
Journal of Applied Ecology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown
Published: Feb. 14, 2025
Abstract Urban areas are under constant pressure to accommodate more people, leading an increase in built surface, further reducing and fragmenting wildlife habitat within around cities. Nonetheless, populations may persist by using a network of fragments, such as urban green areas, but only if functionally interconnected. Therefore, proactive approach considering prospective landscape connectivity changes, following proposed developments, potential mitigation strategies is needed. We predicted present‐day for six taxa, the Greater Toronto Area, changes across three future scenarios which include conversion agriculture developed land with (1) no strategies, (2) renaturalization single‐large (3) small widespread areas. used Omniscape identify shared movement corridors Graphab estimate importance each patch overall ( IIC k ), isolation degree patches (node degree) distribution stepping‐stone (betweenness centrality). validated our assessment through road mortality risk near corridors. Without developments will currently near‐isolated nearby stepping‐stones. There be shift remnant newly land, fragmentation key connecting peripheral inner‐city forested Mitigation renaturalized provided best outcome terms can compensate loss new developments. The validation analysis supported modelling revealed that was elevated roads intersecting This finding strongly indicates act barriers should explicitly addressed natural heritage or greenspace planning. Synthesis applications . Notably, smaller widely distributed serve practical effective management strategy balancing trade‐offs among economic costs, expansion conservation. To effectively support biodiversity conservation goals, 30 × target, these ideally connected larger infrastructure.
Language: Английский