Estimation of possible extreme droughts for a dam catchment in Korea using a regional-scale weather model and long short-term memory network DOI Creative Commons
Mun-Ju Shin, Yong Jung

Hydrology Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 54(10), P. 1299 - 1314

Published: Sept. 29, 2023

Abstract To prepare measures to respond climate-induced extreme droughts, consideration of various weather conditions is necessary. This study tried generate drought data using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model apply it Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), a deep learning artificial intelligence model, produce runoff instead conventional rainfall–runoff models. Finally, standardized streamflow index (SSFI), hydrological index, was calculated generated predict droughts. As result, sensitivity test meteorological showed that similar types could not improve simulations with maximum difference 0.02 in Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency. During year 2015, by WRF LSTM exhibited reduced monthly runoffs more severe SSFI values below −2 compared observed data. shows significance WRF-generated simulating potential droughts based on possible physical atmospheric numerical representations. Furthermore, can simulate without requiring specific target catchment; therefore, any catchment, including those developing countries limited

Language: Английский

Spatio-temporal deep learning model for accurate streamflow prediction with multi-source data fusion DOI
Zhaocai Wang, Nannan Xu, Xiaoguang Bao

et al.

Environmental Modelling & Software, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 178, P. 106091 - 106091

Published: May 28, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

41

A compound approach for ten-day runoff prediction by coupling wavelet denoising, attention mechanism, and LSTM based on GPU parallel acceleration technology DOI
Yiyang Wang, Wenchuan Wang, Dongmei Xu

et al.

Earth Science Informatics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 17(2), P. 1281 - 1299

Published: Jan. 10, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

18

Runoff prediction using a multi-scale two-phase processing hybrid model DOI
Xuehua Zhao, Huifang Wang,

Qiucen Guo

et al.

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 19, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

2

A comparative study of data-driven models for runoff, sediment, and nitrate forecasting DOI
Mohammad Zamani, Mohammad Reza Nikoo,

Dana Rastad

et al.

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 341, P. 118006 - 118006

Published: May 8, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

35

Robust Runoff Prediction With Explainable Artificial Intelligence and Meteorological Variables From Deep Learning Ensemble Model DOI Open Access
Junhao Wu, Zhaocai Wang, Jinghan Dong

et al.

Water Resources Research, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 59(9)

Published: Sept. 1, 2023

Abstract Accurate runoff forecasting plays a vital role in issuing timely flood warnings. Whereas, previous research has primarily focused on historical and precipitation variability while disregarding other factors' influence. Additionally, the prediction process of most machine learning models is opaque, resulting low interpretability model predictions. Hence, this study develops an ensemble deep to forecast from three hydrological stations. Initially, time‐varying filtered based empirical mode decomposition employed decompose series into several internal functions (IMFs). Subsequently, complexity each IMF component evaluated by multi‐scale permutation entropy, IMFs are classified high‐ low‐frequency portions entropy values. Considering high‐frequency still exhibit great volatility, robust local mean adopted perform secondary portions. Then, meteorological variables processed Relief algorithm variance inflation factor features as inputs, individual subsequences preliminary outputs bidirectional gated recurrent unit extreme models. Random forests (RF) introduced nonlinear predicted sub‐models obtain final results. The proposed outperforms various evaluation metrics. Meanwhile, due opaque nature models, shapley assess contribution selected variable long‐term trend runoff. could serve essential reference for precise warning.

Language: Английский

Citations

34

Improving the forecasting accuracy of monthly runoff time series of the Brahmani River in India using a hybrid deep learning model DOI Creative Commons
Sonali Swagatika,

Jagadish Chandra Paul,

Bibhuti Bhusan Sahoo

et al.

Journal of Water and Climate Change, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 15(1), P. 139 - 156

Published: Dec. 15, 2023

Abstract Accurate prediction of monthly runoff is critical for effective water resource management and flood forecasting in river basins. In this study, we developed a hybrid deep learning (DL) model, Fourier transform long short-term memory (FT-LSTM), to improve the accuracy discharge time series Brahmani basin at Jenapur station. We compare performance FT-LSTM with three popular DL models: LSTM, recurrent neutral network, gated unit, considering different lag periods (1, 3, 6, 12). The period, representing interval between observed data points predicted points, crucial capturing temporal relationships identifying patterns within hydrological data. results study show that model consistently outperforms other models across all terms error metrics. Furthermore, demonstrates higher Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency R2 values, indicating better fit actual values. This work contributes growing field forecasting. proves improving forecasts offers promising solution decision-making processes.

