Afyon Kocatepe University Journal of Sciences and Engineering,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
25(2), P. 359 - 368
Published: March 28, 2025
Atık
su
akış
tahmini,
atık
arıtma
tesislerinin
doğru
ve
etkin
bir
şekilde
yönetimi
için
anahtar
rol
oynamaktadır.
Kontrolsüz
şehirleşme,
nüfus
artışları,
iklim
değişikliğinden
kaynaklı
aşırı
yağışlar
altyapı
yetersizlikleri
gibi
nedenlerden
kaynaklanan
tutarsız
veri
belirsizlikler
tahminini
güçleştirmektedir.
Bu
kapsamda
uzun
vadeli
eğilimleri
kapsayacak
etkili
tahmin
modellerinin
kullanılması
ihtiyacı
belirgin
hale
gelmiştir.
çalışmada
Samsun’un
Doğu
İleri
Biyolojik
Su
Arıtma
Tesisi
miktarının
zaman
serisi
analiz
modeli
olan
ARIMA
yapay
sinir
ağları
ile
edilmesi
amaçlanmıştır.
Bir
yıllık
süreye
karşılık
gelen
günlük
miktarı
verileri
kullanılan
modellerin
performansları
RMSE,
MAE
MAPE
değerleri
açısından
karşılaştırılmıştır.
(2,
1,
2)
daha
yüksek
doğrulukta
performans
göstermiştir.
The European Journal of Health Economics,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
23(6), P. 917 - 940
Published: Aug. 4, 2021
The
coronavirus
disease
(COVID-19)
is
a
severe,
ongoing,
novel
pandemic
that
emerged
in
Wuhan,
China,
December
2019.
As
of
January
21,
2021,
the
virus
had
infected
approximately
100
million
people,
causing
over
2
deaths.
This
article
analyzed
several
time
series
forecasting
methods
to
predict
spread
COVID-19
during
pandemic's
second
wave
Italy
(the
period
after
October
13,
2020).
autoregressive
moving
average
(ARIMA)
model,
innovations
state
space
models
for
exponential
smoothing
(ETS),
neural
network
autoregression
(NNAR)
trigonometric
model
with
Box-Cox
transformation,
ARMA
errors,
and
trend
seasonal
components
(TBATS),
all
their
feasible
hybrid
combinations
were
employed
forecast
number
patients
hospitalized
mild
symptoms
intensive
care
units
(ICU).
data
February
2020-October
2020
extracted
from
website
Italian
Ministry
Health
(
www.salute.gov.it
).
results
showed
(i)
better
at
capturing
linear,
nonlinear,
patterns,
significantly
outperforming
respective
single
both
series,
(ii)
numbers
COVID-19-related
hospitalizations
ICU
projected
increase
rapidly
mid-November
2020.
According
estimations,
necessary
ordinary
beds
expected
double
10
days
triple
20
days.
These
predictions
consistent
observed
trend,
demonstrating
may
facilitate
public
health
authorities'
decision-making,
especially
short-term.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: Feb. 14, 2022
This
study
aims
to
develop
an
assumption-free
data-driven
model
accurately
forecast
COVID-19
spread.
Towards
this
end,
we
firstly
employed
Bayesian
optimization
tune
the
Gaussian
process
regression
(GPR)
hyperparameters
efficient
GPR-based
for
forecasting
recovered
and
confirmed
cases
in
two
highly
impacted
countries,
India
Brazil.
However,
machine
learning
models
do
not
consider
time
dependency
data
series.
Here,
dynamic
information
has
been
taken
into
account
alleviate
limitation
by
introducing
lagged
measurements
constructing
investigated
models.
Additionally,
assessed
contribution
of
incorporated
features
prediction
using
Random
Forest
algorithm.
Results
reveal
that
significant
improvement
can
be
obtained
proposed
In
addition,
results
highlighted
superior
performance
GPR
compared
other
(i.e.,
Support
vector
regression,
Boosted
trees,
Bagged
Decision
tree,
Forest,
XGBoost)
achieving
averaged
mean
absolute
percentage
error
around
0.1%.
Finally,
provided
confidence
level
predicted
based
on
showed
predictions
are
within
95%
interval.
presents
a
promising
shallow
simple
approach
predicting
Symmetry,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(1), P. 124 - 124
Published: Jan. 1, 2023
In
an
era
where
people
in
the
world
are
concerned
about
environmental
issues,
companies
must
reduce
distribution
costs
while
minimizing
pollution
generated
during
process.
