Synergistic Optimization and Interaction Evaluation of Water-Energy-Food-Ecology Nexus under Uncertainty from the Perspective of Urban Agglomeration
Zhe Tan,
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Han Li,
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Qiran Song
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et al.
Sustainable Cities and Society,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 106291 - 106291
Published: March 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Using Multi-Scenario Analyses to Determine the Driving Factors of Land Use in Inland River Basins in Arid Northwest China
You Yang,
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Jiang Ping-an,
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Yakun Wang
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et al.
Land,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
14(4), P. 787 - 787
Published: April 6, 2025
Global
challenges
such
as
climate
change,
ecological
imbalance,
and
resource
scarcity
are
closely
related
with
land-use
change.
Arid
land,
which
is
41%
of
the
global
land
area,
has
fragile
ecology
limited
water
resources.
To
ensure
food
security,
resilience,
sustainable
use
resources,
there
a
need
for
multi-scenario
analysis
change
in
arid
regions.
carry
this
out,
multiple
spatial
techniques
indicators
were
used
to
analyze
typical
inland
river
basin
Northwest
China—the
Tailan
River
Basin
(TRB).
Then,
PLUS
model
was
analyze,
certain
time
period
(1980–2060),
same
basin.
The
scenarios
included
Natural
Increase
Scenario
(NIS),
Food
Security
(FSS),
Economic
Development
(EDS),
Water
Protection
(WPS),
Ecological
(EPS),
Balanced
Eco-economy
(BES).
results
show
that
1980–2020,
TRB
mainly
driven
by
changes
cultivated
grassland,
forest
built-up
land.
For
period,
substantial
increase
(865.56
km2)
significant
decrease
(197.44
grassland
(773.55
study
area.
There
notable
shift
1990–2010.
overall
accuracy
(OA)
more
than
90%,
Kappa
value
85%
Figure
Merit
(FOM)
0.18.
most
pronounced
expansion
area
2020–2060
FSS
(661.49
km2).
This
led
an
grain
production
agricultural
productivity
region.
under
EDS
(61.7
km2),
contributing
economic
development
population
growth.
While
conversion
into
other
forms
smallest
BES
(606.08
increased
55.82
km2.
presented
ideal
scenario
conservation
balance
development.
management
strategy
harmonized
across
humans
may
provide
policymakers
realistic
option
potential
offer
acceptable
policy
solution
use.
Language: Английский
Spatiotemporal variation and driving forces of soil salinization in the lower reach of arid endorheic basins: Critical role of lake system and groundwater overflow
Yong Xiao,
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Wenxu Hu,
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Yuqing Zhang
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et al.
Agricultural Water Management,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
315, P. 109568 - 109568
Published: May 21, 2025
Language: Английский
Analysis on Spatiotemporal Variation in Soil Drought and Its Influencing Factors in Hebei Province from 2001 to 2020
Biao Zeng,
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Bo Wen,
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Xia Zhang
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et al.
Agriculture,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(10), P. 1109 - 1109
Published: May 21, 2025
As
a
dominant
ecological
stress
factor
of
climate
change,
soil
drought
has
become
key
challenge
restricting
food
security.
Based
on
moisture
data,
this
paper
uses
the
cumulative
anomaly
method,
coefficient
variation,
Sen
+
Mann–Kendall
trend
analysis,
and
center
gravity
shift
model
to
study
spatiotemporal
changes
in
Hebei
Province
from
2001
2020
optimal
parameter
geographic
detector
analyze
factors
affecting
drought.
The
results
show
following:
(1)
over
past
20
years,
shown
“first
intensifying
then
easing”,
experiencing
two
turning
points,
its
spatial
distribution
showed
significant
agglomeration
characteristics.
(2)
Soil
single-peak
seasonal
fluctuation,
with
severe
January
May,
peak
June
August,
balance
September
October,
deficit
intensified
winter.
(3)
stability
differentiation,
being
high
northeast
low
southwest.
about
70%
region
improved,
drought-prone
areas
moved
(4)
NDVI
altitude
are
main
drivers
multi-factor
interaction
shows
nonlinear
enhancement
effect.
Among
them,
thresholds
such
as
>
0.512
−32~16
m
have
inhibitory
effect
This
can
make
contribution
improving
water
resource
management
increasing
agricultural
productivity
region.
Language: Английский