Integrated pest management of Tuta absoluta: practical implementations across different world regions

Journal of Pest Science, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 95(1), P. 17 - 39

Published: Oct. 31, 2021

Language: Английский

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Geospatial physiologically based demographic modeling and analysis of thirteen invasive species in Africa: why the biology matters

Environmental Sciences Europe, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 37(1)

Published: April 29, 2025

Language: Английский

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Including climate change in pest risk assessment: Current practices and perspectives for future implementation

EPPO Bulletin, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 54(S1), P. 52 - 72

Published: March 1, 2024

Abstract The evaluation of the potential for newly arrived species to survive and determination whether a founder population can become established subsequently spread cause negative impacts are crucial considerations when performing pest risk assessment in plant health. Climate change has clear consequences concerning range pests, their impacts. Despite its importance, no guidance exists support how climate should be incorporated into assessment. This paper reviews been considered so far, not only area but also other domains provides on incorporation could affect overall Furthermore, from this analysis, some possible solutions incorporating provided, taking account that outcomes have profound political, economic, social environmental implications.

Language: Английский

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Stabilizing adaptation in an invasive species: Alfalfa weevil as a case study

Agricultural and Forest Entomology, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: April 16, 2025

Abstract Studies on the phylogeographic structure of species (strains) have yielded insights into their geographic distribution but tell less about strain's capacity to invade novel environments. Extensive age‐specific life table data two strains invasive Palearctic alfalfa weevil, Hypera postica (Gyllenhal) (i.e., Ebro Valley, Spain ( S ) and Hamadan, Iran I strains) having disparate vital rates, are used develop weather‐driven physiologically based demographic models (PBDMs) biology. The PBDMs explore prospectively potential across much Holarctic. Using N.E. Gilbert's theory that fecundity is selected level appropriate for population in its environment, we interacting effects multiples observed fecundity, temperature‐dependent mortality density‐dependent growth constraints stabilizing adaptation weather native area. Aestivating adults () bridge critical winter period, annual production as a metric adaptation. Maximization environments supports supposition. wide potential, posit selection maximizing would occur after successful invasion We propose evolving an strain extant climate change can be examined by periodic updates biodemographic biology PBDMs.

Language: Английский

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Invasive potential of tropical fruit flies in temperate regions under climate change

Communications Biology, Journal Year: 2021, Volume and Issue: 4(1)

Published: Sept. 30, 2021

Tropical fruit flies are considered among the most economically important invasive species detected in temperate areas of United States and European Union. Detections often trigger quarantine eradication programs that conducted without a holistic understanding threat posed. Weather-driven physiologically-based demographic models used to estimate geographic range, relative abundance, posed by four tropical tephritid (Mediterranean fly, melon oriental Mexican fly) North Central America, European-Mediterranean region under extant climate change weather (RCP8.5 A1B scenarios). Most fly propagule pressure have not been suitable for establishment, but suitability is predicted increase some with change. To meet this ongoing challenge, investments needed collect sound biological data develop mechanistic predict range abundance these other species, put policies on scientific basis.

Language: Английский

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Estimation and analysis of insect population dynamics parameters via physiologically based models and hybrid genetic algorithm MCMC methods

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 77, P. 102232 - 102232

Published: July 26, 2023

Decision support systems are gaining importance in several fields of agriculture, forest, and ecological management. Their predictive potential, entrusted to mathematical models, is fundamental set up opportune strategies control pests adversities that may occur seriously compromise the natural equilibria. Among others, population dynamics one crucial challenges field. Despite scientific community recent years providing valuable models faithfully represent terrestrial arthropods populations, such as insects, main concerns still represented by parameter estimation. Parameters, fact, characterise species their estimation often dedicated laboratory experiments require specific equipment highly qualified personnel. In this study we propose a novel method estimate model parameters directly from field data, where experimental activities less expensive time consuming. combination least squares methods via genetic algorithms preliminary evaluate best values Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach obtain distribution. The algorithm has been tested special case Drosophila suzukii, quantify part an almost validated two steps: i) first pseudo-validation using perturbed numerical solutions, ii) validation real data. results highlighted potentialities estimating opened perspectives for further improvements both computational point view.

Language: Английский

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A general DDE framework to describe insect populations: Why delays are so important?

Ecological Modelling, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 499, P. 110937 - 110937

Published: Nov. 14, 2024

Language: Английский

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Paninvasion severity assessment of a U.S. grape pest to disrupt the global wine market

Communications Biology, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 5(1)

Published: July 4, 2022

Economic impacts from plant pests are often felt at the regional scale, yet some expand to global scale through alignment of a pest's invasion potentials. Such globally invasive species (i.e., paninvasives) like human pathogens that cause pandemics. Like pandemics, assessing paninvasion risk for an emerging pest is key stakeholders take early actions avoid market disruption. Here, we develop severity assessment framework and use it assess rapidly spreading U.S. grape pest, spotted lanternfly planthopper (Lycorma delicatula; SLF), spread disrupt wine market. We found SLF potentials aligned because important viticultural regions with suitable environments establishment also heavily trade invaded states. If acts as bridgehead, Italy, France, Spain, other exporters likely experience next introductions. Risk high unless work reduce in globally.

Language: Английский

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Using Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to Estimate the Suitability of European Mediterranean Non-Native Area for the Establishment of Toumeyella Parvicornis (Hemiptera: Coccidae)

Insects, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 14(1), P. 46 - 46

Published: Jan. 3, 2023

The pine tortoise scale, Toumeyella parvicornis, is an insect native to the Nearctic region that able infest several Pinus species. It can cause weakening, defoliation and, at high infestation levels, tree death. After its first report in Italy 2015, pest spread rapidly over surrounding areas and was reported France 2021. Due threat this poses trees, suitability of European Mediterranean basin for T. parvicornis different spatial scales estimated by constructing species distribution models (SDMs) using bioclimatic variables. Our results showed coastal area could be suitable parvicornis. Based on performance assessment, all SDMs tested provided a good representation non-native scales. In particular, most with medium or level corresponded geographical range spp. Europe. Predicting provides fundamental tool early detection management

Language: Английский

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Reconstructing the biological invasion of Tuta absoluta: evidence of niche shift and its consequences for invasion risk assessment

Journal of Pest Science, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 97(1), P. 127 - 141

Published: April 29, 2023

Language: Английский

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