Global Change Biology,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
30(2)
Published: Jan. 29, 2024
Abstract
Range
shifts
and
changes
in
dominance
of
species
communities
are
among
the
major
predicted
impacts
climate
change
on
ecosystems,
supported
by
numerous
modeling
studies.
While
is
changing
particularly
rapidly
Arctic,
little
observational
data
available
to
document
composition
communities,
particular
from
large
Russian
tundra
areas.
Small
rodents
a
key
component
ecosystems
implementing
important
ecological
functions
both
as
herbivores
main
prey
for
whole
guild
predators.
Here
we
over
60
years
occurrence
nine
small
along
latitudinal
gradient
spanning
forest‐tundra
ecotone
high
Arctic
Yamal
Peninsula.
All
were
obtained
using
single
method:
snap‐trapping.
In
general,
lemmings,
specialized
arctic
endemics,
decreased
southern
parts
peninsula,
whereas
voles,
representing
boreal
or
wide‐spread
species,
increased
expanded
northwards.
The
Siberian
lemmings
(
Lemmus
sibiricus
)
declined
possibly
disappeared
southernmost
zones,
collared
Dicrostonyx
torquatus
significantly
only
forest
tundra.
strongest
increase
was
observed
zones
narrow‐headed
voles
Lasiopodomys
gregalis
),
inhabiting
meadows
riparian
habitats,
Middendorff's
Alexandromys
middendorffii
primarily
low
waterlogged
Both
also
their
distribution
range
northwards
during
last
two
decades.
might
be
due
effect
several
drivers
environmental
occurring
concert:
warming
winter
summer,
human
activity
notably
related
intensive
reindeer
herding
industrial
development.
Nature Communications,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
12(1)
Published: March 4, 2021
Abstract
Hydrological
transformations
induced
by
climate
warming
are
causing
Arctic
annual
fluvial
energy
to
shift
from
skewed
(snowmelt-dominated)
multimodal
(snowmelt-
and
rainfall-dominated)
distributions.
We
integrated
decade-long
hydrometeorological
biogeochemical
data
the
High
show
that
shifts
in
timing
magnitude
of
discharge
patterns
stream
power
budgets
material
transfer
regimes
undergo
fundamental
changes.
Increased
late
summer
rainfall
enhanced
terrestrial-aquatic
connectivity
for
dissolved
particulate
fluxes.
Permafrost
disturbances
(<3%
watersheds’
areal
extent)
reduced
watershed-scale
organic
carbon
export,
offsetting
concurrent
increased
export
undisturbed
watersheds.
To
overcome
buffering
capacity
transferring
(30
±
9
Watt),
events
had
increase
an
order
magnitude,
indicating
landscape
is
primed
accelerated
geomorphological
change
when
future
magnitudes
consequent
pluvial
responses
exceed
current
continuum.
Ecosystems,
Journal Year:
2021,
Volume and Issue:
24(6), P. 1378 - 1392
Published: Feb. 2, 2021
Abstract
In
the
tundra,
woody
plants
are
dispersing
towards
higher
latitudes
and
altitudes
due
to
increasingly
favourable
climatic
conditions.
The
coverage
height
of
increasing,
which
may
influence
soils
tundra
ecosystem.
Here,
we
use
structural
equation
modelling
analyse
171
study
plots
examine
if
affect
growing-season
topsoil
moisture
temperature
(<
10
cm)
as
well
soil
organic
carbon
stocks
80
cm).
our
setting,
consider
hierarchy
ecosystem
by
controlling
for
other
factors,
such
topography,
wintertime
snow
depth
overall
plant
that
potentially
properties
in
this
dwarf
shrub-dominated
landscape
northern
Fennoscandia.
We
found
strong
links
from
topography
both
vegetation
soil.
Further,
multiple
properties:
dominance
inversely
correlated
with
moisture,
temperature,
(standardised
regression
coefficients
=
−
0.39;
0.22;
0.34,
respectively),
even
when
features.
Our
results
indicate
shrubs
lead
drier,
colder,
contain
less
carbon.
Thus,
there
mechanisms
through
soils.
Remote Sensing of Environment,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
281, P. 113228 - 113228
Published: Sept. 9, 2022
Warming
induced
shifts
in
tundra
vegetation
composition
and
structure,
including
circumpolar
expansion
of
shrubs,
modifies
ecosystem
structure
functioning
with
potentially
global
consequences
due
to
feedback
mechanisms
between
climate.
Satellite-derived
indices
indicate
widespread
greening
the
surface,
often
associated
regional
evidence
shrub
obtained
from
long-term
ecological
monitoring
repeated
orthophotos.
However,
explicitly
quantifying
across
large
scales
using
satellite
observations
requires
characterising
fine-scale
mosaic
Arctic
types
beyond
index-based
approaches.
