Spatiotemporal variation and scenario projections of heat wave during 1961-2100 in the Loess Plateau DOI Creative Commons

Wenyang Si,

Zhitao Wu,

Ziqiang Du

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 29, 2023

Abstract Understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of heat wave (HW) is vital for both natural systems and human populations. Given Loess Plateau's sensitivity to extreme events due its fragile ecological environment, it imperative study variability HW. This research utilized instrumental measurements, climate model data, atmospheric circulation metrics comprehensively analyze past future HW variations their drivers in Plateau. From 1961 2019, daytime wave(DHW) nighttime wave(NHW) were as follows: duration (9.28/9.72 days), frequency (1.34/1.4 times, mean intensity (6.24/4.69°C), maximum (7.83/6.05°C), cumulative (44.45/32.63°Cd). All displayed an increasing trend. Geographically, northern Plateau exhibited highest heat, whereas southern region experienced longer wave. The solar flux index, western Pacific subtropical high area index identified primary factors influencing By end 21st century, are projected rise significantly. NHW, particular, will see extended durations greater compared DHW.

Language: Английский

Performance evaluation of CMIP6 in simulating extreme precipitation in Madagascar DOI
Mirindra Finaritra Rabezanahary Tanteliniaina, Jun Zhai, Mihasina Harinaivo Andrianarimanana

et al.

Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 155(5), P. 4089 - 4100

Published: Feb. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

2
The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar DOI Creative Commons
Rondrotiana Barimalala, Caroline Wainwright, Erik W. Kolstad

et al.

Weather and Climate Extremes, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100723 - 100723

Published: Sept. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Probabilistic projections of temperature and rainfall for climate risk assessment in Vietnam DOI Creative Commons
Quan Tran-Anh, Thanh Ngo‐Duc

Journal of Water and Climate Change, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(5), P. 2015 - 2032

Published: April 22, 2024

ABSTRACT In this study, we developed a probabilistic model using the surrogate mixed ensemble (SMME) method to project temperature and rainfall in Vietnam under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 8.5 scenarios. The SMME combines patterns from 31 global climate models participating Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) their weighted surrogates. Testing for period of 2006–2018 demonstrated SMME's ability encompass observed changes. By end 21st century, there is 5% probability average increase exceeding 6.29 °C, 95% minimum increasing by more than 2.21 °C during 2080–2099 RCP8.5 compared 1986–2005. Meanwhile, projected slightly increase, with an rise 6.12% at level. study also quantified contributions uncertainty sources – unforced, forced, scenario-related projection results, revealing that unforced dominates total signal beginning century gradually decreases, while forced remains relatively moderate but increases over time. As approach scenario dominates, accounting 75–80% signal.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Quantile delta-mapped spatial disaggregation analysis for summertime compound extremes over China DOI
Rui Zhao, Xiong Zhou, Yongping Li

et al.

Climate Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 62(9), P. 8453 - 8473

Published: Aug. 5, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Spatiotemporal variation and scenario projections of heat wave during 1961–2100 in the Loess Plateau DOI

Wenyang Si,

Zhitao Wu,

Ziqiang Du

et al.

Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 155(7), P. 6041 - 6052

Published: May 6, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Fat storage and drought tolerance in a seasonally‐adapted primate: Implications for modeling the effects of animal responses to global climate change DOI Creative Commons
Carrie C. Veilleux, Stacey R. Tecot, Rebecca J. Lewis

et al.

Integrative Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 18, 2024

Abstract Global warming is changing habitats and affecting biodiversity, expected to exacerbate aridification in many regions. Animals plants seasonally dry tropical forests often exhibit adaptations cope with seasonal resource limitation. However, whether these will facilitate drought tolerance or increase vulnerability unclear. Here, we combine long‐term individual‐based data on phenology, morphometrics, demographics investigate how impacts the food resources, health, reproduction, behavior of a population Verreaux's sifaka ( Propithecus verreauxi ), critically endangered lemur inhabiting deciduous Madagascar. Between December 2010 May 2023, experienced 3 years severe (2016, 2017, 2022). During green periods drought, availability high‐quality foods (young leaves, fruit) was significantly reduced fruit tree mortality increased. This persisted year after despite typical rainfall. Yet surprisingly, found no negative effects body condition commonly‐used metrics for reproductive success during following drought. Instead, exhibited higher levels subcutaneous fat droughts. We observed little change between non‐drought periods. they were more likely lick dew spent less time feeding young mature leaves. They also increased their flowers fruits, abundance habitat. Together, our results suggest that consumption water‐rich droughts could physiological mechanisms help water scarcity, including fructose‐mediated storage, metabolic production, conservation. These provide new insights into animals may respond climate change, suggesting behavioral limitation buffer some mammals from other extreme weather events.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Emerging Adaptation Constrains in Mount Darwin District, Zimbabwe DOI
Vincent Chenzi, Mohau J. Mateyisi, Shingirai S. Nangombe

et al.

Sustainable development goals series, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 245 - 258

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0
“There is no hope; only strong wind”: How climate change impacts adolescent mental health in southern Madagascar DOI Creative Commons
Kristin Hadfield,

Matylda Sulowska,

Nambinina Rasolomalala

et al.

The Journal of Climate Change and Health, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 23, P. 100438 - 100438

Published: May 1, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Spatiotemporal variation and scenario projections of heat wave during 1961-2100 in the Loess Plateau DOI Creative Commons

Wenyang Si,

Zhitao Wu,

Ziqiang Du

et al.

Research Square (Research Square), Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Dec. 29, 2023

Abstract Understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of heat wave (HW) is vital for both natural systems and human populations. Given Loess Plateau's sensitivity to extreme events due its fragile ecological environment, it imperative study variability HW. This research utilized instrumental measurements, climate model data, atmospheric circulation metrics comprehensively analyze past future HW variations their drivers in Plateau. From 1961 2019, daytime wave(DHW) nighttime wave(NHW) were as follows: duration (9.28/9.72 days), frequency (1.34/1.4 times, mean intensity (6.24/4.69°C), maximum (7.83/6.05°C), cumulative (44.45/32.63°Cd). All displayed an increasing trend. Geographically, northern Plateau exhibited highest heat, whereas southern region experienced longer wave. The solar flux index, western Pacific subtropical high area index identified primary factors influencing By end 21st century, are projected rise significantly. NHW, particular, will see extended durations greater compared DHW.

Language: Английский

Citations

0