The Science of The Total Environment,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
905, С. 166921 - 166921
Опубликована: Сен. 12, 2023
Future
global
climate
changes
are
expected
to
increase
soil
organic
carbon
(SOC)
decomposition.
However,
the
combined
effect
of
C
inputs,
land
use
changes,
and
on
SOC
turnover
is
still
unclear.
Exploring
this
SOC-climate-land
interaction
allows
us
understand
stabilization
mechanisms
examine
whether
can
act
as
a
source
or
sink
for
CO2.
The
current
study
estimates
sequestration
potential
in
topsoil
layer
Danish
agricultural
lands
by
2038,
considering
change
future
scenarios
using
Rothamsted
Carbon
(RothC)
model.
Additionally,
we
quantified
loss
vulnerability
existing
projected
based
capacity
stabilize
OC.
We
used
quantile
random
forest
model
estimate
initial
stock
2018,
simulated
with
RothC
business-as-usual
(BAU)
scenario
crop
rotation
(LUC)
under
conditions
2038.
compared
stocks
saturation
deficit.
ranged
from
10
181
Mg
ha-1
different
parts
country.
projections
showed
8.1
BAU
6
after
LUC
adoption.
This
was
strongly
influenced
warmer
temperatures
clay
content.
proposed
became
mitigation
measure
against
negative
accumulation,
especially
sandy
soils
high
livestock
density.
A
accumulation
C-saturated
suggests
an
non-complexed
SOC,
which
vulnerable
being
lost
into
atmosphere
With
these
results,
provide
information
prioritize
areas
where
management
practices
be
adopted
enhance
stable
forms
preserve
labile-existing
stocks.
Geoderma,
Год журнала:
2021,
Номер
409, С. 115567 - 115567
Опубликована: Ноя. 30, 2021
Soils
are
essential
for
supporting
food
production
and
providing
ecosystem
services
but
under
pressure
due
to
population
growth,
higher
demand,
land
use
competition.
Because
of
the
effort
ensure
sustainable
soil
resources,
demand
current,
updatable
information
capable
decisions
across
scales
is
increasing.
Digital
mapping
(DSM)
addresses
drawbacks
conventional
has
been
increasingly
used
delivering
in
a
time-
cost-efficient
manner
with
spatial
resolution,
better
map
accuracy,
quantified
uncertainty
estimates.
We
reviewed
244
articles
published
between
January
2003
July
2021
then
summarised
progress
broad-scale
(spatial
extent
>10,000
km2)
DSM,
focusing
on
12
mandatory
properties
GlobalSoilMap.
observed
that
DSM
publications
continued
increase
exponentially;
however,
majority
(74.6%)
focused
applications
rather
than
methodology
development.
China,
France,
Australia,
United
States
were
most
active
countries,
Africa
South
America
lacked
country-based
products.
Approximately
78%
organic
matter/carbon
content
carbon
stocks
because
their
significant
role
security
climate
regulation.
Half
topsoil
only
(<30
cm),
studies
deep
(100–200
cm)
less
represented
(21.7%).
Relief,
organisms,
three
frequently
environmental
covariates
DSM.
Nonlinear
models
(i.e.
machine
learning)
have
capacity
manage
complex
interactions
covariates.
Soil
pH
was
best
predicted
property
(average
R2
0.60,
0.63,
0.56
at
0–30,
30–100,
100–200
cm).
Other
relatively
well-predicted
clay,
silt,
sand,
(SOC),
matter
(SOM),
SOC
stocks,
bulk
density,
coarse
fragments
depth
poorly
(R2
<
0.28).
In
addition,
decreasing
model
performance
deeper
intervals
found
properties.
Further
research
should
pursue
rescuing
legacy
data,
sampling
new
data
guided
by
well-designed
schemas,
collecting
representative
covariates,
improving
interpretability
advanced
predictive
models,
relating
indicators
such
as
accuracy
precision
cost-benefit
risk
assessment
analysis
decision
support;
moving
from
static
dynamic
DSM;
high-quality,
fine-resolution
digital
maps
address
global
challenges
related
resources.
