Trends and predictions of the global burden of ischemic heart disease in women of childbearing age attribute to high body mass index and hypertension,1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study DOI Creative Commons
Qi Gu,

Shuxiong Nong,

Chenang Liu

et al.

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(1)

Published: May 9, 2025

High body mass index (BMI) and hypertension are quite prevalent in women of childbearing age (WCBA) also common risk factors for ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, there few studies globally evaluating the burden IHD WCBA attribute to high BMI hypertension. The DALYs (Disability-adjusted life years), Deaths, YLDs (Year lived with disabilitys), YLLs losts) attributable were analyzed by age, sex, year, geographical location Socio-demographic Index (SDI). To assess contribution epidemiological changes, population growth, ageing, a decomposition analysis was used. Exponential Smoothing (ES) modeling Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model used predict global ASDR (age-standardized rate), ASMR mortality rate) attributed 2 from 2022 2050. cluster evaluate changing pattern across GBD regions. In 2021, number deaths attribution 9,865,138 (95% UI: 3,845,800-15,976,196), corresponding 216.05 84.26-349.49) per 100000 population. various groups, largest increase occurred 20-24 years group (EAPC = 1.26 CI:1.13-1.39)). is 2,158,633 UI:1,725,994-2,538,752) 46.05 36.87-54.15) 100,000 37,920,567 30,389,745-44,641,339), 817.79 655.74-962.67) Deaths found between 45-49 years. From 1990 led sustained upward trend Low Low-medium SDI addition, highest Low-middle Globally, overall changes indicate relatively stable WCNA BMI. Meanwhile, showed an downward DALYs, deaths, YLLs, based on ES ASMIR models all increasing Over past 30 years, has continued rise. Countries need remain vigilant about It requires proactive prevention strategies, strict control factors, increased medical coverage alleviate IHD. Each region should develop more effective strategic measures.

Language: Английский

Trends and predictions of the global burden of ischemic heart disease in women of childbearing age attribute to high body mass index and hypertension,1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study DOI Creative Commons
Qi Gu,

Shuxiong Nong,

Chenang Liu

et al.

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 25(1)

Published: May 9, 2025

High body mass index (BMI) and hypertension are quite prevalent in women of childbearing age (WCBA) also common risk factors for ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, there few studies globally evaluating the burden IHD WCBA attribute to high BMI hypertension. The DALYs (Disability-adjusted life years), Deaths, YLDs (Year lived with disabilitys), YLLs losts) attributable were analyzed by age, sex, year, geographical location Socio-demographic Index (SDI). To assess contribution epidemiological changes, population growth, ageing, a decomposition analysis was used. Exponential Smoothing (ES) modeling Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model used predict global ASDR (age-standardized rate), ASMR mortality rate) attributed 2 from 2022 2050. cluster evaluate changing pattern across GBD regions. In 2021, number deaths attribution 9,865,138 (95% UI: 3,845,800-15,976,196), corresponding 216.05 84.26-349.49) per 100000 population. various groups, largest increase occurred 20-24 years group (EAPC = 1.26 CI:1.13-1.39)). is 2,158,633 UI:1,725,994-2,538,752) 46.05 36.87-54.15) 100,000 37,920,567 30,389,745-44,641,339), 817.79 655.74-962.67) Deaths found between 45-49 years. From 1990 led sustained upward trend Low Low-medium SDI addition, highest Low-middle Globally, overall changes indicate relatively stable WCNA BMI. Meanwhile, showed an downward DALYs, deaths, YLLs, based on ES ASMIR models all increasing Over past 30 years, has continued rise. Countries need remain vigilant about It requires proactive prevention strategies, strict control factors, increased medical coverage alleviate IHD. Each region should develop more effective strategic measures.

Language: Английский

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