Journal of Building Performance Simulation,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 1 - 28
Published: Dec. 30, 2024
Despite
recent
progress
in
the
field
of
urban
building
energy
modelling
(UBEM),
integration
occupant
behaviour
models
is
still
an
area
need
development.
Although
abundant
for
(BEM),
stochastic
occupancy
tailored
urban-level
simulations
are
lacking,
as
well
systematic
analyses
accuracy
versus
complexity.
Occupancy
aimed
BEM
typically
introduce
a
heavy
computational
load,
but
small
reduction
might
allow
large
increase
speed.
This
paper
proposes
methods
scaling
up
Markov-chain
(MC)
previously
developed
to
fit
UBEM,
and
compares
them
terms
efficiency.
For
scales
normally
involved
UBEM
(tens
hundreds
occupants
per
zone
hourly
time
resolution),
model
based
on
multinomial
sampling
proposed
that
several
hundred
times
faster
than
original
MC
only
slightly
overestimates
variability
patterns.