Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(8), P. 3436 - 3436
Published: April 12, 2025
Greenhouse
gases
(GHGs)
significantly
shape
global
climate
systems
by
driving
temperature
rises,
disrupting
weather
patterns,
and
intensifying
environmental
imbalances,
with
direct
consequences
for
human
life,
including
rising
sea
levels,
extreme
weather,
threats
to
food
security.
Accurate
forecasting
of
GHG
concentrations
is
crucial
crafting
effective
policies,
curbing
carbon
emissions,
fostering
sustainable
development.
However,
current
models
often
struggle
capture
multi-scale
temporal
patterns
demand
substantial
computational
resources,
limiting
their
practicality.
This
study
presents
MST-GHF
(Multi-Scale
Temporal
Gas
Forecasting),
an
innovative
framework
that
integrates
daily
monthly
CO2
data
through
a
multi-encoder
architecture
address
these
challenges.
It
leverages
Input
Attention
encoder
manage
short-term
fluctuations,
Autoformer
long-term
trends,
mechanism
ensure
stability
across
scales.
Evaluated
on
fifty-year
NOAA
dataset
from
Mauna
Loa,
Barrow,
American
Samoa,
Antarctica,
surpasses
14
baseline
models,
achieving
Test_R2
0.9627
Test_MAPE
1.47%,
notable
in
forecasting.
By
providing
precise
predictions,
empowers
policymakers
reliable
targeted
policies
conducting
scenario
simulations
enabling
proactive
adjustments
emission
reduction
strategies
enhancing
sustainability
aligning
interventions
goals.
Its
optimized
efficiency,
reducing
resource
demands
compared
Transformer-based
further
strengthens
modeling,
making
it
deployable
resource-limited
settings.
Ultimately,
serves
as
robust
tool
mitigate
impacts
advancing
societal
domains.
Environmental Science and Pollution Research,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Jan. 13, 2025
Abstract
Human-induced
global
warming,
primarily
attributed
to
the
rise
in
atmospheric
CO
2
,
poses
a
substantial
risk
survival
of
humanity.
While
most
research
focuses
on
predicting
annual
emissions,
which
are
crucial
for
setting
long-term
emission
mitigation
targets,
precise
prediction
daily
emissions
is
equally
vital
short-term
targets.
This
study
examines
performance
14
models
data
from
1/1/2022
30/9/2023
across
top
four
polluting
regions
(China,
India,
USA,
and
EU27&UK).
The
used
include
statistical
(ARMA,
ARIMA,
SARMA,
SARIMA),
three
machine
learning
(support
vector
(SVM),
random
forest
(RF),
gradient
boosting
(GB)),
seven
deep
(artificial
neural
network
(ANN),
recurrent
variations
such
as
gated
unit
(GRU),
long
memory
(LSTM),
bidirectional-LSTM
(BILSTM),
hybrid
combinations
CNN-RNN).
Performance
evaluation
employs
metrics
(
R
MAE,
RMSE,
MAPE).
results
show
that
(ML)
(DL)
models,
with
higher
(0.714–0.932)
lower
RMSE
(0.480–0.247)
values,
respectively,
outperformed
model,
had
(−
0.060–0.719)
(1.695–0.537)
all
regions.
ML
DL
was
further
enhanced
by
differencing,
technique
improves
accuracy
ensuring
stationarity
creating
additional
features
patterns
model
can
learn.
Additionally,
applying
ensemble
techniques
bagging
voting
improved
approximately
9.6%,
whereas
CNN-RNN
RNN
models.
In
summary,
both
relatively
similar.
However,
due
high
computational
requirements
associated
recommended
using
bagging.
assist
accurately
forecasting
aiding
authorities
targets
reduction.
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
122, P. 106157 - 106157
Published: March 16, 2023
Individuals
in
any
country
are
badly
impacted
both
economically
and
physically
whenever
an
epidemic
of
infectious
illnesses
breaks
out.
A
novel
coronavirus
strain
was
responsible
for
the
outbreak
sickness
2019.
Corona
Virus
Disease
2019
(COVID-19)
is
name
that
World
Health
Organization
(WHO)
officially
gave
to
pneumonia
caused
by
on
February
11,
2020.
The
use
models
informed
machine
learning
currently
a
major
focus
study
field
improved
forecasting.
By
displaying
annual
trends,
forecasting
can
be
performing
impact
assessments
potential
outcomes.
In
this
paper,
proposed
forecast
consisting
time
series
such
as
long
short-term
memory
(LSTM),
bidirectional
(Bi-LSTM),
generalized
regression
unit
(GRU),
dense-LSTM
have
been
evaluated
prediction
confirmed
cases,
deaths,
recoveries
12
countries
affected
COVID-19.
Tensorflow1.0
used
programming.
Indices
known
mean
absolute
error
(MAE),
root
means
square
(RMSE),
Median
Absolute
Error
(MEDAE)
r2
score
utilized
process
evaluating
performance
models.
We
presented
various
ways
time-series
making
LSTM
(LSTM,
BiLSTM),
we
compared
these
methods
other
evaluate
Our
suggests
based
among
most
advanced
data.
Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
16(10), P. 4219 - 4219
Published: May 17, 2024
Under
the
Paris
Agreement,
countries
must
articulate
their
most
ambitious
mitigation
targets
in
Nationally
Determined
Contributions
(NDCs)
every
five
years
and
regularly
submit
interconnected
information
on
greenhouse
gas
(GHG)
aspects,
including
national
GHG
inventories,
NDC
progress
tracking,
policies
measures
(PAMs),
projections
various
scenarios.
Research
highlights
significant
gaps
definition
of
reporting
GHG-related
elements,
such
as
inconsistencies
between
projections,
targets,
a
disconnect
PAMs
scenarios,
well
varied
methodological
approaches
across
sectors.
To
address
these
challenges,
Mitigation-Inventory
Tool
for
Integrated
Climate
Action
(MITICA)
provides
framework
that
links
applying
hybrid
decomposition
approach
integrates
machine
learning
regression
techniques
with
classical
forecasting
methods
developing
emission
projections.
MITICA
enables
scenario
generation
until
2050,
incorporating
over
60
Intergovernmental
Panel
Change
(IPCC)
It
is
first
modelling
ensures
consistency
aligning
tracking
target
setting
IPCC
best
practices
while
linking
climate
change
sustainable
economic
development.
MITICA’s
results
include
align
observed
trends,
validated
through
cross-validation
against
test
data,
employ
robust
evaluating
PAMs,
thereby
establishing
its
reliability.