International Journal of Climatology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
40(5), С. 2674 - 2685
Опубликована: Окт. 14, 2019
Abstract
The
global
temperature
has
increased
approximately
0.9°C
over
the
past
50
years
and
is
projected
to
continue
increase.
Many
efforts
have
been
taken
investigate
evolutionary
dynamics
of
climate
classification
zones
in
response
rising
temperature.
However,
changing
spatial
patterns
remain
poorly
understood.
It
thus
desired
that
unobserved
characteristics
patterns,
such
as
aggregation
subdivision,
are
explored
from
landscape
perspective.
Here,
we
demonstrate
undergone
a
process
during
100
this
dynamic
expected
future.
effect
especially
evident
Arctic,
Tibet,
East
Africa.
We
find
tropical,
arid,
temperate,
cold
climates
aggregating
while
polar
zone
exhibits
subdivision.
Furthermore,
our
analysis
demonstrates
clear
with
latitudinal
feature.
should
pay
enough
attention
phenomenon
patch
pattern,
which
will
undoubtedly
help
us
deepen
understanding
change
further
explore
feedback
relationship
between
biological
systems.
Biogeosciences,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
18(18), С. 5223 - 5230
Опубликована: Сен. 27, 2021
Abstract.
Europe
was
affected
by
an
extreme
drought
in
2018,
compounding
with
extensive
heat
wave
the
same
and
subsequent
years.
Here
we
provide
a
first
assessment
of
impacts
this
event
had
on
forest
disturbance
regimes
Europe.
We
find
that
2018
caused
unprecedented
levels
across
large
parts
Europe,
persisting
up
to
2
years
post-drought.
The
pushed
edge
their
past
range
variation,
especially
central
eastern
Increased
were
associated
low
soil
water
availability
further
modulated
high
vapor
pressure
deficit
from
2020.
also
document
emergence
novel
spatiotemporal
patterns
following
(i.e.,
more
larger
disturbances,
occurring
higher
autocorrelation)
will
have
long-lasting
structure
raise
concerns
about
potential
loss
resilience.
conclude
highlighting
urgent
need
adapt
Europe's
forests
hotter
drier
future
disturbance.
Global Biogeochemical Cycles,
Год журнала:
2018,
Номер
32(5), С. 784 - 798
Опубликована: Апрель 18, 2018
Abstract
Litterfall
is
a
major,
yet
poorly
studied,
process
within
forest
ecosystems
globally.
It
important
for
carbon
dynamics,
edaphic
communities,
and
maintaining
site
fertility.
Reliable
information
on
the
nutrient
input
from
litterfall,
provided
by
litter
traps,
relevant
to
wide
audience
including
policy
makers
soil
scientists.
We
used
litterfall
observations
of
320
plots
pan‐European
monitoring
network
“International
Co‐operative
Programme
Assessment
Monitoring
Air
Pollution
Effects
Forests”
quantify
fluxes.
Eight
models
were
evaluated
(four
using
climate
four
biomass
abundance).
scaled
up
our
results
total
European
area
quantified
contribution
cycle
net
primary
production
aggregated
bioregions
(north,
central,
south)
types
(conifers
broadleaves).
The
1,604
analyzed
annual
indicated
an
average
224
g
C
·
m
−2
year
−1
(annual
inputs
4.49
N,
0.32
P,
1.05
K
),
representing
substantial
percentage
36%
in
north
Europe
32%
central
Europe.
turnover
broadleaf
canopies
was
larger
than
conifers.
provide
large‐scale
predictions
with
bias
less
10%.
Each
forests
transfers
351
Tg
C,
8.2
0.6
1.9
floor.
performance
may
be
improved
foliage
proxies
management.
Frontiers in Forests and Global Change,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
2
Опубликована: Март 15, 2019
Climate
change
is
altering
legacies
of
native
insect-caused
disturbances
and
contributing
to
non-native
invasions
globally.
Many
insect
fitness
traits
are
temperature
dependent
projected
climatic
changes
expected
cause
continued
alterations
in
tree
mortality,
with
uncertain
consequences
for
forest
ecosystems
their
management.
Dendroctonus
ponderosae
Pinus
habitats
western
North
America
Ips
typographus
European
Picea
among
the
most
significant
mortality
agents
on
each
continent.
Changing
climate
influencing
both
species
habitats,
although
thermal
suitability
if
they
should
invade
new
continents
novel
has
not
been
investigated.
We
assessed
intra-
inter-continental
establishment
using
physiological
models
that
describe
evolved,
temperature-dependent
species.
Models
were
driven
by
projections
from
two
Global
representing
RCP
8.5.
Simulations
suggest
common
phenological
strategy
one
generation
annually
(univoltine)
will
shift
northward
warming
throughout
this
century.
As
optimum
habitat
I.
univoltinism
shifts
northward,
supporting
a
2nd
generation,
historically
warm
forests,
expands
continents.