For
today’s
multi-depot
problem,
a
mixed-integer
programming
model
is
proposed
this
paper
to
minimize
all
incurred
entire
transportation
process,
considering
impact
of
time-varying
speed,
loading,
and
waiting
time
on
costs.
Time
directional;
hence,
problems
considered
study
modeled
based
asymmetry,
making
problem-solving
more
complex.
This
proposes
genetic
algorithm
combined
with
simulated
annealing
solve
issue,
inner
outer
layers
solving
for
optimal
path
planning
respectively.
The
mutation
operator
replaced
layer
by
neighbor
search
approach
using
solution
acceptance
mechanism
similar
avoid
local
optimum
solution.
extends
problem
(vehicle-routing
problem)
provides
alternative
networks.
Decision Analytics Journal,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
1, P. 100007 - 100007
Published: Oct. 30, 2021
The
COVID-19
pandemic
spread
rapidly
around
the
world
and
is
currently
one
of
most
leading
causes
death
heath
disaster
in
world.
Turkey,
like
countries,
has
been
negatively
affected
by
COVID-19.
aim
this
study
to
design
a
predictive
model
based
on
artificial
neural
network
(ANN)
predict
future
number
daily
cases
deaths
caused
generalized
way
fit
different
countries'
spreads.
In
study,
we
used
dataset
between
11
March
2020
23
January
2021
for
countries.
This
provides
an
ANN
assist
government
take
preventive
action
hospitals
medical
facilities.
results
show
that
there
86%
overall
accuracy
predicting
mortality
rate
87%
cases.
PeerJ Computer Science,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
7, P. e805 - e805
Published: Dec. 16, 2021
Breast
cancer
is
one
of
the
leading
causes
death
in
women
worldwide-the
rapid
increase
breast
has
brought
about
more
accessible
diagnosis
resources.
The
ultrasonic
modality
for
relatively
cost-effective
and
valuable.
Lesion
isolation
images
a
challenging
task
due
to
its
robustness
intensity
similarity.
Accurate
detection
lesions
using
can
reduce
rates.
In
this
research,
quantization-assisted
U-Net
approach
segmentation
proposed.
It
contains
two
step
segmentation:
(1)
(2)
quantization.
quantization
assists
U-Net-based
order
isolate
exact
lesion
areas
from
sonography
images.
Independent
Component
Analysis
(ICA)
method
then
uses
isolated
extract
features
are
fused
with
deep
automatic
features.
Public
ultrasonic-modality-based
datasets
such
as
Ultrasound
Images
Dataset
(BUSI)
Open
Access
Database
Raw
Ultrasonic
Signals
(OASBUD)
used
evaluation
comparison.
OASBUD
data
extracted
same
However,
classification
was
done
after
feature
regularization
lasso
method.
obtained
results
allow
us
propose
computer-aided
design
(CAD)
system
identification
modalities.
Sensors,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
22(22), P. 8615 - 8615
Published: Nov. 8, 2022
Extracting
useful
knowledge
from
proper
data
analysis
is
a
very
challenging
task
for
efficient
and
timely
decision-making.
To
achieve
this,
there
exist
plethora
of
machine
learning
(ML)
algorithms,
while,
especially
in
healthcare,
this
complexity
increases
due
to
the
domain’s
requirements
analytics-based
risk
predictions.
This
manuscript
proposes
mechanism
experimented
diverse
healthcare
scenarios,
towards
constructing
catalogue
most
ML
algorithms
be
used
depending
on
scenario’s
datasets,
efficiently
predicting
onset
disease.
context,
seven
(7)
different
(Naïve
Bayes,
K-Nearest
Neighbors,
Decision
Tree,
Logistic
Regression,
Random
Forest,
Neural
Networks,
Stochastic
Gradient
Descent)
have
been
executed
top
scenarios
(stroke,
COVID-19,
diabetes,
breast
cancer,
kidney
disease,
heart
failure).
Based
variety
performance
metrics
(accuracy,
recall,
precision,
F1-score,
specificity,
confusion
matrix),
it
has
identified
that
sub-set
are
more
predictions
under
specific
why
envisioned
prioritizes
used,
scenarios’
nature
needed
metrics.
Further
evaluation
must
performed
considering
additional
involving
state-of-the-art
techniques
(e.g.,
cloud
deployment,
federated
ML)
improving
mechanism’s
efficiency.