Dementia death rates prediction DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Rajiv Balakrishna

et al.

BMC Psychiatry, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 23(1)

Published: Sept. 22, 2023

Prevalence of dementia illness, causing certain morbidity and mortality globally, places burden on global public health. This study primary goal was to assess future risks dying from severe dementia, given specific return period, within selected group regions or nations.

Language: Английский

Floating wind turbines structural details fatigue life assessment DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Fang Wang

et al.

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(1)

Published: Sept. 28, 2023

Abstract Fatigue damage prediction is essential for safety of contemporary offshore energy industrial projects, like wind turbines, that are to be designed sufficiently long operational period time, with minimal disruptions. Offshore structures being withstand environmental loadings due winds and waves. Due accumulated fatigue damage, floating turbines may develop material cracks in their critical locations sooner than expected. Dataset needed an accurate assessment produced by either extensive numerical modeling, or direct measurements. However, reality, temporal length the underlying dataset typically too short provide calculation life. Hence, objective this work contribute development novel methods, making better use limited dataset. In study, in-situ conditions were incorporated assess FWT tower base stresses; then structural cumulative has been assessed. Novel deconvolution extrapolation method introduced it was shown able accurately predict long-term damage. The latter technique validated, using artificially reduced dataset, resulted close calculated from full original Recommended utilize available much more efficiently, compared estimation. Accurate turbine characteristics reliability, design, safety.

Language: Английский

Citations

46

Gaidai reliability method for fixed offshore structures DOI
Jiayao Sun, Oleg Gaidai, Fang Wang

et al.

Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 46(1)

Published: Dec. 14, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

42

4400 TEU cargo ship dynamic analysis by Gaidai reliability method DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Fang Wang, Yu Cao

et al.

Journal of Shipping and Trade, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 9(1)

Published: Jan. 2, 2024

Abstract Modern cargo vessel transport constitutes an important part of global economy; hence it is paramount importance to develop novel, more efficient reliability methods for ships, especially if onboard recorded data available. Classic methods, dealing with timeseries, do not have the advantage efficiently system high dimensionality and cross-correlation between different dimensions. This study validates novel structural method suitable multi-dimensional systems versus a well-established bivariate statistical method. An example this was chosen container ship subjected large deck panel stresses during sailing. Risk losing containers, due extreme motions primary concern transport. Due non-stationarity complicated nonlinearities both waves motions, challenging model such phenomenon. In case role dramatically increases, activating effects second higher order. Moreover, laboratory tests may also be questioned. Therefore, measured on actual ships their voyages in harsh weather provides unique insight into statistics motions. aimed at benchmarking validation state-of-the-art method, which enables extraction necessary information about dynamics from time histories. The proposed opens up broad possibilities predicting simply, yet potential failure or damage risks nonlinear dynamic as whole. Note that advocated can used wide range complex engineering systems, thus limited only.

Language: Английский

Citations

41

Bivariate reliability analysis for floating wind turbines DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Fang Wang

et al.

International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 19, P. 63 - 72

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Abstract Wind turbines are designed to withstand extreme wind- and wave-induced loads, hence a reliability study is vital. This presents bivariate approach, suitable for accurate assessment of critical forces moments, occurring within the wind turbine’s mechanical parts, such as drivetrain. A ecently developed modified Weibull method has been utilized in this study. Multivariate statistical analysis more appropriate than univariate one, it accounts cross-correlations between different system components. employed estimate operational loads acting on 10-mega watt (MW) semi-submersible type floating turbine (FWT). Longitudinal, bending, twisting, cyclic being among typical load types that FWTs associated parts susceptible to. Furthermore, environmental an operating FWT impacted by incoming wind’s stochastic behavior terms speed, direction, shear, vorticity, necessitates nonlinear Appropriate numerical methods were used model dynamic, structural, aerodynamic, control aspects system. Bending moments drivetrain have obtained from SIMPACK (Multibody Simulation Method), given realistic in-situ conditions. For 5-year return period interest, offered robust FWT’s coupled drivetrain’s bending moments.

Language: Английский

Citations

40

Energy harvester reliability study by Gaidai reliability method DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Jiayao Sun, Fang Wang

et al.

