From Ecological Niche to Conservation Planning; Climate‐Driven Range Dynamics of Ephedra intermedia in Central Asia DOI Creative Commons
Muhammad Waheed, Fahim Arshad, Sehrish Sadia

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(3)

Published: March 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Ephedra intermedia , a medicinally significant plant, is an important component of arid and semi‐arid ecosystems across Central South Asia. This research sought to predict the present future distribution E. by applying ecological niche modeling (ENM) methods. The model incorporated comprehensive bioclimatic edaphic variables species' habitat suitability. results demonstrated high predictive accuracy, highlighting importance temperature seasonality, annual range, soil pH, nitrogen content as key species determinants. current suitability map revealed core areas in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Tajikistan mountain regions. Under climate change scenarios (SSP2‐4.5 SSP5‐8.5) for 2050s 2070s, projected upward northward shift suitable habitats, coupled with notable contraction extent highly areas, particularly under high‐emission SSP5‐8.5 scenario. predicted range shifts reflect sensitivity increasing temperatures changing precipitation patterns. suggests potential loss habitats low‐elevation southern parts its range. Including factors provided novel insights, specifically critical role properties, such pH content, shaping . These findings complement observed scenarios, emphasizing reliance on high‐altitude refugia conditions change. underscore implications conservation planning, suggesting that strategies should prioritize protection these refugial while also considering measures connectivity assisted migration support adaptation shifting environmental conditions.

Language: Английский

Analysis of Spatio-temporal change of Carbon Emissions and Carbon Sinks and Carbon Balance partition in the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Region DOI Creative Commons
Yunsong Yang

E3S Web of Conferences, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 617, P. 01023 - 01023

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Research on spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of carbon sources/sinks and balance zoning is significance in promoting the coordinated development regional low-carbon development, improving scientificity operability reduction sink enhancement policies, realizing goal “double carbon”. In this study, Spatio-temporal Poyang lake ecological economic region (PYLEER) have been analyzed by correcting long time series DMSP / OLS, NPP VIIRS night lighting data, land use GIS. The results were as follows: ① From 2000 to 2021, total emission PYLEER continued rise but growth rate was declining, showing an overall convergence trend, not reaching peak emission, spatial pattern stable. change has gone through two stages, with a slow trend from 2005 decreasing 2021. ② changed greatly, spanning 1612.90-20269.18t. compensation less than 1, source, decreasing, indicating certain pressure. contribution coefficient generally showed first then increasing, greatly. carrying relatively ③ 2010, produced some changes. And Jiujiang city Jingdezhen area area, Xinyu had become comprehensive optimization area. To again compared Yingtan becoming zone, Jiujiang, Yichun, zones, Ji'an Fuzhou zones.The above research are guiding formulation scientific neutralization policies PYLEER.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
From Ecological Niche to Conservation Planning; Climate‐Driven Range Dynamics of Ephedra intermedia in Central Asia DOI Creative Commons
Muhammad Waheed, Fahim Arshad, Sehrish Sadia

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(3)

Published: March 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Ephedra intermedia , a medicinally significant plant, is an important component of arid and semi‐arid ecosystems across Central South Asia. This research sought to predict the present future distribution E. by applying ecological niche modeling (ENM) methods. The model incorporated comprehensive bioclimatic edaphic variables species' habitat suitability. results demonstrated high predictive accuracy, highlighting importance temperature seasonality, annual range, soil pH, nitrogen content as key species determinants. current suitability map revealed core areas in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Tajikistan mountain regions. Under climate change scenarios (SSP2‐4.5 SSP5‐8.5) for 2050s 2070s, projected upward northward shift suitable habitats, coupled with notable contraction extent highly areas, particularly under high‐emission SSP5‐8.5 scenario. predicted range shifts reflect sensitivity increasing temperatures changing precipitation patterns. suggests potential loss habitats low‐elevation southern parts its range. Including factors provided novel insights, specifically critical role properties, such pH content, shaping . These findings complement observed scenarios, emphasizing reliance on high‐altitude refugia conditions change. underscore implications conservation planning, suggesting that strategies should prioritize protection these refugial while also considering measures connectivity assisted migration support adaptation shifting environmental conditions.

Language: Английский

Citations

0