Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 824 - 824

Published: April 10, 2025

This study, guided by the concept hat “lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets”, focuses on explicating ecological vulnerability characteristics of Nanpan Beipan River Basins, a typical karst river basin in Guizhou Province. In this article, value equivalent table was built to calculate ecosystem service (ESV) within from 2000 2020. The patch landscape urban simulation model (PLUS) improved forecast changes under four scenarios future. Getis-Ord Gi*statistic, spatial analysis tool, introduced identify interpret patterns ESVs study area. research indicates that: (1) 2020, pattern has significantly improved, with notable ESV increase especially fastest growth 2005 2010. Forest grassland ecosystems main contributors basin, distribution shows decreasing trend southeast northwest. (2) Under different scenarios, forest still would have highest contribution rate update between 2010 2035. is lowest cropland protection scenario, amounting CNY 104.972 billion. Compared other higher sustainable development reaching 106.786 billion, scenario provides more comprehensive balanced perspective, relatively achieving harmonious coexistence humans nature. (3) hot spots mainly concentrated along riverbanks Urban cold ESV, indicating that protecting crucial for ensuring security mountainous basins. future basins, it necessary strengthen restoration governance, monitor soil erosion through remote sensing technology, optimize layout territorial space implement policy green development, promote nature,

Language: Английский