Geoderma,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
416, С. 115810 - 115810
Опубликована: Март 15, 2022
How
much
C
can
be
stored
in
agricultural
soils
worldwide
to
mitigate
rising
carbon
dioxide
(CO2)
concentrations,
and
at
what
cost?
This
question,
because
of
its
critical
relevance
climate
policy,
has
been
a
focus
soil
science
for
decades.
The
amount
additional
organic
(SOC)
that
could
estimated
various
ways,
most
which
have
taken
the
as
starting
point:
projecting
how
SOC
previously
lost
restored,
example,
or
calculating
cumulative
effect
multiple
management
strategies.
Here,
we
take
different
approach,
recognizing
photosynthesis,
source
input
soil,
represents
fundamental
constraint
sequestration.
We
follow
simple
“Fermi
approach”
derive
rough
but
robust
estimate
by
reducing
our
problem
series
approximate
relations
parameterized
using
data
from
literature.
distinguish
two
forms
C:
‘ephemeral
C’,
denoting
recently-applied
plant-derived
is
quickly
decayed
CO2,
‘lingering
C,’
remains
long
enough
serve
lasting
repository
derived
atmospheric
CO2.
First,
global
net
inputs
into
lingering
croplands
primary
production,
biomass
removal
humans
short-term
decomposition.
Next,
storage
cropland
globally
inputs,
accounting
also
decomposition
already
present.
Our
results
suggest
maximum
rate
pool
0.44
Pg
yr−1,
sequestration
0.14
yr−1
–
significantly
less
than
previous
estimates,
even
allowing
acknowledged
uncertainties.
More
importantly,
argue
re-orientation
emphasis
processes
towards
wider
ecosystem
perspective,
with
photosynthesis.
Plant and Soil,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
488(1-2), С. 157 - 173
Опубликована: Апрель 22, 2022
Abstract
Aims
Soil
organic
carbon
(SOC)
stocks
of
croplands
can
be
enhanced
by
targeted
management,
which
boosts
soil
fertility
and
contributes
to
climate
change
mitigation.
One
SOC
sequestration
option
is
adopting
cover
crops.
The
aim
this
study
was
quantify
the
potential
crops
in
Germany.
Methods
We
simulated
scenarios
on
1,267
cropland
sites
with
site-specific
management
data
using
an
model
ensemble
consisting
RothC
C-TOOL.
A
new
method
developed
estimate
input
from
that
included
effects
climate,
sowing
date
species
crop
biomass
production.
Results
recent
area
could
tripled
30%
arable
land
This
would
enhance
total
12%
increase
35
Tg
within
50
years,
corresponding
annual
0.06
Mg
C
ha
-1
,
2.5
CO
2
or
0.8
per
mill
current
0–30
cm
depth.
On
crops,
0.28–0.33
a
accumulated
years.
Our
simulations
predicted
even
if
full
for
growth
were
realised,
there
still
decline
German
years
due
underlining
negative
trend.
Conclusions
Cover
alone
cannot
turn
sources
sinks.
However,
growing
them
reduces
bare
fallow
periods
losses
thus
effective
mitigation
strategy
agriculture.
Global Food Security,
Год журнала:
2022,
Номер
33, С. 100636 - 100636
Опубликована: Апрель 9, 2022
The
coming
10–20
years
will
be
most
critical
for
making
the
transition
to
a
global
food
system
in
which
mineral
nutrients
agriculture
must
managed
more
holistic
manner.
Fertilizers
play
particular
role
that
because
they
are
among
key
drivers
securing
security
and
improving
human
nutrition
through
increased
crop
yields
nutritional
quality.
A
new
paradigm
responsible
plant
follows
systems
circular
economy
approach
achieve
multiple
socioeconomic,
environmental
health
objectives.
Achieving
requires
utilizing
all
available
organic
inorganic
nutrient
sources
with
high
efficiency,
tailored
specific
features
of
agroecosystems
different
world
regions.
