese wisdom solutions goal “carbon peak carbon neutrality” at an early date. this paper, Henan Province been selected study area, changes in land use storage from 2000 2020 have analyzed spatially temporally. The PLUS model is used predict future under different scenarios, InVEST estimate corresponding scenarios. results showed that (1) During 2000–2020, farmland decreasing trend, grassland construction trend then increasing woodland trend. From 2020, Henan’s overall downward each year, with mainly western southern regions province, spatial distribution high west low east. (2) Under normal development scenario (SSP2-RCP4.5) 2030 2050, area basically while upward annually, priority (SSP5-RCP8.5). was smallest protection (SSP1-RCP2.6). provide basis for decision-making regarding low-carbon circular developments rational optimal Henan.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Assessment of the impact of land use/land cover change on carbon storage in Chengdu, China, in the context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, 2000–2030 DOI
Hao Yuan, Zhihua Zhang, Dongdong Feng

и другие.

Environment Development and Sustainability, Год журнала: 2024, Номер unknown

Опубликована: Апрель 15, 2024

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Driving mechanisms and multi-scenario simulation of land use change based on National Land Survey Data: a case in Jianghan Plain, China DOI Creative Commons
Heng Zhou,

Mingdong Tang,

Jun Huang

и другие.

Frontiers in Environmental Science, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 12

Опубликована: Июль 24, 2024

The Jianghan Plain is simultaneously responsible for ecological protection, food security and urbanization, land use conflicts are prominent. Revealing the driving mechanism of use/cover change (LUCC) simulating pattern can help to coordinate in future. Utilizing National Land Survey Data (NLSD) Jiangling County (2011–2020) patch-generating simulation (PLUS) model, this paper analyzed characteristics evolution, applied random forest classification (RFC) analyze mechanism, simulated 2035 under three scenarios natural development, planning guidance protection through Markov Cellular Automaton based on multiple seeds (CARS) models, proposed several countermeasures. study found that: 1) From 2011 2020, town construction increased, village land, agricultural decreased. 2) factors LUCC were socio-economic factors, spatial descending order. 3) In scenarios, trend expansion, encroachment inevitable by 2035. 4) It imperative actively advocate large-scale mechanization informatization production, encourage repurposing idle inefficiently used facilitate multi-purpose utilization, implement a policy locally balancing occupation compensation cultivated land. 5) When employing PLUS model simulate LUCC, using continuous NLSD yielded more accurate results than remote sensing image interpretation data. This offers theoretical basis coordinated development Plain, presents method enhance accuracy model.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

6

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Future of Carbon Storage in Resource-Based Chinese Province: A Case Study from Shanxi Using PLUS–InVEST Model Prediction DOI Open Access
Yingwen Jiao, Yuhui Wang,

Chenghong Tu

и другие.

Sustainability, Год журнала: 2024, Номер 16(11), С. 4461 - 4461

Опубликована: Май 24, 2024

Resource exploitation markedly alters land use and ecological carbon storage, posing risks to sinks food security. This study analyzes land-use change from 1990 2020 in the resource-based province of Shanxi, China. By introducing a mineral resource driver, PLUS model was used predict four scenarios: natural development (ND), cropland protection (CP), (EP), dual ecology (DP). The spatial temporal evolutions storage were then analyzed using InVEST model. Forests predominantly distributed mountainous areas, with croplands southerly central flat construction lands around cities, mining sporadically across Shanxi. From 2020, grasslands decreased, while forest, construction, increased. Carbon decreased continuously, total loss 15.1 × 106 t. High-value areas Lüliang, Taihang, Taiyue Mountains, low-value more populous southern regions. predicted decline by 2035 under ND CP scenarios exceed that EP DP scenarios. scenario projected an increase 4.93 t 2035. realizes maintains security, providing theoretical reference for achieving neutrality high-quality sustainable Shanxi Province.

Язык: Английский

Процитировано

5