The Ecological Risks and Invasive Potential of Introduced Ornamental Plants in China DOI Creative Commons

H. Wang,

Min Yang,

Xiaohua Ma

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(9), P. 1361 - 1361

Published: April 30, 2025

The import of ornamental plants has become a major source alien invasive in China, posing threats to local ecosystems. However, research on their potential and management strategies remains limited. This study evaluated the invasion risks nine representative introduced (including naturalized species) China (IOPCs). Using ecospat perform climatic niche comparisons, we found significant unfilling expansion (>50%) most plants, indicating strong invasiveness. Species distribution models (SDMs) were applied predict current future distributions these IOPCs under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) across time periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080, 2081–2100). SDM results showed that high-risk areas are concentrated southern China. Under climate change, moderate- zones projected shift northward, with total increasing significantly, namely moderate-risk by 106.10% 64.35%, particularly border regions Jiangxi, Fujian, Zhejiang. We recommend establishing restricted introduction lists for non-native enhancing monitoring regions, implementing early eradication measures. quantified providing scientific basis effective control strategies.

Language: Английский

The Ecological Risks and Invasive Potential of Introduced Ornamental Plants in China DOI Creative Commons

H. Wang,

Min Yang,

Xiaohua Ma

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(9), P. 1361 - 1361

Published: April 30, 2025

The import of ornamental plants has become a major source alien invasive in China, posing threats to local ecosystems. However, research on their potential and management strategies remains limited. This study evaluated the invasion risks nine representative introduced (including naturalized species) China (IOPCs). Using ecospat perform climatic niche comparisons, we found significant unfilling expansion (>50%) most plants, indicating strong invasiveness. Species distribution models (SDMs) were applied predict current future distributions these IOPCs under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) across time periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080, 2081–2100). SDM results showed that high-risk areas are concentrated southern China. Under climate change, moderate- zones projected shift northward, with total increasing significantly, namely moderate-risk by 106.10% 64.35%, particularly border regions Jiangxi, Fujian, Zhejiang. We recommend establishing restricted introduction lists for non-native enhancing monitoring regions, implementing early eradication measures. quantified providing scientific basis effective control strategies.

Language: Английский

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