Author comment: Climate change and human security in coastal regions — R0/PR1 DOI Creative Commons
Jan Petzold

Published: Sept. 11, 2023

Climate change has been recognised as a major concern in coastal hotspots exposed to multiple climate hazards under regionally specific characteristics of vulnerability. We review the emerging research and current trends academic literature on risk adaptation from human security perspective. The ecological socioeconomic developments are analysed for key areas, including infrastructure; water, food fisheries; health; mobility; conflict, taking different geographical contexts areas islands, megacities deltas into consideration. Compounding cascading interactions require integrative policy approaches address growing complexity. Governance mechanisms focus management adaptation, nature-based solutions community-based considering their synergies trade-offs. This perspective allows holistic view risks vicious circles societal instability systems interconnectedness dimensions necessary sustainable transformative most affected hotspots.

Language: Английский

Extending from Adaptation to Resilience Pathways: Perspectives from the Conceptual Framework to Key Insights DOI Creative Commons
Saioa Zorita, Katharina Milde, Nieves Peña Cerezo

et al.

Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Jan. 25, 2025

The extent and timescale of climate change impacts remain uncertain, including global temperature increase, sea level rise, more frequent intense extreme events. Uncertainties are compounded by cascading effects. Nevertheless, decision-makers must take action. Adaptation pathways, an approach for developing dynamic adaptive policymaking, widely considered suitable planning urban or regional adaptation, but often lack integration measures disaster risk management. This article emphasizes the need to strengthen Pathways bringing together explicitly slow-onset sudden disasters within framework Resilience Pathways. It explores key features Pathways—such as thresholds, performance assessments, visual tools—to enhance their capacity address events foster Climate Change Disaster Risk Management.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Barriers and limits to adaptation in the Arctic DOI Creative Commons
Ishfaq Hussain Malik, James D. Ford

Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 73, P. 101519 - 101519

Published: Feb. 28, 2025

Language: Английский

Citations

1
How to improve global environmental governance? Lessons learned from climate risk and climate policy uncertainty DOI

Yanpeng Sun,

Yuru Song,

Chi Long

et al.

Economic Analysis and Policy, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 80, P. 1666 - 1676

Published: Nov. 7, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

18
Climate change and human security in coastal regions DOI Creative Commons
Jan Petzold, Jürgen Scheffran

Cambridge Prisms Coastal Futures, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 2

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

Abstract Climate change has been recognised as a major concern in coastal hotspots exposed to multiple climate hazards under regionally specific characteristics of vulnerability. We review the emerging research and current trends academic literature on risk adaptation from human security perspective. The ecological socioeconomic developments are analysed for key areas, including infrastructure; water, food fisheries; health; mobility; conflict, taking different geographical contexts areas islands, megacities deltas into consideration. Compounding cascading interactions require integrative policy approaches address growing complexity. Governance mechanisms focus management adaptation, nature-based solutions community-based considering their synergies trade-offs. This perspective allows holistic view risks vicious circles societal instability systems interconnectedness dimensions necessary sustainable transformative most affected hotspots.

Language: Английский

Citations

7
Modeling transformational policy pathways on low growth and negative growth scenarios to assess impacts on socioeconomic development and carbon emissions DOI Creative Commons
Jonathan D. Moyer

Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 13(1)

Published: Sept. 25, 2023

Abstract Degrowth advocates argue for structural transformations in how economies and societies prioritize material wealth accumulation to reduce the negative effects of future anthropogenic climate change. proponents that human economic activity could be lessened, transformed improved wellbeing, reducing threat This paper explores implications alternative patterns growth with transformational policy pathways (i.e., redistribution) assess what broader policies have on changing development across both Global North South. Using International Futures model, this article shows societal are possible without dramatically damaging long-term global socioeconomic development, though these interventions do not solve crisis, cumulative carbon emissions by 10.5% through 2100. On other hand, a scenario will significantly (45%) but also undermines pursuit goals, like elimination poverty. Even increase cash transfers poor retired, improve income inequality, eliminate military spending, Negative Growth Big Push leads an 15 percentage points extreme poverty

Language: Английский

Citations

12
Climate change risks illustrated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) “burning embers” DOI Creative Commons
Philippe Marbaix, Alexandre Magnan, Veruska Muccione

et al.

