Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan
Natural hazards and earth system sciences,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
25(3), P. 1071 - 1093
Published: March 11, 2025
Abstract.
This
study
examines
the
impacts
of
unprecedented
2022
monsoon
season
in
Pakistan's
Swat
River
basin,
where
rainfall
exceeded
historical
averages
by
7
%–8
%.
extreme
weather
led
to
catastrophic
debris
flows
and
floods,
worsening
challenges
for
low-income
communities.
The
resulting
financial
instability
affected
millions,
causing
significant
damage
homes,
crops,
transportation.
employs
a
multidisciplinary
approach,
combining
field
investigations,
remote
sensing
data
interpretation,
numerical
simulations
identify
factors
contributing
flow
incidents.
Analysis
land
cover
changes
reveals
decrease
grasslands
an
increase
barren
land,
indicating
adverse
effects
deforestation
on
region.
Topography
gully
morphology
are
crucial
initiating
flows,
with
steep
gradients
shallow-slope
failures
predominant.
Numerical
show
that
reached
high
velocities
18
m
s−1
depths
40
within
45
min.
Two
resulted
formation
dams
along
River,
intensifying
subsequent
floods.
emphasizes
interplay
during
rainy
season,
rendering
region
susceptible
hindering
restoration
efforts.
Recommendations
include
climate
change
mitigation,
reforestation
initiatives,
discouraging
construction
activities
flood-prone
debris-flow-prone
regions.
advocates
enhanced
early
warning
systems
rigorous
use
planning
protect
environment
local
communities,
highlighting
imperative
proactive
measures
face
escalating
challenges.
Additionally,
investigates
spatial
distribution
various
events
their
consequences,
including
potential
hydrometeorological
triggers,
how
such
initiate
processes
mountain
landscapes.
It
also
assesses
extent
which
can
be
classified
as
abnormal.
combination
empirical
evidence
practical
insights
presented
this
highlights
research
gaps
proposes
routes
toward
deeper
understanding
monsoon-triggered
geological
hazards
consequences.
Language: Английский
Recent increase in soil moisture levels concerning climate variability in the karst region of southwest China using wavelet coherence and multi-linear regression
Gondwana Research,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
141, P. 40 - 54
Published: Feb. 7, 2025
Language: Английский
Localized environmental variability within the Hindukush-Himalayan region of Pakistan
Fazlul Haq,
No information about this author
Munazza Afreen,
No information about this author
Bryan G. Mark
No information about this author
et al.
Environmental Earth Sciences,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
84(4)
Published: Feb. 1, 2025
Abstract
The
Hindukush-Himalayan
(HKH)
region,
known
for
its
eco-environmental
importance,
has
been
witnessing
transformations
in
recent
years
governed
by
factors
such
as
climate
variability,
land
use
shifts,
and
population
growth.
These
changes
have
profound
implications
regional
sustainability,
water
resources,
livelihood.
This
study
attempts
to
explore
the
spatial
temporal
variability
selected
environmental
parameters
including
surface
temperature
(LST),
normalized
difference
vegetation
index
(NDVI),
precipitation
patterns,
snow
(NDSI),
cover
(LULC)
from
1990
2022
using
Landsat
imageries
(30
m
resolution),
CHIRPS
data
at
0.05°
resolution.
area
spans
32,000
km
2
covering
two
major
political/administrative
divisions
(Malakand
Hazara)
HKH
region
of
Pakistan.
was
primarily
because
unprecedented
over
last
three
decades.
For
detailed
analysis,
divided
into
five
elevation
zones
LST,
NDVI,
NDSI,
LULC
analyses
were
conducted
utilizing
Google
Earth
Engine
(GEE)
platform
engine.
results
revealed
a
notable
rise
LST
lowest
zone.
NDVI
noticeable
decline
5988
1990,
4225
2010,
followed
growth
7669
2022,
since
2010
after
launching
Billion
Tree
Tsunami
Afforestation
Project
(BTTAP)
2013.
Likewise,
patterns
exhibit
transitioning
low
high
levels.
However,
most
finding
is
marked
covered
7000
3800
between
2022.
Language: Английский
Comparison of CMIP6 GCMs historical precipitation with measured precipitation over Pakistan
PLoS ONE,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
20(3), P. e0319999 - e0319999
Published: March 31, 2025
Comparison
of
Coupled
Model
Intercomparison
Project
Phase
6
(CMIP6)
General
Circulation
Models
(GCMs)
with
observations
under
different
climatic
conditions
is
necessary
to
determine
their
respective
strengths
and
differences.
In
the
current
study,
ten
CMIP6
GCMs
are
compared
measured
gauge
precipitation
data
51
stations
across
Pakistan.
Results
show
reasonable
agreement
between
CMIP6-GCMs
in
capturing
days
≤10
mm/day.
The
intensity
events
≥10
mm/day
shows
a
significant
resemblance
at
95%
confidence
level
(K-S
test).
Furthermore,
results
regional
differences
demonstrate
relatively
good
CMCC-CM2-SR5,
EC-Earth3-AerChem,
EC-Earth3-CC
arid
semiarid
regions
FGOALS-f3-L
humid
extremely
regions.