In
contrast,
D.
rare
due
evolved
synchrony
its
cool
habitats.
limited
warmest
forests
near
future
(2011-2040),
project
extensive
species,
highlighting
need
effective
mitigation
policies
monitoring
at
ports
an
era
increasing
global
trade.
Throughout
century,
remains
high
population
success
continents,
areas
Europe,
expansion
into
American
Portions
historical
range,
however,
become
thermally
unsuitable.
Frontiers in Plant Science,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
10
Опубликована: Март 22, 2019
Climate-induced
tree
mortality
became
a
global
phenomenon
during
the
last
century
and
it
is
expected
to
increase
in
many
regions
future
along
with
further
frequency
of
drought
heat
events.
However,
at
ecosystem
level
remains
challenging
quantify
since
long-term,
tree-
individual,
reliable
observations
are
scarce.
Here,
we
present
unique
data
set
monitoring
records
from
126
forest
stands
across
Switzerland,
which
include
five
major
European
species
(Norway
spruce,
Scots
pine,
silver
fir,
beech,
sessile
common
oak)
cover
time
span
over
one
(1898-2013),
inventory
periods
5
10
years.
The
long-term
average
annual
rate
investigated
was
1.5%.
In
general,
species-specific
rates
did
not
consistently
decades,
except
for
pine
forests
lower
altitudes,
exhibited
clear
1960s.
Temporal
trends
varied
also
depending
on
diameter
breast
height
(DBH),
large
trees
generally
experiencing
an
mortality,
while
small
tended
decrease.
Normalized
were
remarkably
similar
between
modest,
but
consistent
steady
increasing
trend
apparent
throughout
study
period.
Mixed
effects
models
revealed
that
gradually
changing
stand
parameters
(stand
basal
area
age)
had
strongest
impact
rates,
modulated
by
climate,
importance
decades.
Hereby,
recent
climatic
changes
highly
variable
combination
abiotic
biotic
site
conditions.
This
suggests
composition
ranges
may
change
under
climate
Our
highlight
complexity
dynamical
processes
such
as
gradual
structure,
demography
composition,
together
determine
rates.
One Earth,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
4(5), С. 749 - 755
Опубликована: Май 1, 2021
Increasing
tree
mortality
can
have
pervasive
impacts
on
forest
dynamics.
Yet,
large-scale
trends
in
and
their
effects
demography
remain
poorly
quantified
despite
the
important
role
of
for
carbon
pools
biodiversity.
Analyzing
satellite
data
at
19,896
plots,
we
here
show
that
canopy
35
European
countries
increased
from
1985
to
2018
(+1.5%
±
0.28%
yr−1).
Using
simulations,
demonstrate
recent
levels
will
halt
aging
trend
Europe's
forests
a
further
increase
has
potential
strongly
alter
toward
younger
forests.
These
demographic
changes
cascading
negative
biodiversity
storage.
Developing
strategies
address
increasing
should
thus
be
key
priority
policy
management
Europe.
Landscape Ecology,
Год журнала:
2019,
Номер
34(12), С. 2837 - 2850
Опубликована: Окт. 30, 2019
Abstract
Context
Recovery
from
disturbances
is
a
prominent
measure
of
forest
ecosystem
resilience,
with
swift
recovery
indicating
resilient
systems.
The
ecosystems
Central
Europe
have
recently
been
affected
by
unprecedented
levels
natural
disturbance,
yet
our
understanding
their
ability
to
recover
still
limited.
Objectives
We
here
integrated
satellite
and
airborne
Lidar
data
(i)
quantify
multi-decadal
post-disturbance
two
indicators
structure,
(ii)
compare
the
trajectories
structure
among
managed
un-managed
forests.
Methods
developed
satellite-based
models
predicting
Lidar-derived
estimates
tree
cover
stand
height
at
30
m
grain
across
3100
km
2
landscape
in
Bohemian
Forest
Ecosystem
(Central
Europe).
summarized
percentage
disturbed
area
that
recovered
>
40%
5
quantified
variability
both
over
30-year
period.
analyses
were
stratified
three
management
regimes
(managed,
protected,
strictly
protected)
types
(beech-dominated,
spruce-dominated).
Results
found
on
average
84%
met
threshold
years
post-disturbance.
rate
was
slower
compared
Variability
more
persistent
time
forests,
while
forests
strongly
converged
after
few
decades
Conclusion
conclude
current
facilitates
European
ecosystems.
However,
results
underline
well
also
absence
human
intervention.
Our
analysis
highlights
high
resilience
recent
disturbances.
Global Change Biology,
Год журнала:
2018,
Номер
24(5), С. 2169 - 2181
Опубликована: Янв. 11, 2018
Determining
the
drivers
of
shifting
forest
disturbance
rates
remains
a
pressing
global
change
issue.
Large-scale
dynamics
are
commonly
assumed
to
be
climate
driven,
but
appropriately
scaled
histories
rarely
available
assess
how
legacies
alter
subsequent
and
sensitivity
disturbance.