Although
previous
studies
have
illustrated
potential
estimating
fractional
cover
various
Plant
Functional
Types
(PFTs)
imagery,
limited
availability
reference
data
space
time
has
constrained
deriving
fraction
series
capable
detecting
expansion.
We
applied
regression-based
unmixing
synthetic
training
build
multitemporal
machine
learning
models
order
estimate
shrubs
other
surface
components
Mackenzie
Delta
Region
for
six
intervals
1984
2020.
trained
Kernel
Ridge
Regression
(KRR)
Random
Forest
(RFR)
Landsat-derived
spectral-temporal-metrics
generated
pure
class
spectra
directly
imagery.
Independent
validation
very-high-resolution
imagery
suggested
that
KRR
outperforms
RFR,
a
MAE
10.6%
remaining
MAEs
3.0
11.2%.
Canopy-forming
were
well
modelled
all
densities,
coniferous
tree
tended
be
overestimated
differentiating
herbaceous
lichen
was
challenging.
Shrub
expanded
by
on
average
+
2.2%
per
decade
entire
study
area
4.2%
within
low
tundra,
while
relative
changes
strongest
northernmost
regions.
In
conjunction
expansion,
we
observed
plant
decline.
Our
results
corroborate
perception
replacement
homogenisation
communities
facilitated
competitive
advantage
species
under
warming
The
proposed
method
allows
multidecadal
quantitative
estimates
at
30
m
resolution,
initiating
new
opportunities
mapping
past
present
PFTs
can
help
advance
our
understanding
vast
heterogeneous
biome.
Arctic Science,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
9(2), P. 331 - 344
Published: Oct. 19, 2022
Open
top
chambers
(OTCs)
were
adopted
as
the
recommended
warming
mechanism
by
International
Tundra
Experiment
network
in
early
1990s.
Since
then,
OTCs
have
been
deployed
across
globe.
Hundreds
of
papers
reported
impacts
on
abiotic
environment
and
biota.
Here,
we
review
OTC
physical
environment,
with
comments
appropriateness
using
to
characterize
response
biota
warming.
The
purpose
this
is
guide
readers
previously
published
work
provide
recommendations
for
continued
use
understand
implications
low
stature
ecosystems.
In
short,
a
useful
tool
experimentally
manipulate
temperature;
however,
characteristics
magnitude
varies
greatly
different
environments;
therefore,
it
important
document
chamber
performance
maximize
interpretation
biotic
response.
When
coupled
long-term
monitoring,
experiments
are
valuable
means
climate
change
natural
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
119(38)
Published: Sept. 12, 2022
Emissions
of
biogenic
volatile
organic
compounds
(BVOCs)
are
a
crucial
component
biosphere–atmosphere
interactions.
In
northern
latitudes,
climate
change
is
amplified
by
feedback
processes
in
which
BVOCs
have
recognized,
yet
poorly
quantified
role,
mainly
due
to
lack
measurements
and
concomitant
modeling
gaps.
Hence,
current
Earth
system
models
mostly
rely
on
temperature
responses
measured
vegetation
from
lower
rendering
their
predictions
highly
uncertain.
Here,
we
show
how
tundra
isoprene
emissions
respond
vigorously
increases,
compared
model
results.
Our
unique
dataset
direct
eddy
covariance
ecosystem-level
two
contrasting
ecosystems
exhibited
Q
10
(the
factor
the
emission
rate
increases
with
°C
rise
temperature)
coefficients
up
20.8,
that
is,
3.5
times
5.9
derived
equivalent
calculations.
Crude
estimates
using
observed
indicate
could
enhance
41%
(87%)—that
46%
(55%)
more
than
estimated
models—with
2
(4
°C)
warming.
results
demonstrate
possesses
potential
substantially
boost
its
response
future
rising
temperatures,
at
rates
exceed
predictions.
New Phytologist,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
240(5), P. 1802 - 1816
Published: July 11, 2023
Knowledge
about
changes
in
plant
functional
traits
is
valuable
for
the
mechanistic
understanding
of
warming
effects
on
ecosystem
functions.
However,
observations
have
tended
to
focus
aboveground
traits,
and
there
little
information
belowground
or
coordination
above-
under
climate
warming,
particularly
permafrost
ecosystems.
Based
a
7-yr
field
experiment,
we
measured
26
four
dominant
species,
explored
community
composition
trait
networks
response
experimental
Tibetan
Plateau.
Experimental
shifted
community-level
toward
more
acquisitive
values,
with
earlier
green-up,
greater
height,
larger
leaves,
higher
photosynthetic
resource-use
efficiency,
thinner
roots,
specific
root
length
nutrient
concentrations.
had
negligible
effect
terms
diversity.
