
Scientific Data, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12(1)
Published: April 16, 2025
Language: Английский
Scientific Data, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12(1)
Published: April 16, 2025
Language: Английский
Applied Thermal Engineering, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 125416 - 125416
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0Energy and Climate Change, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown, P. 100182 - 100182
Published: Feb. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 844 - 844
Published: April 12, 2025
Northeast China, a traditional heavy industrial base, faces significant carbon emissions challenges. This study analyzes the drivers of in 35 cities from 2000–2022, utilizing machine-learning approach based on stacking model. A model, integrating random forest and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) as base learners support vector machine (SVM) meta-model, outperformed individual algorithms, achieving coefficient determination (R2) 0.82. Compared to methods, model significantly improves prediction accuracy stability by combining strengths multiple algorithms. The Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis identified key drivers: total energy consumption, urbanization rate, electricity population positively influenced emissions, while sulfur dioxide (SO2) smoke dust average temperature, humidity showed negative correlations. Notably, green coverage exhibited complex, slightly positive relationship with emissions. Monte Carlo simulations three scenarios (Baseline Scenario (BS), Aggressive De-coal (ADS), Climate Resilience (CRS)) projected peak 2030 under ADS, lowest fluctuation (standard deviation 5) largest reduction (17.5–24.6%). Baseline indicated around 2039–2040. These findings suggest important role de-coalization. Targeted policy recommendations emphasize accelerating transition, promoting low-carbon transformation, fostering urbanization, enhancing sequestration China’s sustainable development achievement dual-carbon goals.
Language: Английский
Citations
0Applied Energy, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 384, P. 125475 - 125475
Published: Feb. 4, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0Scientific Data, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12(1)
Published: April 16, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0