Hydrology Research,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
54(10), P. 1299 - 1314
Published: Sept. 29, 2023
Abstract
To
prepare
measures
to
respond
climate-induced
extreme
droughts,
consideration
of
various
weather
conditions
is
necessary.
This
study
tried
generate
drought
data
using
the
Weather
Research
and
Forecasting
(WRF)
model
apply
it
Long
Short-Term
Memory
(LSTM),
a
deep
learning
artificial
intelligence
model,
produce
runoff
instead
conventional
rainfall–runoff
models.
Finally,
standardized
streamflow
index
(SSFI),
hydrological
index,
was
calculated
generated
predict
droughts.
As
result,
sensitivity
test
meteorological
showed
that
similar
types
could
not
improve
simulations
with
maximum
difference
0.02
in
Nash–Sutcliffe
efficiency.
During
year
2015,
by
WRF
LSTM
exhibited
reduced
monthly
runoffs
more
severe
SSFI
values
below
−2
compared
observed
data.
shows
significance
WRF-generated
simulating
potential
droughts
based
on
possible
physical
atmospheric
numerical
representations.
Furthermore,
can
simulate
without
requiring
specific
target
catchment;
therefore,
any
catchment,
including
those
developing
countries
limited
Water Resources Research,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
59(9)
Published: Sept. 1, 2023
Abstract
Accurate
runoff
forecasting
plays
a
vital
role
in
issuing
timely
flood
warnings.
Whereas,
previous
research
has
primarily
focused
on
historical
and
precipitation
variability
while
disregarding
other
factors'
influence.
Additionally,
the
prediction
process
of
most
machine
learning
models
is
opaque,
resulting
low
interpretability
model
predictions.
Hence,
this
study
develops
an
ensemble
deep
to
forecast
from
three
hydrological
stations.
Initially,
time‐varying
filtered
based
empirical
mode
decomposition
employed
decompose
series
into
several
internal
functions
(IMFs).
Subsequently,
complexity
each
IMF
component
evaluated
by
multi‐scale
permutation
entropy,
IMFs
are
classified
high‐
low‐frequency
portions
entropy
values.
Considering
high‐frequency
still
exhibit
great
volatility,
robust
local
mean
adopted
perform
secondary
portions.
Then,
meteorological
variables
processed
Relief
algorithm
variance
inflation
factor
features
as
inputs,
individual
subsequences
preliminary
outputs
bidirectional
gated
recurrent
unit
extreme
models.
Random
forests
(RF)
introduced
nonlinear
predicted
sub‐models
obtain
final
results.
The
proposed
outperforms
various
evaluation
metrics.
Meanwhile,
due
opaque
nature
models,
shapley
assess
contribution
selected
variable
long‐term
trend
runoff.
could
serve
essential
reference
for
precise
warning.
Journal of Water and Climate Change,
Journal Year:
2023,
Volume and Issue:
15(1), P. 139 - 156
Published: Dec. 15, 2023
Abstract
Accurate
prediction
of
monthly
runoff
is
critical
for
effective
water
resource
management
and
flood
forecasting
in
river
basins.
In
this
study,
we
developed
a
hybrid
deep
learning
(DL)
model,
Fourier
transform
long
short-term
memory
(FT-LSTM),
to
improve
the
accuracy
discharge
time
series
Brahmani
basin
at
Jenapur
station.
We
compare
performance
FT-LSTM
with
three
popular
DL
models:
LSTM,
recurrent
neutral
network,
gated
unit,
considering
different
lag
periods
(1,
3,
6,
12).
The
period,
representing
interval
between
observed
data
points
predicted
points,
crucial
capturing
temporal
relationships
identifying
patterns
within
hydrological
data.
results
study
show
that
model
consistently
outperforms
other
models
across
all
terms
error
metrics.
Furthermore,
demonstrates
higher
Nash–Sutcliffe
efficiency
R2
values,
indicating
better
fit
actual
values.
This
work
contributes
growing
field
forecasting.
proves
improving
forecasts
offers
promising
solution
decision-making
processes.
