Seasonal Predictability of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation Based on the Current Dynamical Models

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 130(1)

Published: Jan. 2, 2025

Abstract The quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) is the dominant mode of interannual variability in tropical stratosphere and influences climate worldwide. This study investigates seasonal predictability QBO eight dynamical forecasting models from international operational centers organizations. Results show that current have high skills predicting evolution benefiting their capability characterizing typical downward propagation QBO. Further analyses most can reasonably reproduce teleconnection patterns, but with weaker amplitude than observation, which may be due to underestimation Holton‐Tan effect models. Prediction teleconnections winter surface patterns are not yet satisfactory some though they quite skills. These results provide a comprehensive evaluation status prediction thus deeper understanding predictability, would shed light on its teleconnection.

Language: Английский

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Seamless Prediction in China: A Review

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 40(8), P. 1501 - 1520

Published: July 3, 2023

Language: Английский

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Development of an intelligent system for early forecasting and modelling of flood situation on the example of the Republic of Bashkortostan using a proprietary machine and deep learning library

Journal of Hydrology, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 633, P. 130978 - 130978

Published: Feb. 29, 2024

Language: Английский

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Seasonal predictability of SST anomalies and marine heatwaves over the Kuroshio extension region in the Copernicus C3S models

Ocean Modelling, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 189, P. 102361 - 102361

Published: March 14, 2024

Language: Английский

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