Earth system science data, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 17(1), P. 317 - 349

Published: Jan. 31, 2025

Abstract. The completion of the Sixth Assessment Cycle Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a unique opportunity to understand where world stands climate-change-related risks natural and human systems at global level, as well for specific regions sectors. Since its Third Report (AR3), released 2 decades ago, IPCC has developed synthetic representation how increase with warming, risk levels reflected by colours used, including shades yellow red, which led nickname “burning embers”. While initially designed illustrate five overarching Reasons Concern, these diagrams have been progressively applied in over last 10 years. However, information gathered through expert elicitation resulting quantitative assessments hitherto remained scattered within across reports data files. This paper overcomes this limitation developing database containing all embers from AR3 AR6 an associated online “Climate Risks Embers Explorer” (CREE) facilitate exploration assessed risks. are also available archive file widely accessible format (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12626976, Marbaix et al., 2024). Important aspects homogenization discussed, approach structuring increases is presented. Potential uses explored aggregated analyses adaptation benefits, show that, excluding high-adaptation cases, half moderate high between 1.5 2.3 °C result consistent separate assessment Concern IPCC. lays groundwork future development burning providing standardized baseline data. It highlights important areas improvement forthcoming Seventh IPCC, particularly towards systematic, homogeneous, structured collection illustrated increases; comprehensive coverage impacted regions; systematic consideration and/or vulnerability levels; and, possibly, response measures. In context ever-growing body literature knowledge, facility described herein potential help synthesizing illustrating scales more way.

Language: Английский

Citations

0
Synergies of CGE and IAM modelling for climate change implications on WEFE nexus in the Mediterranean DOI Creative Commons

Orna Raviv,

Ruslana Rachel Palatnik, Marta Castellini

et al.

Climate Risk Management, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 44, P. 100608 - 100608

Published: Jan. 1, 2024

The Mediterranean Sea Basin (MSB) is experiencing increasing pressure on its natural resources due to climate change (CC) and demographic growth, posing challenges water food sustainability. In line with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems (WEFE) nexus, this study projects shifts in welfare security under various climatic conditions. Agriculture, a sector that highly vulnerable variability, depends predominantly rainfed croplands, which constitute 70-100% of agricultural land most MSB countries. remaining areas are irrigated by climate-dependent bodies such as rivers aquifers. A comprehensive analysis WEFE nexus essential for coherent examination policy future pathways economy environment. Using dual-modeling approach, research assesses impacts alternative sources agriculture within amidst uncertainties CC-driven extreme events. global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, based GTAP framework, was used examine inter-sectoral inter-regional impacts. tandem, Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) RICE-99 framework quantifies related This synergistic approach provides assessment CC impacts, integrating adaptation strategies agriculture, well mitigation reduce greenhouse gas emissions from energy production. focus cross-sectoral multi-scale management water, ecosystems, embedded into economic models - CGE GTAP-AW IAM RICE-MED, analyze nexus. results indicate reduced impact production, provide overview potential measures risks MSB. These findings crucial policymakers promote sustainable practices face changing climate.

Language: Английский

Citations

2
Trusting clean energy: novel perspectives on transition pathways for coal phaseouts and clean electrification phase-ins DOI

David O. Jermain,

Raymond C. Pilcher

The Electricity Journal, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 36(7), P. 107318 - 107318

Published: Aug. 1, 2023

Language: Английский

Citations

4
Climate change risks illustrated by the IPCC “burning embers” DOI Creative Commons
Philippe Marbaix, Alexandre Magnan, Veruska Muccione

et al.

Published: Aug. 2, 2024

Abstract. The completion of the Sixth Assessment Cycle Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a unique opportunity to understand where world stands climate change-related risks natural and human systems, at global level as well for specific regions sectors. Since its Third Report, released two decades ago, IPCC has developed synthetic representation how increase with warming, known “burning embers” diagrams due colours used. While initially designed illustrate five overarching Reasons Concern, these have been progressively applied in systems over last 10 years. However, information gathered through expert elicitation resulting quantitative risk assessments hitherto remained scattered within across reports data files. This paper overcomes this limitation by developing an ember database associated online “climate explorer” facilitate exploration assessed risks. are also available archive file widely accessible format (doi:10.5281/zenodo.12626977, Marbaix et al. 2024). Important aspects homogenisation discussed, approach structuring increases is presented. Potential uses explored aggregated analyses adaptation benefits, which show that, excluding high cases, half levels from moderate between 1.5 °C 2 2.3 result consistent separate assessment Concern IPCC. lays groundwork future development burning embers providing standardised baseline data. It highlights important areas improvement forthcoming Seventh Cycle, particular towards systematic, homogenous, structured collection illustrated increases, comprehensive coverage impacted regions, systematic consideration and/or vulnerability levels, possibly response measures. In context ever-growing literature knowledge, facility described herein potential help synthesising illustrating scales more way.

Language: Английский

Citations

1
Re-conceptualizing the IPCC’s ‘burning embers’ DOI
James D. Ford, Santiago Clerici, Dylan G. Clark

et al.

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: unknown

Published: Sept. 5, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

1