Ain Shams Engineering Journal,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
15(5), P. 102686 - 102686
Published: Feb. 16, 2024
Drought
monitoring
and
forecasting
are
essential
for
efficient
water
resources
management.
The
present
research
aims
to
provide
a
reliable
prediction
of
the
effective
Reconnaissance
Index
(eRDI)
based
on
seven
evaporation
stations
in
southern
Baluchestan
sub-basin
Iran.
To
achieve
this
purpose,
artificial
neural
network
(ANN),
adaptive
neuro-fuzzy
inference
system
(ANFIS),
support
vector
regression
(SVR)
machine
learning
methods
used
combined
with
marine
predator
optimization
algorithm
(MPA)
enhance
efficiency.
have
been
performed
time
scales
1-,
3-,
6-months
intervals.
results
demonstrated
superiority
ANFIS-MPA
over
SVR-MPA
ANN-MPA
approaches.
In
addition,
as
scale
increased,
accuracy
all
models
improved.
best
were
eRDI
6-month
at
Kajdar
Sarbaz
station
by
(MAE
=
0.33,
NSE
0.83,
R2
0.99),
0.36,
0.78,
0.85)
0.37,
0.72,
0.83).
Applied Water Science,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
13(2)
Published: Dec. 30, 2022
Abstract
For
decision-making
in
farming,
the
operation
of
dams
and
irrigation
systems,
as
well
other
fields
water
resource
management
hydrology,
evaporation,
a
key
activity
throughout
universal
hydrological
processes,
entails
efficient
techniques
for
measuring
its
variation.
The
main
challenge
creating
accurate
dependable
predictive
models
is
evaporation
procedure's
non-stationarity,
nonlinearity,
stochastic
characteristics.
This
work
examines,
first
time,
transformer-based
deep
learning
architecture
prediction
four
different
Malaysian
regions.
effectiveness
proposed
(DL)
model,
signified
TNN,
evaluated
against
two
competitive
reference
DL
models,
namely
Convolutional
Neural
Network
Long
Short-Term
Memory,
with
regards
to
various
statistical
indices
using
monthly-scale
dataset
collected
from
meteorological
stations
2000–2019
period.
Using
variety
input
variable
combinations,
impact
every
data
on
E
p
forecast
also
examined.
performance
assessment
metrics
demonstrate
that
compared
benchmark
frameworks
examined
this
work,
developed
TNN
technique
was
more
precise
modelling
monthly
loss
owing
evaporation.
In
terms
effectiveness,
enhanced
self-attention
mechanism,
outperforms
demonstrating
potential
use
forecasting
Relating
application,
model
created
projection
offers
estimate
due
can
thus
be
used
management,
agriculture
planning
based
irrigation,
decrease
fiscal
economic
losses
farming
related
industries
where
consistent
supervision
estimation
are
considered
necessary
viable
living
economy.
MethodsX,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
13, P. 102792 - 102792
Published: June 7, 2024
Understanding
hydrological
processes
necessitates
the
use
of
modeling
techniques
due
to
intricate
interactions
among
environmental
factors.
Estimating
model
parameters
remains
a
significant
challenge
in
runoff
for
ungauged
catchments.
This
research
evaluates
Soil
and
Water
Assessment
Tool's
capacity
simulate
behaviors
Tha
Chin
River
Basin
with
an
emphasis
on
predictions
from
regionalization
gauged
basin,
Mae
Khlong
Basin.
Historical
data
1993
2017
were
utilized
calibration,
followed
by
validation
using
2018
2022.•Calibration
results
showed
SWAT
model's
reasonable
accuracy,
R²
=
0.85,
0.64,
indicating
satisfactory
match
between
observed
simulated
runoff.•Utilizing
Machine
Learning
(ML)
parameter
revealed
nuanced
differences
performance.
The
Random
Forest
(RF)
exhibited
0.60
Artificial
Neural
Networks
(ANN)
slightly
improved
upon
RF,
showing
0.61
while
Support
Vector
(SVM)
demonstrated
highest
overall
performance,
0.63.•This
study
highlights
effectiveness
ML
predicting
catchments,
emphasizing
their
potential
enhance
accuracy.
Future
should
focus
integrating
these
methodologies
various
basins
improving
collection
better