International Journal of Disaster Risk Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
15(5), P. 831 - 851
Published: Oct. 1, 2024
Abstract
Due
to
global
climate
anomalies,
the
intensity
and
spatial
extent
of
weather
extremes
have
increased
notably.
Therefore,
extreme
events
must
be
studied
ensure
agricultural
production.
In
this
study,
growing
season
accumulated
temperature
above
10
°C
(GSAT
)
was
used
as
regionalization
index
for
maize
in
Songliao
Plain
region,
study
area
divided
into
three
zones.
The
standardized
precipitation
requirement
(SPRI)
(STI)
were
introduced
analyze
temporal
patterns
drought,
waterlogging,
heat
during
from
May
September
using
meteorological
station
data
between
1991
2020.
compound
event
magnitude
indices
constructed
by
modeling
marginal
distribution
detect
drought
(CDHEs)
waterlogging
(CWHEs),
assess
their
potential
impacts
on
results
show
that:
(1)
major
disasters
region
heat.
areas
with
prolonged
high
temperatures
similar
higher
severity
extremes,
mainly
concentrated
central
southern
parts
(Zone
3).
(2)
CWHEs
occurred
northern
part
(Zones
1
2),
CDHEs
predominantly
area.
(3)
For
most
sites
Plain,
duration,
severity,
positively
correlated
relative
yield
(
Y
w
).
Maize
reduction
significantly
affected
CDHEs.
Agricultural Water Management,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
296, P. 108807 - 108807
Published: April 2, 2024
The
reference
evapotranspiration
(ETo)
is
a
key
parameter
in
achieving
sustainable
use
of
agricultural
water
resources.
To
accurately
acquire
ETo
under
limited
conditions,
this
study
combined
the
northern
goshawk
optimization
algorithm
(NGO)
with
extreme
gradient
boosting
(XGBoost)
model
to
propose
novel
NGO-XGBoost
model.
performance
was
evaluated
using
meteorological
data
from
30
stations
North
China
Plain
and
compared
XGBoost,
random
forest
(RF),
k
nearest
neighbor
(KNN)
models.
An
ensemble
embedded
feature
selection
(EEFS)
method
results
RF,
adaptive
(AdaBoost),
categorical
(CatBoost)
models
used
obtain
importance
factors
estimating
ETo,
thereby
determine
optimal
combination
inputs
indicated
that
by
top
3,
4,
5
important
as
input
combinations,
all
achieved
high
estimation
accuracy.
It
worth
noting
there
were
significant
spatial
differences
precisions
four
models,
but
exhibited
consistently
precisions,
global
indicator
(GPI)
rankings
1st,
range
coefficient
determination
(R2),
nash
efficiency
(NSE),
root
mean
square
error
(RMSE),
absolute
(MAE)
bias
(MBE)
0.920–0.998,
0.902–0.998,
0.078–0.623
mm
d−1,
0.058–0.430
−0.254–0.062
respectively.
Furthermore,
accuracy
varied
across
different
seasons,
which
more
significantly
affected
humidity
wind
speed
winter.
When
target
station
insufficient,
trained
historical
neighboring
still
maintained
precision.
Overall,
recommends
reliable
for
provides
calculating
absence
data.
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
129, P. 103822 - 103822
Published: April 7, 2024
Vegetation
Condition
Index
(VCI),
as
a
widely
used
drought
index
for
monitoring
vegetation
stress
and
estimating
trends,
is
constructed
by
normalizing
the
long-term
satellite-based
Normalized
Difference
(NDVI)
data.
However,
under
global
greening,
across
different
regions
has
shown
an
increasing
trend
in
greenness,
which
may
cause
VCI
to
inherit
greening
NDVI
further
hamper
its
ability
analysis.
Therefore,
this
study
quantitatively
explored
underlying
relationship
among
VCI,
from
2001
2021
examine
utility
of
changing
environment.
Multi-source
indicators
were
employed
surrogates
greenness
drought,
respectively.
Particularly,
Leaf
Area
(LAI)
Net
Primary
Production
(NPP)
proxies
while
Root-Zone
Soil
Moisture
(RZSM),
Palmer
Drought
Severity
(PDSI),
Standardized
Precipitation-Evapotranspiration
(SPEI)
indices.
