Synergizing Economic Growth and Carbon Emission Reduction in China: A Path to Coupling the Mflp and Plus Models for Optimizing the Territorial Spatial Functional Pattern DOI
Qin Jing, Dinghua Ou, Zaili Yang

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2023

Coordinating economic growth and carbon emissions has become an urgent sustainable development issue for developing countries. In this study, we integrated the advantages of multi-objective fuzzy linear programming (MFLP) model optimizing quantitative structures patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) simulating spatial layouts. We established a framework territorial functional pattern (TSFP) that coordinates emissions. The offers new path toward TSFP to achieve high-quality synergy between emission reduction. results empirical study in Qionglai City China showed that: (i) strong explanatory power distribution net (the minimum q-value is taken as 0.921 0.840), theoretical evidence coordinating them by sufficient; (ii) MFLP can compensate deficiency uncertainties. This helps with obtaining optimal structure space functions (TSFs) synergizes reduction per million yuan corresponding TSFs 2025 2030 were reduced 0.7 tons 4.7 tons, respectively, while decoupling index was 0.25 0.21, thus realizing their decoupling); (iii) simulated PLUS consistent expected structure, realistic, establishing realizes Further analysis confirmed optimization highly reliable at them. Our serve reference formulate planning governance measures it represents effective coordinate contradiction

Language: Английский

Optimizing land use patterns to improve the contribution of land use planning to carbon neutrality target DOI
Long Li,

Xianjin Huang,

Hong Yang

et al.

Land Use Policy, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 135, P. 106959 - 106959

Published: Nov. 6, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

52
Multiple scenarios analysis on land use simulation by coupling socioeconomic and ecological sustainability in Shanghai, China DOI

Qian Shi,

Chenjie Gu, Chao Xiao

et al.

Sustainable Cities and Society, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 95, P. 104578 - 104578

Published: April 14, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

43
Land use trade-offs and synergies based on temporal and spatial patterns of ecosystem services in South China DOI Creative Commons

Yuting Shao,

Yi Xiao, Weiguo Sang

et al.

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 143, P. 109335 - 109335

Published: Aug. 22, 2022

A clear understanding the relation between ecological protection and economic development provides new insight into land use policies. Land trade-offs synergies based on ecosystem service value (ESV) is important to regional sustainable development. In this study, we took South China as an example, assessed spatial temporal changes of function over 20 years, proposed a planning in 2035 by socio-ecological constraints multiyear observations. The results showed that ESV acts downward trend from 2000 2020. water conservation, soil retention, carbon sequestration, habit quality synergistic relationship with products supply. After use, significantly improved compared Finally, 4 zones strategy considering studying areas regulate industrial configuration. This will maintain steadily increasing until 2035, meantime guarantee security.

Language: Английский

Citations

31
Synergizing economic growth and carbon emission reduction in China: A path to coupling the MFLP and PLUS models for optimizing the territorial spatial functional pattern DOI Creative Commons
Qin Jing, Dinghua Ou, Ziheng Yang

et al.

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 929, P. 171926 - 171926

Published: March 27, 2024

Carbon emissions caused by economic growth are the main cause of global warming, but controlling to reduce carbon does not meet China's conditions. Therefore, how synergize and emission reduction is only a sustainable development issue for China, also significant mitigating warming. The territorial spatial functional pattern (TSFP) carrier coordinating emissions, establish TSFP remains unresolved. We propose decision framework optimizing coupled with multi-objective fuzzy linear programming patch-generating land use simulation model, provide new path in China. To confirm reliability, we took Qionglai City as demonstration. results found spatiotemporal coupling between synergistic effect (q ≥ 0.8220), which resolves theoretical uncertainty about synergizing through TSFP. urban space 2025 2030 obtained was 6497.57 hm2 6628.72 respectively, distributed central eastern regions; rural 60,132.92 56,084.97 hm2, concentrated east, few located west; ecological 71,072.52 74,998.31 mainly western southeastern areas. Compared 2020, intensity that realized synergy (decoupling index 0.25 0.21, respectively) reduced 0.7 4.7 tons/million yuan, respectively. Further confirming an effective way reduction, can policy implications China even similar developing countries.

Language: Английский

Citations

8
FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City DOI Open Access

Yusuyunjiang Mamitimin,

Zibibula Simayi,

Ayinuer Mamat

et al.

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(6), P. 4912 - 4912

Published: March 9, 2023

Modeling land use and cover (LULC) change is important for understanding its spatiotemporal trends plays a crucial role in planning natural resources management. To this end, study assessed the characteristics of LULC changes Urumqi city between 1980 2020. In addition, future was successfully projected 2030 2050 under different scenarios based on FLUS model. This model validated using actual simulated data The kappa coefficient figure merit simulation results 2020 were 0.87 0.114, respectively, indicating that accuracy satisfactory. demonstrated grassland major type, with area accounting more than 50% area. From to 2020, urban greatly expanded, while decreased significantly. Urban increased from 353.51 km2 884.27 km2, 7903.4 7414.92 significant transitions mainly occurred grasslands, cultivated lands lands. Grassland converted into land, resulting rapid expansion over last 40 years. 1990 2000, an 341.08 km2. Finally, showed expected increase all three scenarios, forest are effectively protected Cultivated Land Protection Scenario (CPS) Ecological (EPS) compared Baseline (BLS). 2035 City arid semi-arid regions northwest China model, which has not been investigated previous studies.