Significant
variability
reported
interannual
standard
deviation
ratio
(STD)
for
all
seasons,
implying
more
dynamics
intense
GCMs.
magnitude
STD
sensitive
time
space
rather
than
climate
classes,
higher
lower
monsoon
autumn
respectively.
climatological
mean
northeastern
southeastern
parts
during
winters
complementing
station
data.
Based
on
selected
metrics,
CMCC-ESM2
has
highest
skill
simulating
distributions
over
Pakistan,
followed
by
CMCC-CM2-SR5
EC-Earth3-CC,
while
NorCPM1
ranked
worst
reproducing
precipitation.
findings
can
serve
as
benchmark
region
applying
water
food
security
studies.
Language: Английский
Precipitation dynamics and its interactions with possible drivers over global highlands
Global and Planetary Change,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
240, P. 104529 - 104529
Published: July 26, 2024
Language: Английский
Validation of CRU TS v4.08, ERA5-Land, IMERG v07B, and MSWEP v2.8 Precipitation Estimates Against Observed Values over Pakistan
Remote Sensing,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
16(24), P. 4803 - 4803
Published: Dec. 23, 2024
Global
precipitation
products
(GPPs)
are
vital
in
weather
forecasting,
efficient
water
management,
and
monitoring
floods
droughts.
However,
the
precision
of
these
datasets
varies
considerably
across
different
climatic
regions
topographic
conditions.
Therefore,
accuracy
assessment
dataset
is
crucial
at
local
scale
before
its
application.
The
current
study
initially
compared
performance
recently
modified
upgraded
datasets,
including
Climate
Research
Unit
Time-Series
(CRU
TS
v4.08),
fifth-generation
ERA5-Land
(ERA-5),
Integrated
Multi-satellite
Retrievals
for
GPM
(IMERG)
final
run
(IMERG
v07B),
Multi-Source
Weighted-Ensemble
Precipitation
(MSWEP
v2.8),
against
ground
observations
on
provincial
basis
Pakistan
from
2003
to
2020.
Later,
area
was
categorized
into
four
based
elevation
observe
impact
gradients
GPPs’
skills.
monthly
seasonal
estimations
each
product
were
validated
situ
using
statistical
matrices,
correlation
coefficient
(CC),
root
mean
square
error
(RMSE),
percent
bias
(PBias),
Kling–Gupta
efficiency
(KGE).
results
reveal
that
IMERG7
consistently
outperformed
all
provinces,
with
highest
CC
lowest
RMSE
values.
Meanwhile,
KGE
(0.69)
PBias
(−0.65%)
elucidated,
comparatively,
best
MSWEP2.8
Sindh
province.
Additionally,
demonstrated
their
agreement
reference
data
toward
southern
part
(0–500
m
elevation)
Pakistan,
while
notably
declined
northern
high-elevation
glaciated
mountain
(above
3000
elevation),
considerable
overestimations.
superior
elevation-based
also
revealed
study.
According
evaluation,
except
ERA-5
showed
good
estimation
ability
a
scale,
followed
by
winter
season,
pre-monsoon
monsoon
during
post-monsoon
weak
observed
data.
Overall,
exhibited
comparatively
performance,
season.
CRU
moderate
association
observations,
whereas
performed
poorly
time
scales.
In
scenario,
this
recommends
hydrological
climate
studies
region.
emphasizes
need
further
research
experiments
minimize
scales
make
GPPs
more
reliable
future
studies.
Language: Английский
Risk Assessment of Rainstorm Flood Disasters in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
Published: Jan. 1, 2024
Language: Английский
Linkage detection between climate oscillations and water and sediment discharge of 10 rivers in Eastern China
Frontiers in Marine Science,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
11
Published: Dec. 24, 2024
Water
discharge
and
sediment
load
are
often
controlled
by
a
combination
of
factors.
However,
the
relationship
between
water
changes
meteorological
oscillations
has
rarely
been
explored
for
different
river
sizes.
Explanations
various
responses
water-sediment
to
factors
in
rivers
is
important
understanding
global
hydrology.
In
this
study,
we
analyzed
data
from
2002-2022
using
cross-wavelet
wavelet
coherence
an
attempt
characterize
effects
large-scale
climatic
on
10
eastern
China.
Comparing
results
shows
that
releases
lag
three
months
or
more
behind
SST
variations.
It
also
oscillates
interannually
(mostly
every
8-16
months).
Most
runoff
lags
PDO
more.
The
impact
ENSO
(El
Niño-Southern
Oscillation)
each
basin
gradually
decreases
south
north.
impacts
northern
such
as
Yellow
River,
Huai
Riverand
Liao
River
weaker.
At
same
time,
Pearl
Minjiang
basins
southeastern
China
extremely
rapid
sensitive
events.
Meanwhile,
large
lasted
throughout
study
period,
while
smaller
had
intermittent
periods,
response
rates
geographically
similar
mountain
stream-type
were
not
same.
effect
(Pacific
Decadal
warm
cold
phases
was
region.
Our
research
contributes
climate
oscillations,
advancing
Water-Sediment
Balance
Global
Sustainability—key
goals
United
Nations
2030
Agenda
Sustainable
Development.
Language: Английский