Critical
actions
include:
(i)
sustainability-driven
roadmaps,
(ii)
digital
solutions,
(iii)
nutritious
crops,
(iv)
recovery
recycling,
(v)
climate-smart
fertilizers,
(vi)
accelerated
innovation.
outcome
this
transformation
societal
optimum
rather
than
purely
economic
optimum.
New
partnerships
sustainability-focused
business
models
create
added
value
actors
chain
benefit
farmers
as
well
consumers.
Research
needs
become
problem-driven
merge
excellent
science
entrepreneurial
innovation
approaches
order
develop
robust
solutions
faster
at
larger
scale.
Evidence-based
policies
should
focus
on
creating
supporting
necessary
stewardship
including
realistic
national
targets,
progressive
regulation
incentives
support
technology
Abstract.
Insights
into
the
controlling
factors
of
soil
organic
carbon
(SOC)
stock
variation
are
necessary
both
for
our
scientific
understanding
terrestrial
balance
and
to
support
policies
that
intend
promote
storage
in
soils
mitigate
climate
change.
In
recent
years,
complex
statistical
algorithmic
tools
from
field
machine
learning
have
become
popular
modelling
mapping
SOC
stocks
over
large
areas.
this
paper,
we
report
on
development
a
method
interpreting
models,
which
implemented
study
variation.
We
fitted
random
forest
model
with
2206
measurements
0–50
cm
depth
interval
mainland
France
used
set
environmental
covariates
as
explanatory
variables.
introduce
Shapley
values,
coalitional
game
theory,
use
them
understand
how
influence
prediction:
what
is
functional
form
association
between
covariates,
does
covariate
importance
vary
locally
one
location
another
carbon-landscape
zones?
Results
were
validated
light
existing
well-described
processes
mediating
regards
previous
studies
same
area.
found
vegetation
topography
overall
most
important
drivers
but
varied
greatly
among
locations
zones.
two
spatial
equivalent
stocks,
there
was
nearly
an
opposite
pattern
individual
contribution
yielded
prediction
–
case
variables
contributed
positively,
whereas
second
negatively
effect
mitigated
by
land
use.
demonstrate
values
methodological
yield
useful
insights
space.
This
may
provide
valuable
information
whether
empirical
models
predicting
property
interest
right
reasons
formulate
hypotheses
mechanisms
driving
sequestration
potential
soil.
Remote Sensing,
Год журнала:
2023,
Номер
15(12), С. 3070 - 3070
Опубликована: Июнь 12, 2023
Soils
are
at
the
crossroads
of
many
existential
issues
that
humanity
is
currently
facing.
a
finite
resource
under
threat,
mainly
due
to
human
pressure.
There
an
urgent
need
map
and
monitor
them
field,
regional,
global
scales
in
order
improve
their
management
prevent
degradation.
This
remains
challenge
high
often
complex
spatial
variability
inherent
soils.
Over
last
four
decades,
major
research
efforts
field
pedometrics
have
led
development
methods
allowing
capture
nature
As
result,
digital
soil
mapping
(DSM)
approaches
been
developed
for
quantifying
soils
space
time.
DSM
monitoring
become
operational
thanks
harmonization
databases,
advances
modeling
machine
learning,
increasing
availability
spatiotemporal
covariates,
including
exponential
increase
freely
available
remote
sensing
(RS)
data.
The
latter
boosted
DSM,
resolution
assessing
changes
through
We
present
review
main
contributions
developments
French
(inter)national
research,
which
has
long
history
both
RS
DSM.
Thanks
SPOT
satellite
constellation
started
early
1980s,
communities
pioneered
using
sensing.
describes
data,
tools,
imagery
support
predictions
wide
range
properties
discusses
pros
cons.
demonstrates
data
frequently
used
(i)
by
considering
as
substitute
analytical
measurements,
or
(ii)
covariates
related
controlling
factors
formation
evolution.
It
further
highlights
great
potential
provides
overview
challenges
prospects
future
sensors.
opens
up
broad
use
natural
monitoring.