Distributions of non‐native and native plants are not determined by the same environmental factors DOI Creative Commons
Bart Steen, Antoine Adde, Martin A. Schlaepfer

et al.

Ecological Solutions and Evidence, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(4)

Published: Oct. 1, 2024

Abstract Global environmental change will cause shifts in species communities, with non‐native likely replacing native ones at an unprecedented rate. This have consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem services, addition to the ecological economic damage caused by those that are invasive. Understanding general patterns driving distributions of is therefore vital, but no study has compared yet whether variables correlate a species' presence differ between two groups other than local scale often very limited sample size. In this study, we focus on 141 congeneric plant pairs Switzerland. framework correlative distribution models, used newly developed methods efficient automated selection parsimonious number predictor determine which ones, out large candidate set eight classes, strongest explanatory power both groups. Our results indicated influence significantly different ways. Climate was far determinant distributions, although it had more models. Models were influenced anthropogenic factors, land use forest cover. The also associated habitats lower mean naturality value species. These findings provide novel empirical evidence factors plants' guidance management. Practical implications: models increasingly frequently advised tool conservation management our guidelines covariates should be specifically considered assess habitat suitability versus former group particularly important research, as, time, they may turn addition, areas close infrastructure scanned regularly incipient colonizations species, especially as uninvaded areas, such high mountains.

Language: Английский

Spatiotemporal analysis of soil moisture drought in the Horn of Africa DOI
Ahmed Abdiaziz Alasow, Mohammed Magdy Hamed, Mohammed Rady

et al.

Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 155(8), P. 7165 - 7176

Published: June 14, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3
Climate tracking by mountain bumblebees across a century: Distribution retreats, small refugia and elevational shifts DOI Creative Commons
Paolo Biella, Maurizio Cornalba, Pierre Rasmont

et al.

Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 54, P. e03163 - e03163

Published: Aug. 23, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

3
Shall we go to the mountains or to the sea for the winter holidays? Occurrence drivers and cultural relevance of the climate-vulnerable Snow Bunting Plectrophenax nivalis in Italy DOI Creative Commons
Mattia Brambilla, Francesca Roseo,

Luciano Ruggieri

et al.

Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 51, P. e02875 - e02875

Published: March 6, 2024

The non-breeding distribution and ecology of many migratory songbirds are often poorly studied, but very relevant for their conservation in a changing climate. Snow Bunting is the most northerly breeding passerine worldwide, winters temperate/temperate-cold areas. Characterised by specialisation cold climate strong connectivity, it underwent recent range contraction declining because rising winter temperatures. Investigating its migration wintering to understand possible impacts change. We used citizen science records describe model species during Italy, evaluated cultural relevance. Buntings occur Italy November-mid April, mostly clustered northern and, particularly, north-eastern regions (coasts plateaus mountain regions); all observations involving >12 individuals occurred at single site Lessinia plateau. elevation pattern (both migration) showed bimodal (mostly sea level middle-elevation mountains, peaking around 1,500 m asl). Species Distribution Models that suitable areas largely coincide with from where occurred, were similar migration. Such characterised relatively dry climates, flat or gentle sloping terrain occupied open semi-open habitats (grassland, pastures, sandy habitats). had much higher occurrence rates social media/networks than other bunting species, indicating nature recreationists have particular preference this which can be as flagship species. will likely suffer ongoing variation, preserving landscapes, grassland dominated habitats, key maintenance stop-over sites. At same time, would also benefit

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Conserving steppe-land birds under climate change: a gap analysis for the Eurasian Stone-curlew (Burhinus oedicnemus) in the Western Palearctic DOI Creative Commons
Andrea Simoncini, Samuele Ramellini, Mattia Falaschi

et al.

bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory), Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: May 22, 2024

ABSTRACT Climate change is having dramatic impacts on the distribution of animals. Birds, and especially steppe-land birds, are particularly sensitive to climate identifying areas that critical for their conservation pivotal, as well estimating expected impact these under different land use scenarios. In-situ refugia (areas suitable both current future climates) valuable climate-sensitive species, therefore important identify them evaluate coverage by protected areas. Via species modelling, we aimed in-situ in Western Palearctic Eurasian Stone-curlew Burhinus oedicnemus , an umbrella steppic concern. We used a comprehensive dataset occurrences breeding period fine-tune Maxent model project it three carbon emission scenarios increasing severity year 2050. then identified performed gap analysis percentage falling within network currently In all modelled northward expansion habitats was predicted, had similar extents, with slight increase overall suitability more severe According our results, has potential maintain viable populations Palearctic, even though dispersal limitations might hinder colonization newly were mainly outside areas, Northern Africa Middle East. Therefore, advocate targeted actions promote this other global environmental change.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Current and Future Distribution of the Cataglyphis nodus (Brullé, 1833) in the Middle East and North Africa DOI Creative Commons

Remya Kottarathu Kalarikkal,

Hotaek Park, Christos Georgiadis

et al.

Diversity, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(9), P. 563 - 563

Published: Sept. 9, 2024

Climate change is a major threat to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, which can cause significant harm its plant animal species. We predicted habitat distribution of Cataglyphis nodus (Brullé, 1833) in MENA using MaxEnt models under current future climate conditions. Our analysis indicates that cooler regions are projected experience temperature increases 1–2 °C by 2040 2–4 2070s. Similarly, warmer may anticipate rises 0.5–2 model results for show good agreement with observations (mean area curve value 0.975 mean true statistical skill 0.8), indicating potential suitability C. nodus. Significant factors affecting elevation, monthly precipitation coldest quarter, seasonality, amount driest month. The research predicts Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 1.2.6, increase 6% 2040, while SSP 3.7.0 (0.3%) 5.8.5 (2.6%) predict decrease. For 2070, 2.2% reduction suitability, 1.2.6 (0.4%) (1.3%) slight increases. provide insight into impacts on species regional biodiversity changes associated distribution.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Distributions of non‐native and native plants are not determined by the same environmental factors DOI Creative Commons
Bart Steen, Antoine Adde, Martin A. Schlaepfer

et al.

Ecological Solutions and Evidence, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 5(4)

Published: Oct. 1, 2024

Abstract Global environmental change will cause shifts in species communities, with non‐native likely replacing native ones at an unprecedented rate. This have consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem services, addition to the ecological economic damage caused by those that are invasive. Understanding general patterns driving distributions of is therefore vital, but no study has compared yet whether variables correlate a species' presence differ between two groups other than local scale often very limited sample size. In this study, we focus on 141 congeneric plant pairs Switzerland. framework correlative distribution models, used newly developed methods efficient automated selection parsimonious number predictor determine which ones, out large candidate set eight classes, strongest explanatory power both groups. Our results indicated influence significantly different ways. Climate was far determinant distributions, although it had more models. Models were influenced anthropogenic factors, land use forest cover. The also associated habitats lower mean naturality value species. These findings provide novel empirical evidence factors plants' guidance management. Practical implications: models increasingly frequently advised tool conservation management our guidelines covariates should be specifically considered assess habitat suitability versus former group particularly important research, as, time, they may turn addition, areas close infrastructure scanned regularly incipient colonizations species, especially as uninvaded areas, such high mountains.

Language: Английский

Citations

0