Effect of Soil Moisture on Future Heatwaves Over Eastern China: Convection‐Permitting Regional Climate Simulations
Yi Xu,
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Juan Fang,
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Pinya Wang
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et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
129(19)
Published: Oct. 5, 2024
Abstract
Soil
moisture
deficiencies
exacerbate
heatwaves
through
soil
moisture‐temperature
feedback,
an
effect
that
is
expected
to
intensify
with
climate
change,
resulting
in
critical
impacts
on
society
and
ecosystems.
This
study
aims
investigate
the
evolving
moisture‐heatwave
relationship
over
eastern
China
future,
using
a
convection‐permitting
(CP,
∼4
km)
regional
model
(RCM).
The
CP‐RCM
simulates
historical
(1998–2007)
future
(2070–2099)
climates
China,
three
pseudo‐global
warming
(PGW)
experiments
conducted
under
RCP2.6,
RCP4.5,
RCP8.5
scenarios.
Results
indicate
substantial
increase
heatwave
frequency
(HWF)
magnitude
(HWM)
particularly
scenario.
largest
HWF
(up
23
days)
South
(SC),
HWM
3.25°C)
Loess
Plateau
(LP)
North
Plain
(NCP),
indicating
pronounced
risk
of
region.
Antecedent
exhibits
negative
correlation
indices
(HWM
HWF)
most
areas
suggesting
its
role
mitigating
heatwaves.
Quantile
regression
analysis
shows
antecedent
exerts
stronger
upper
quantile
HWF/HWM
than
lower
quantile.
With
global
warming,
amplifying
due
deficiency
expand
spatially
become
more
pronounced.
Increased
control
can
be
attributed
reduced
energy
limitation
intensified
water
limitation.
A
comprehensive
investigation
across
five
sub‐regions
reveals
various
regimes
modulating
China.
Language: Английский
Evaluation of the Potential of Using Machine Learning and the Savitzky–Golay Filter to Estimate the Daily Soil Temperature in Gully Regions of the Chinese Loess Plateau
Wei Deng,
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Dengfeng Liu,
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Fengnian Guo
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et al.
Agronomy,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
14(4), P. 703 - 703
Published: March 28, 2024
Soil
temperature
directly
affects
the
germination
of
seeds
and
growth
crops.
In
order
to
accurately
predict
soil
temperature,
this
study
used
RF
MLP
simulate
shallow
then
with
best
simulation
effect
will
be
deep
temperature.
The
models
were
forced
by
combinations
environmental
factors,
including
daily
air
(Tair),
water
vapor
pressure
(Pw),
net
radiation
(Rn),
moisture
(VWC),
which
observed
in
Hejiashan
watershed
on
Loess
Plateau
China.
results
showed
that
accuracy
model
for
predicting
proposed
paper
is
higher
than
using
factors
testing
data,
range
MAE
was
1.158–1.610
°C,
RMSE
1.449–2.088
R2
0.665–0.928,
KGE
0.708–0.885
at
different
depths.
not
only
provides
a
critical
reference
but
also
helps
people
better
carry
out
agricultural
production
activities.
Language: Английский