Language: Английский

Citations

15
Integrating spatiotemporal co-evolution patterns of land types with cellular automata to enhance the reliability of land use projections DOI
Zhanjun He, Xubin Wang, Xun Liang

et al.

International Journal of Geographical Information Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 38(5), P. 956 - 980

Published: Feb. 6, 2024

Land use and land cover change (LUCC) simulation aids the interpretation of causes consequences future landscape dynamics under various scenarios, which in turn supports policy decisions. The essence LUCC lies representing complex spatiotemporal associations among types, including competitions interactions. Currently, analyses mainly focus on spatial configuration while ignoring intricate co-evolution patterns types. Therefore, by integrating pattern mining (STC) a (FLUS) model, model named STC-FLUS was developed this study. proposed is innovative because it can accurately quantify be effectively incorporated into simulations. A set simulations indicate that more accurate than classical FLUS with figure merit score 0.135 compared 0.114. Simulation results five localized shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios from 2020 to 2040 demonstrate effective for development scenarios. We conclude types enhance reliability projections. Moreover, serve as useful tool understand dynamics.

Language: Английский

Citations

4
Multi-scenario simulation and eco-environmental effect analysis of “Production–Living–Ecological space” based on PLUS model: A case study of Anyang City DOI Creative Commons
Lei Li,

Genming Li,

Guangxing Ji

et al.

Open Geosciences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(1)

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Abstract By simulating the layout of “Production–Living–Ecological space” under various scenarios in future and exploring trend land use changes, it is great significance to optimize structure ecological environment region. Based on existing data combined with PLUS model, article predicts demand distribution PLES 2040 2060 then studies contribution rate area changes each type change regional quality. The results show that (1) agricultural production main Anyang City from 1980 2020, conversion mainly manifested as living land. (2) In all three scenarios, between 2020 are contraction expansion protection scenario smallest, decrease urban development largest. (3) 2060, varying degrees reduction Ecological quality index (EQI) compared 2020. At same time, environmental closely related (4) result multi-factors, among which annual precipitation has strongest explanatory power, factors synergistic effects. present study intended provide a reference for optimizing pattern region improving

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Optimization of Land Use Structure Integrating Ecosystem Service Function and Economic Development—A Case Study in Dongting Lake Ecological and Economic Zone, China DOI Creative Commons
Yifan Zhu, Min Zhou

Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100604 - 100604

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Simulation Analysis of Land Use Change via the PLUS-GMOP Coupling Model DOI Creative Commons

Ligang Wang,

Dan Liu, Xiaolei Wu

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 802 - 802

Published: April 8, 2025

It is crucial to simulate land use change and assess the corresponding impact on ecosystem services develop informed management policies conservation strategies. To comprehensively patterns of under different evaluate ecological service values (ESV), a method for coupling Generalized Multi-Objective Programming (GMOP) model Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) proposed in this study. First, GMOP used obtain optimized solutions scenarios. Then, PLUS analyze mechanism driving expansion, explore conversion patterns, and, ultimately, achieve spatial expression quantity changes. The uncertain parameters coupled are processed by intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. successfully integrates outstanding spatiotemporal dynamic simulation capability multiobjective optimization advantages model, effectively overcoming limitations applying single analysis. Finally, four scenarios established change, namely, business as usual (BAU), economic efficiency priority (RED), protection (ELP), coordinated development (EEB), predict trends values. A case study Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region demonstrates that area agricultural exhibits stable growth trend scenarios, with majority expansion occurring through grassland. Concurrently, rate construction highest BAU scenario at 31.72%, compared 2020. This notably higher than rates observed RED (10.10%) EEB (9.47%) cases. With land, ESV decreased 3.485 billion, 1.514 1.658 billion yuan BAU, RED, ELP representing 41.72%, 24.96%, 34.05% decreases ESV, respectively. integrated methodology accounts various constraints behaviors, thereby ensuring true accurate reflection dynamics. supports quantification strategies, providing policymakers effective support data-driven sustainable planning conservation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Optimization of Spatial Land Use Patterns with Low Carbon Target: A Case Study of Sanmenxia, China DOI Open Access
Li Li, Zhichao Chen, Shidong Wang

et al.

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 19(21), P. 14178 - 14178

Published: Oct. 30, 2022

Land use change is an important factor in atmospheric carbon emissions. Most of the existing studies focus on modeling land pattern for a certain period time future and calculating analyzing However, few have optimized spatial from perspective impact emission constraints structure. Therefore, this study, effects emissions 1990 to 2020 were modeled using flow model Sanmenxia, Henan, China, as example. Then, function under low target was constructed, differential evolution (DE) algorithm used obtain quantity Finally, PLUS predict optimal configuration patterns minimize The study produced three major results. (1) From 2020, structural Sanmenxia mainly occurred between cultivated land, forest grassland construction land. During change, first increased then decreased, but despite decrease, still exceeded sinks, metabolism far equilibrium. (2) Between 2010 area began rapidly increased, land-use-related showed negative growth. This that adjustment energy consumption during decreased comparison with previous period. (3) A predicted as-is development scenario decrease 23.05 km2 2030 steady increase total 20.43 t. newly converted concentrated ribbon-clustered towns built urban expansion along Shaanling basin Yellow River Mianchi–Yima industrial area.

Language: Английский

Citations

18