We
compiled
multiple
tree
ring-based
from
primary
Picea
abies
fragments
distributed
throughout
five
European
landscapes
spanning
Bohemian
Forest
Carpathian
Mountains.
The
regional
chronology
includes
11,595
cores,
with
ring
dates
years
1750-2000,
collected
560
inventory
plots
in
37
stands
across
1,000
km
geographic
gradient,
amounting
largest
yet
constructed
Europe.
Decadal
varied
significantly
through
time
declined
after
1920,
resulting
widespread
increases
canopy
age.
Approximately
75%
current
area
recruited
prior
1900.
Long-term
patterns
were
compared
an
historical
drought
reconstruction,
further
linked
spatial
variation
stand
structure
contemporary
derived
LANDSAT
imagery.
Historically,
decadal
Palmer
severity
index
minima
corresponded
higher
removal.
disturbances
increased
each
stand's
estimated
since
last
major
disturbance,
mean
diameter,
increasing
within-stand
structural
variability.
Reconstructed
suggest
that
high
small-scale
variability
has
historically
acted
reduce
large-scale
susceptibility
Reduced
potential
legacy
19th
century
rates,
have
contributed
recent
region-wide
increase
susceptibility.
Increasingly
common
high-severity
forests
Central
Europe
should
reinterpreted
light
both
effects
(resulting
susceptibility)
exposure
extreme
events).
Ecological Applications,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
32(5)
Опубликована: Март 27, 2022
In
Europe,
forest
management
has
controlled
dynamics
to
sustain
commodity
production
over
multiple
centuries.
Yet
over-regulation
for
growth
and
yield
diminishes
resilience
environmental
stress
as
well
threatens
biodiversity,
leading
increasing
susceptibility
an
array
of
disturbances.
These
trends
have
stimulated
interest
in
alternative
systems,
including
natural
silviculture
(NDS).
NDS
aims
emulate
disturbance
at
stand
landscape
scales
through
silvicultural
manipulations
structure
patterns.
We
adapted
a
"Comparability
Index"
(CI)
assess
convergence/divergence
between
disturbances
effects.
extended
the
original
CI
concept
based
on
size
frequency
by
adding
residual
canopy
trees
after
third
dimension.
populated
model
compiling
data
from
13
countries
covering
four
major
types
(i.e.,
spruce,
beech,
oak,
pine-dominated
forests).
found
that
are
highly
variable
size,
frequency,
structure,
but
European
fails
encompass
this
complexity.
Silviculture
Europe
is
skewed
toward
even-aged
used
predominately
(72.9%
management)
across
assessed.
The
proved
crucial
comparison
systems.
indicated
highest
congruence
uneven-aged
systems
key
attributes.
Even
so,
practices
emulated
only
portion
complexity
associated
with
remaining
perform
poorly
terms
retention
compared
tree
survivorship
suggest
can
enrich
Europe's
portfolio
example
where
wood
not
primary
objective.
especially
relevant
forests
managed
habitat
quality,
risk
reduction,
variety
ecosystem
services.
holistic
approach
integrating
more
conventional
practices.
Journal of Pest Science,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
96(1), С. 403 - 414
Опубликована: Апрель 15, 2022
Abstract
Recent
outbreaks
of
the
European
spruce
bark
beetle
(
Ips
typographus
)
in
Norway
Picea
abies
forests
Central
Europe
highlight
importance
timely
detection
and
sanitation
infested
trees
for
pest
management
efficacy.
This
study
provides
novel
quantitative
evidence
on
manifestation
infestation
symptoms
their
visual
detectability,
to
guide
accelerated,
optimized
terrestrial
monitoring,
as
well
establishing
benchmarks
potential
alternative
(e.g.
sensor-based)
monitoring
approaches.
We
employed
bi-weekly,
individual
tree-level
assessments
85
hectares
spruce-dominated
unmanaged
forest
over
a
2-year
period
south-western
Germany
(detecting
total
1,176
trees).
By
applying
decision
tree-type
models,
we
quantified
predictive
power
observed
correlation
with
environmental
factors
time.
Terrestrial
accuracy
timeliness
were
high,
suggestive
being
sufficient
suppress
I.
outbreak
propagation
by
subsequent
felling.
Among
six
studied
symptoms,
boring
dust
occurred
most
frequently
(in
82%
correctly
detected
infestations)
is
suitable
detection.
Total
symptom
abundance
was
best
explained
two
site
parameters
(slope,
Standardized
Precipitation-Evapotranspiration-Index)
population
density,
while
it
widely
independent
tree
Though
varied
time
among
trees,
patterns
clearly
identified.
For
instance,
infestations
spring
critical
be
detected,
increasing
crown
discoloration
defoliation
facilitated
late
summer
autumn.
Findings
further
imply
that
hibernation
would
optimally
already
felling
applied
before
November.