Language: Английский

Citations

23

Prediction of agricultural drought index in a hot and dry climate using advanced hybrid machine learning DOI Creative Commons
Mohsen Rezaei, Mehdi Azhdary Moghaddam, Gholamreza Azizyan

et al.

Ain Shams Engineering Journal, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(5), P. 102686 - 102686

Published: Feb. 16, 2024

Drought monitoring and forecasting are essential for efficient water resources management. The present research aims to provide a reliable prediction of the effective Reconnaissance Index (eRDI) based on seven evaporation stations in southern Baluchestan sub-basin Iran. To achieve this purpose, artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), support vector regression (SVR) machine learning methods used combined with marine predator optimization algorithm (MPA) enhance efficiency. have been performed time scales 1-, 3-, 6-months intervals. results demonstrated superiority ANFIS-MPA over SVR-MPA ANN-MPA approaches. In addition, as scale increased, accuracy all models improved. best were eRDI 6-month at Kajdar Sarbaz station by (MAE = 0.33, NSE 0.83, R2 0.99), 0.36, 0.78, 0.85) 0.37, 0.72, 0.83).

Language: Английский

Citations

10

Advanced Framework for Predicting Rainfall-Runoff: Comparative Evaluation of AI Models for Enhanced Forecasting Accuracy DOI
Hadi Sanikhani, Mohammad Reza Nikpour,

Fatemeh Jamshidi

et al.

Water Resources Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 17, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1

A novel application of transformer neural network (TNN) for estimating pan evaporation rate DOI Creative Commons

Mustafa Abed,

Monzur Alam Imteaz, Ali Najah Ahmed

et al.

Applied Water Science, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 13(2)

Published: Dec. 30, 2022

Abstract For decision-making in farming, the operation of dams and irrigation systems, as well other fields water resource management hydrology, evaporation, a key activity throughout universal hydrological processes, entails efficient techniques for measuring its variation. The main challenge creating accurate dependable predictive models is evaporation procedure's non-stationarity, nonlinearity, stochastic characteristics. This work examines, first time, transformer-based deep learning architecture prediction four different Malaysian regions. effectiveness proposed (DL) model, signified TNN, evaluated against two competitive reference DL models, namely Convolutional Neural Network Long Short-Term Memory, with regards to various statistical indices using monthly-scale dataset collected from meteorological stations 2000–2019 period. Using variety input variable combinations, impact every data on E p forecast also examined. performance assessment metrics demonstrate that compared benchmark frameworks examined this work, developed TNN technique was more precise modelling monthly loss owing evaporation. In terms effectiveness, enhanced self-attention mechanism, outperforms demonstrating potential use forecasting Relating application, model created projection offers estimate due can thus be used management, agriculture planning based irrigation, decrease fiscal economic losses farming related industries where consistent supervision estimation are considered necessary viable living economy.

Language: Английский

Citations

28

Hydrological model parameter regionalization: Runoff estimation using machine learning techniques in the Tha Chin River Basin, Thailand DOI Creative Commons

Phyo Thandar Hlaing,

Usa Wannasingha Humphries, Muhammad Waqas

et al.

MethodsX, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 13, P. 102792 - 102792

Published: June 7, 2024

Understanding hydrological processes necessitates the use of modeling techniques due to intricate interactions among environmental factors. Estimating model parameters remains a significant challenge in runoff for ungauged catchments. This research evaluates Soil and Water Assessment Tool's capacity simulate behaviors Tha Chin River Basin with an emphasis on predictions from regionalization gauged basin, Mae Khlong Basin. Historical data 1993 2017 were utilized calibration, followed by validation using 2018 2022.•Calibration results showed SWAT model's reasonable accuracy, R² = 0.85, 0.64, indicating satisfactory match between observed simulated runoff.•Utilizing Machine Learning (ML) parameter revealed nuanced differences performance. The Random Forest (RF) exhibited 0.60 Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) slightly improved upon RF, showing 0.61 while Support Vector (SVM) demonstrated highest overall performance, 0.63.•This study highlights effectiveness ML predicting catchments, emphasizing their potential enhance accuracy. Future should focus integrating these methodologies various basins improving collection better

Language: Английский

Citations

4