Based
on
Sen's
slope
estimator,
Mann-Kendall
(MK)
test,
partial
correlation
analysis,
our
results
show
that
proportion
pixels
with
approximately
38.5%,
similar
greenness-related
indices
(i.e.,
NPP
[26.47%]
LAI
[59.14%]),
significantly
higher
than
other
RZSM
[19.83%],
PDSI
[10.38%],
SPEI
[9.32%]).
Furthermore,
demonstrate
index,
exhibits
closer
(LAI
NPP)
(RZSM,
PDSI,
SPEI).
These
reveal
potential
limitations
practical
applications
could
enhance
understanding
dynamics
especially
current
globe.
Additionally,
serves
cautionary
note
scientific
community
involved
monitoring,
emphasizing
not
be
suitable
tool
evaluating
trends
impacts
vegetation.
Atmosphere,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
15(1), P. 89 - 89
Published: Jan. 10, 2024
The
Lancang-Mekong
River
Basin
(LMRB)
is
one
of
the
major
transboundary
basins
globally,
facing
ongoing
challenges
due
to
flood
and
drought
disasters.
Particularly
in
past
two
decades,
basin
has
experienced
an
increased
frequency
meteorological
events,
posing
serious
threats
local
socio-economic
structures
ecological
systems.
Thus,
this
study
aimed
analyze
characteristics
LMRB
identify
impact
correlation
atmospheric
circulation
on
basin.
Specifically,
different
levels
events
were
defined
using
Run
Theory
based
seasonal
annual
SPEI
from
1980
2018.
time
lag
between
EI
Nino-Southern
Oscillation
(ENSO),
Arctic
(AO),
North
Atlantic
(NAO),
Pacific
Decadal
(PDO),
analyzed
LMRB.
Our
results
indicated
that,
a
temporal
perspective,
period
November
April
following
year
was
particularly
prone
droughts
In
terms
spatial
distribution,
primary
agricultural
regions
within
basin,
including
Thailand,
Eastern
Cambodia,
Vietnam,
highly
susceptible
droughts.
Further
analysis
revealed
teleconnection
factors.
sensitivity
basin’s
timing
its
response
decreased
order
ENSO
>
AO
NAO
PDO.
general,
had
most
substantial
influence
with
strongest
relationship,
while
upper
reaches
displayed
significant
AO;
occurrence
progression
area
synchronized
AO.
These
findings
enhance
our
understanding
drought-prone
areas
LMRB,
factors
driving
mechanisms
involved.
This
information
valuable
for
effectively
mitigating
managing
risks
region.
Agronomy,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
14(2), P. 344 - 344
Published: Feb. 8, 2024
The
Northeast
region
of
China
and
Huang
Huai
Hai
(3H)
are
vital
maize
production
bases
in
northern
that
crucial
for
national
food
security.
absence
phenological
data
hinders
a
detailed
assessment
the
alignment
between
development
stages
climatic
resources.
This
study
combines
authors’
phenology
with
climate
suitability
modeling
to
evaluate
maize’s
at
different
developmental
both
regions.
shows
during
growth
cycle,
average
temperature,
precipitation,
sunshine,
comprehensive
were
0.77,
0.49,
0.87,
0.65,
respectively,
Northeast.
In
contrast,
3H
0.98,
0.53,
0.73,
0.70,
respectively.
Precipitation
is
major
factor
influencing
growth,
temperature
sunshine
impacting
differently
across
Temperature
significantly
affects
Northeast,
while
plays
greater
role
region.
suitable
drought-resistant
varieties,
implementing
late
harvest
policy
Liaoning
could
enhance
yield.
generally
has
favorable
conditions.
Apart
from
certain
parts
Henan
needing
areas
ample
growing
seasons
can
adopt
long-duration
varieties
maximize
thermal
resource
utilization.
Our
results
have
important
implications
optimizing
planting
strategies
enhancing
regional
resilience,
aiming
assess
meteorological
factors’
impact
on
key
areas.