In
addition,
hub
which
highest
centrality
network
from
area
leaf
area.
These
results
demonstrate
that
exhibit
consistent
adaptive
strategies,
warmer
environments.
Such
could
provide
an
advantage
plants
environmental
change.
Remote Sensing of Environment,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
308, P. 114175 - 114175
Published: May 15, 2024
The
fine-scale
spatial
heterogeneity
of
low-growth
Arctic
tundra
landscapes
necessitates
the
use
high-spatial-resolution
remote
sensing
data
for
accurate
detection
vegetation
patterns.
While
multispectral
satellite
and
aerial
imaging,
including
uncrewed
vehicles
(UAVs),
are
common
approaches,
hyperspectral
UAV
imaging
has
not
been
thoroughly
explored
in
these
ecosystems.
Here,
we
assess
added
value
relative
to
modelling
plant
communities
oroarctic
heaths
Saariselkä,
northern
Finland.
We
compare
three
different
spectral
compositions:
4-channel
broadband
images,
5-channel
images
112-channel
narrowband
images.
Based
on
field
plot
data,
estimate
vascular
aboveground
biomass,
leaf
area
index,
species
richness,
Shannon's
diversity
community
composition.
topographic
information
compile
12
explanatory
datasets
random
forest
regression
classification.
For
biomass
highest
R2
values
were
0.60
0.65,
respectively,
variables
most
important.
In
best
models
biodiversity
metrics
richness
index
0.53
0.46,
with
hyperspectral,
topographic,
having
high
importance.
4
floristically
determined
clusters,
both
classifications
fuzzy
cluster
membership
regressions
conducted.
Overall
accuracy
(OA)
classification
was
0.67
at
best,
while
estimated
an
0.29–0.53.
Variable
importance
heavily
dependent
composition,
but
multispectral,
all
selected
composition
models.
Hyperspectral
generally
outperformed
ones
when
excluded.
With
this
difference
diminished,
performance
improvements
from
limited
0–10
percentage
point
increases
R2,
largest
occurring
lowest
R2.
These
results
suggest
that
can
outperform
mostly
sufficient
practical
applications
heaths.
AMBIO,
Journal Year:
2019,
Volume and Issue:
49(3), P. 805 - 819
Published: June 11, 2019
Muskoxen
(Ovibos
moschatus)
are
an
integral
component
of
Arctic
biodiversity.
Given
low
genetic
diversity,
their
ability
to
respond
future
and
rapid
change
is
unknown,
although
paleontological
history
demonstrates
adaptability
within
limits.
We
discuss
status
limitations
current
monitoring,
summarize
circumpolar
recent
variations,
delineating
all
55
endemic
or
translocated
populations.
Acknowledging
uncertainties,
global
abundance
ca
170
000
muskoxen.
Not
populations
thriving.
Six
in
decline,
as
recently
the
turn
century,
one
these
was
largest
population
world,
equaling
41%
today's
total
abundance.
Climate,
diseases,
anthropogenic
changes
likely
principal
drivers
muskox
result
multiple
stressors
that
vary
temporally
spatially.
Impacts
muskoxen
precipitated
by
habitat
loss/degradation,
altered
vegetation
species
associations,
pollution,
harvest.
Which
elements
relevant
for
a
specific
will
vary,
cumulative
interactions.
Our
summaries
highlight
importance
harmonizing
existing
data,
intensifying
long-term
monitoring
efforts
including
demographics
health
assessments,
standardizing
implementing
protocols,
increasing
stakeholder
engagement/contributions.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Journal Year:
2020,
Volume and Issue:
117(37), P. 22858 - 22865
Published: Aug. 31, 2020
Generality
in
understanding
biodiversity
responses
to
climate
change
has
been
hampered
by
substantial
variation
the
rates
and
even
directions
of
response
a
given
climate.
We
propose
that
such
context
dependencies
can
be
clarified
rescaling
gradients
terms
underlying
biological
processes,
with
biotic
interactions
as
particularly
important
process.
tested
this
approach
replicated
field
experiment
where
entire
montane
grassland
communities
were
transplanted
direction
expected
temperature
and/or
precipitation
change.
In
line
earlier
work,
we
found
considerable
across
sites
community
dynamics
However,
these
complex
could
substantially
reduced
or
eliminated
drivers
proxies
plant-plant
interactions.
Specifically,
bryophytes
limited
colonization
new
species
into
local
communities,
whereas
cover
those
colonists,
along
bryophytes,
primary
extinctions.
These
specific
are
relatively
understudied,
suggesting
for
future
work
similar
systems.
More
generally,
success
our
explaining
simplifying
landscape-level
suggests
developing
testing
relevant
processes
fruitful
building
more
general
models