Evolution of the subtropical surface wind in the north-east Atlantic under climate change DOI Creative Commons
José Isânio de Moraes Alves, Pedro Miranda, Ricardo Tomé

et al.

Climate Dynamics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 63(1)

Published: Nov. 26, 2024

Abstract The climate of western Europe and northwest Africa strongly depends on the Azores anticyclone strength, location, shape and, locally, also characteristics Iberia Sahara summer thermal lows. EC-EARTH3 global simulations are here used to assess predicted behaviour these two relevant surface pressure systems associated wind, by end XXI century (2071–2100), considering change scenarios. Additionally, a high-resolution Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) simulation centred Madeira Island is influence wind at smaller scales, in region well known for its perturbed flows. Results indicate general mean speed decrease over sector North-Atlantic, with flatter anticyclone. However, intensification lows imposes an increasing near west Africa, summer. Southwest Iberia, experience tip-jets. projected changes low-level variability will impact different sectors activity, either directly as cases aeronautical operation offshore renewable energy, or indirectly through ocean circulation.

Language: Английский

Global ocean wave fields show consistent regional trends between 1980 and 2014 in a multi-product ensemble DOI Creative Commons
Li Erikson, Joao Morim, Mark Hemer

et al.

Communications Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 3(1)

Published: Dec. 21, 2022

Abstract Historical trends in the direction and magnitude of ocean surface wave height, period, or are debated due to diverse data, time-periods, methodologies. Using a consistent community-driven ensemble global products, we quantify establish regions with robust multivariate fields between 1980 2014. We find that about 30–40% experienced seasonal mean extreme direction. Most Southern Hemisphere exhibited strong upward-trending heights (1–2 cm per year) periods during winter summer. Ocean basins positive far larger than those negative trends. calculated over shorter generally agree satellite records but vary from product product, some showing consistently bias. Variability across products time-periods highlights importance considering multiple sources when seeking change analyses.

Language: Английский

Citations

46

Refined offshore wind speed prediction: Leveraging a two-layer decomposition technique, gated recurrent unit, and kernel density estimation for precise point and interval forecasts DOI
Mie Wang, Feixiang Ying,

Qianru Nan

et al.

Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 133, P. 108435 - 108435

Published: April 25, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

15

Comparative Analysis of Offshore Wind Resources and Optimal Wind Speed Distribution Models in China and Europe DOI Creative Commons
Yanan Chen, Ming Zhao, Zhengxian Liu

et al.

Energies, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 18(5), P. 1108 - 1108

Published: Feb. 24, 2025

Offshore wind resources in China and Europe are systematically compared, focusing on speed characteristics the selection of optimal probability distribution models. Using 20 years data at 10 m 100 above sea level, seven unimodal models were applied. The results point out that China’s offshore exhibit high spatial temporal variability, influenced by monsoons typhoons, while European seas characterized stable patterns. Among tested, Weibull is most accurate one for fitting, Generalized Extreme Value Gamma perform better regions with higher skewness extreme events. This study highlights importance characteristics, such as kurtosis, selecting model. These findings provide valuable guidance improvement energy assessments appropriate Future research should explore advanced techniques, machine learning hybrid models, to capture complex patterns enhance model accuracy.

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Quantifying the risk of renewable energy droughts in Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM) using MERRA-2 weather data DOI Creative Commons

Joel Gilmore,

Tim Nelson,

Tahlia Nolan

et al.

Economic Analysis and Policy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: March 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1

Point and interval prediction for significant wave height based on LSTM-GRU and KDE DOI
Mie Wang, Feixiang Ying

Ocean Engineering, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 289, P. 116247 - 116247

Published: Nov. 16, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

20

Multi-step-ahead significant wave height prediction using a hybrid model based on an innovative two-layer decomposition framework and LSTM DOI
Fu Yang, Feixiang Ying, Lingling Huang

et al.

Renewable Energy, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 203, P. 455 - 472

Published: Dec. 23, 2022

Language: Английский

Citations

26

An Integrated Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise to Optimize LSTM for Significant Wave Height Forecasting DOI Creative Commons
Lingxiao Zhao,

Zhiyang Li,

Junsheng Zhang

et al.

Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 11(2), P. 435 - 435

Published: Feb. 16, 2023

In recent years, wave energy has gained attention for its sustainability and cleanliness. As one of the most important parameters energy, significant height (SWH) is difficult to accurately predict due complex ocean conditions ubiquitous chaotic phenomena in nature. Therefore, this paper proposes an integrated CEEMDAN-LSTM joint model. Traditional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) a long calculation period high capital consumption, but artificial intelligence methods have advantage accuracy fast convergence. CEEMDAN commonly used method digital signal processing mechanical engineering, not yet been SWH prediction. It better performance than EMD EEMD more suitable LSTM addition, also novel filter formulation outliers based on improved violin-box plot. The final empirical results show that significantly outperforms each forecast duration, improving prediction accuracy. particular, duration 1 h, improvement over LSTM, with 71.91% RMSE, 68.46% MAE 6.80% NSE, respectively. summary, our model can improve real-time scheduling capability marine engineering maintenance operations.

Language: Английский

Citations

15

Wind-Sea and Swell Climate in the Black and Azov Seas, Based on 42-Year Spectral Wave Hindcast DOI
Khalid Amarouche, Adem Akpınar

Applied Ocean Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 151, P. 104155 - 104155

Published: Aug. 5, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

4

Application of a random forest algorithm that considers barometric pressure in GNSS-R sea surface wind speed retrieval DOI Open Access
Yi Ma, Yifan Wang,

Guofang Wang

et al.

Journal of Physics Conference Series, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 2935(1), P. 012014 - 012014

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

Abstract This paper aims to rely on CYGNSS data propose a random forest-based wind speed retrieval method that considers barometric pressure as pivotal factor. Taking the Hawaiian Islands and peripheral waters subject, research conducts systematic analysis of spatial-temporal variation characteristics speeds. In this case, an innovative forest (RF) model is built trained, with longitude, latitude, time, normalized bistatic radar scattering cross section (NBRCS), leading-edge slope (LES), input features, measured buoy speeds target variable. The results show introduction can significantly improve accuracy retrieval, raising correlation above 0.8 reducing root mean square error (RMS) by more than 40%. RF (pressure) performs best when system changes dynamically, such in winter. Islands, moreover, exhibit notable spatial variations across seasons. are generally stable moderate spring autumn. winter, northern northwestern regions reach highest level. summer, southeastern region come significant decrease. These findings reveal complex influences gradients like subtropical high Aleutian Low, well topography ocean currents, speeds, providing scientific basis for understanding regional climatic dynamics energy resource development.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Gradual Strengthening of Global Oceanic Surface Winds: Correlations with Sea Surface Temperature and Implications for Wind Power Extraction DOI Creative Commons
Wei‐Bo Chen

Heliyon, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 11(4), P. e42788 - e42788

Published: Feb. 1, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

0