The spread of the invasive species Reynoutria japonica Houtt. will both expand and contract with climate change: results of climate modelling for 14 European countries DOI Creative Commons
Nataliіa Miroshnyk, Tetiana Grabovska, Hynek Roubík

et al.

Pest Management Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 20, 2025

Abstract BACKGROUND The study of invasive plant species distribution involves changes in their ranges and ecological niches under the projected global temperature increase until 2100. However, climate modeling habitat suitability for Reynoutria japonica Europe remains limited, hindering risk assessment effective management its spread. We used MaxEnt model to assess potential R. 14 European countries. RESULTS It was found that range taxon will expand into northern regions by 13.6% or 17.0%, depending on scenario. contraction southern central is expected reach 26%. As a result, 2100, slight overall reduction (by 9–13%) due decrease areas parts Europe, where maximum air temperatures rise. Temperature variability throughout year precipitation during warmest quarter are limiting factors minimum growing season influence projections 2060, whereas current conditions, this parameter does not have effect. A general framework controlling invasions Houtt. taxa has been developed both national international levels. CONCLUSION identified dynamics species' spread relation change, assessed risks colonization new areas, provided tools regulation improve prediction distribution. © 2025 Author(s). Pest Management Science published John Wiley & Sons Ltd behalf Society Chemical Industry.

Language: Английский

The spread of the invasive species Reynoutria japonica Houtt. will both expand and contract with climate change: results of climate modelling for 14 European countries DOI Creative Commons
Nataliіa Miroshnyk, Tetiana Grabovska, Hynek Roubík

et al.

Pest Management Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 20, 2025

Abstract BACKGROUND The study of invasive plant species distribution involves changes in their ranges and ecological niches under the projected global temperature increase until 2100. However, climate modeling habitat suitability for Reynoutria japonica Europe remains limited, hindering risk assessment effective management its spread. We used MaxEnt model to assess potential R. 14 European countries. RESULTS It was found that range taxon will expand into northern regions by 13.6% or 17.0%, depending on scenario. contraction southern central is expected reach 26%. As a result, 2100, slight overall reduction (by 9–13%) due decrease areas parts Europe, where maximum air temperatures rise. Temperature variability throughout year precipitation during warmest quarter are limiting factors minimum growing season influence projections 2060, whereas current conditions, this parameter does not have effect. A general framework controlling invasions Houtt. taxa has been developed both national international levels. CONCLUSION identified dynamics species' spread relation change, assessed risks colonization new areas, provided tools regulation improve prediction distribution. © 2025 Author(s). Pest Management Science published John Wiley & Sons Ltd behalf Society Chemical Industry.

Language: Английский

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