Climate Resilience and Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 3(1)

Published: Jan. 3, 2024

Abstract This study validates a novel structural reliability method, particularly suitable for high‐dimensional green energy harvesting device dynamic systems, versus well‐established bivariate statistical known to accurately predict two‐dimensional system extreme response contours. Classic methods dealing with time series do not always have an advantage of easily high dimensionality, along complex cross‐correlations among different components. Energy harvesters constitute important part modern offshore engineering; hence, proper experimental safety and analysis are practical design engineering importance. To the performance galloping harvesters, laboratory wind tunnel tests been conducted, selecting speeds. illustrates usage advocated by analyzing statistics harvester's dynamics. The was extracted from available results, more specifically device's voltage‐force dataset. Advantage proposed methodology being that relatively short data record may still yield meaningful provided applied. Safety concerns all kinds devices. In case measured response, accurate prediction failure or damage probability is possible, as illustrated in this study. Distinctive semi‐analytical fact it can tackle systems practically unlimited number dimensions (or components), nonlinear between key

Language: Английский

Citations

39

Limit hypersurface state of art Gaidai reliability approach for oil tankers Arctic operational safety DOI
Oleg Gaidai,

Jinlu Sheng,

Yu Cao

et al.

Journal of Ocean Engineering and Marine Energy, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 10(2), P. 351 - 364

Published: Feb. 28, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

36

Gaidai Multivariate Reliability Method for Energy Harvester Operational Safety, Given Manufacturing Imperfections DOI
Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Fang Wang

et al.

International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 25(5), P. 1011 - 1025

Published: Feb. 29, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

35

Gaidai multivariate risk assessment method for cargo ship dynamics DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai,

Jinlu Sheng,

Yu Cao

et al.

Urban Planning and Transport Research, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 12(1)

Published: March 11, 2024

Contemporary cargo vessel transport constitutes a vital part of the global trade and economy. Thus, it is primary engineering design importance to further develop more efficient novel risk analysis assessment methods for large ships. Classical methodsmay not always have advantages efficiently dealing with dynamic system's high dimensionality along cross-correlations between various critical dimensions. Current study benchmarks state-of-art Gaidai spatiotemporal structural method, suitable multivariate systems versus well-established bivariate method. As an example, this study, operating container has been selected. The hull had subjected deck panel stresses accelerations during cross-Atlantic sailing. Risks losing containers are caused by extreme dynamics being one concerns transport. methodology, advocated here, opens up new possibilities predicting efficiently, yet simply potential damage/failure risks nonstationary, nonlinear, ship systems, as whole. Note that method may be applied wide range complex marine offshore systems.

Language: Английский

Citations

33

Multivariate Gaidai hazard assessment method in combination with deconvolution scheme to predict extreme wave heights DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Yu Cao, Hongchen Li

et al.

Results in Engineering, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 22, P. 102326 - 102326

Published: May 27, 2024

Current study advocates novel Gaidai hazards assessment methodology that may be utilized for excessive wave-heights spatiotemporal risk analysis, thus advancing climate change studies. being particularly suitable multivariate dynamic environmental ocean systems, have been MC (i.e., Monte Carlo) numerically simulated, either physically measured across a representative time period, resulting in synchronous quasi-ergodic timeseries. Offshore waves affect reliable production and operational safety of offshore marine structures. presents two reliability methods: first, state-of-the-art methodology, designed multi-dimensional to presented the current study; second, deconvolution extrapolation technique follow. Primary target accurate system's hazard assessment. Classic methods, dealing with timeseries not always possess advantages efficiently high dimensionality, along nonlinear cross-correlation patterns between various components. In-situ significant wave-height dataset, different areas, analyzed by means application advocated methodology. representing complex highly-nonlinear, cross-correlated system. Global also an important factor, affecting wave-heights. purpose had benchmark while utilizing underlying raw dataset. Methods put forth assessments large variety dimensional systems.

Language: Английский

Citations

32

Multivariate risks assessment for complex bio-systems by Gaidai-Xing reliability method DOI Creative Commons
Oleg Gaidai, Vladimir Yakimov, Qingsong Hu

et al.

Systems and Soft Computing, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 6, P. 200074 - 200074

Published: Jan. 24, 2024

Spread of novel coronavirus and other flu-like illnesses, periodically causing increased death morbidity rates, places pressures on national health systems. In order to provide a reliable long-term forecast the new infection rate, this research employs Gaidai-Xing bio-system reliability technique, especially suitable for multi-regional biological, environmental public The goal study was directly apply state art statistical techniques unprocessed raw clinical data, utilizing multicenter, population-based biostatistical methodology. Epidemiological risks have been accurately forecasted, specifically European Union member states. Based their survey suggested spatiotemporal methodology may be applied in variety biological applications.

Language: Английский

Citations

29