UMYU Scientifica, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 1(2), P. 194 - 207
Published: Dec. 30, 2022
This paper investigates the spread of COVID-19 pandemic in Katsina state from 23rd June to 27th November, 2021, using graphical tools visually analyse infection over time and time-dependent reproduction number quantify transmissibility disease. Study data consist diagnostic results reverse transcriptase real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction assays (RT-PCR) on nine hundred eighty-nine nasal swab samples suspected cases, collected public private health facilities across Local government areas State analysed by Molecular Laboratory Federal Medical Centre Katsina, recording a total 137 positive cases. Our investigation revealed that, study period, transmission reaches its peak 17th October 2021 (Epidemic Week 41), with mean Reproduction (Rt) 3.22 standard deviation 0.5976 (95% CI: 2.6193 - 3.8145), culminating 19 new infections Wednesday 43). The combined age groups 21-30 31-40 constituted most affected cases 29 (21.17%) (13.87%) respectively. was closely followed group 51-60 On gender basis, 70 (51%) females tested compared 67 (49%) males. We therefore conclude that for third wave State, disease Epidemic 41 October, then rapidly diminishes Rt values less than one, indicating no were expected end female range 21 40 years being infected. recommend mitigation strategies take into consideration features inherent more pronounced young (21 years) middle-aged (51-60 adults should be adopted case future waves.
Language: Английский
