Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
17(1), P. 139 - 139
Published: Dec. 27, 2024
The
Huang-Huai-Hai
Plain,
a
vital
agricultural
area
in
China
with
significant
amount
of
arable
land,
plays
pivotal
role
influencing
grain
production,
ecological
carbon
cycles,
and
global
climate
change
through
its
shifts
land
use.
Within
this
research,
we
have
employed
the
ArcGIS
tool
In-VEST-Geodetector-PLUS
methodology
to
scrutinize
storage
from
year
2000
2020,
determine
influences
behind
these
shifts,
anticipate
projected
for
2030.
Although
there
has
been
slight
increase
forested
areas
as
result
environmental
policies,
conversion
cropland
impervious
surfaces
due
urbanization
led
persistent
decrease
storage,
cumulative
loss
272.79
million
metric
tons
over
two
decades.
Normalized
Difference
Vegetation
Index
(NDVI),
Night-Time
Lights
(NTL),
Gross
Domestic
Product
(GDP),
Population
(POP)
are
critical
factors
impacting
reflecting
intricate
connection
between
socio-economic
development
natural
ecosystems.
multi-scenario
simulations
2030
suggest
that
least
reduction
would
occur
under
scenario
protecting
while
most
be
urban
expansion
scenario,
highlighting
impact
urbanization.
study’s
results
emphasize
need
harmonize
conservation
economic
progress
enduring
growth
region.
Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(7), P. 3094 - 3094
Published: March 31, 2025
The
Wenchuan
earthquake,
an
unexpected
magnitude
8.0
mega-earthquake
that
struck
on
12
May
2008,
significantly
changed
land
cover
(LC),
particularly
affecting
vegetation
and
rock
cover.
However,
the
long-term
effects
of
LC
changes
ecosystem
services
(ESs)
remain
unclear
in
earthquake-affected
regions,
especially
across
different
spatial
scales.
This
study,
focusing
County,
employs
a
multi-model
framework
integrates
fractional
coverage
(FVC),
exposure
rate
(FR),
(ESs),
combining
correlation
analysis,
geographically
weighted
regression
(GWR),
Self-organizing
map
(SOM)
clustering,
XGBoost-SHAP
model,
to
analyze
spatiotemporal
dynamics,
interrelationships,
driving
mechanisms
(LC)
ESs
before
after
earthquake.
Results
show
that:
(1)
From
2000
2020,
FVC
FR
fluctuated
markedly
under
earthquake
influence,
with
slight
declines
habitat
quality
(HQ)
carbon
storage
(CS)
notable
improvements
soil
conservation
(SC)
water
yield
(WY).
(2)
With
increasing
elevation,
FVC–CS–SC
group
exhibited
downward
trend
synergy,
while
FR–HQ–WY
increased
also
showed
synergy;
trade-offs
synergies
became
more
pronounced
at
larger
scales,
displaying
strong
heterogeneity.
(3)
Elevation
(explaining
10–60%
variance)
was
main
driver
for
ESs,
use,
slope,
human
activities,
climate,
geological
conditions
impacting
individual
indicators.
At
same
time,
existing
hazard
points
are
mainly
concentrated
along
both
sides
river
valleys,
which
may
be
associated
intensified
human–land
conflicts.
These
findings
offer
valuable
insights
into
ecological
restoration
sustainable
development
regions.
Journal of Environmental Management,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
382, P. 125460 - 125460
Published: April 19, 2025
Cities
must
prepare
for
future
uncertainties
associated
with
climate
change
and
societal
challenges.
This
study
used
the
Patch-generating
Land
Use
Simulation
(PLUS)
model
to
simulate
potential
scenarios
Tehran
metropolitan
area.
We
considered
various
development
their
implications.The
sustainable
scenario
produced
more
balanced
outcomes,
including
rangeland
expansion
preservation
of
cropland.
In
addition,
using
Integrated
Valuation
Ecosystem
Services
Trade-offs
(InVEST)
model,
we
quantified
seven
ecosystem
services
from
2017
2043,
revealing
temporal
spatial
variations.
Some
showed
significant
declines
in
water
yield,
carbon
storage,
urban
cooling,
habitat
quality,
stormwater
retention,
flood
mitigation,
recreation
potential,
particularly
southern
areas.
contrast,
is
a
promising
scenario,
along
compact
growth
nature
conservation.
Utilizing
Criteria
Importance
Through
Intercriteria
Correlation
(CRITIC)
method,
identified
risk
mitigation
management
as
critical
service
priorities.
Synergies
emerged
among
heat
while
trade-offs
were
observed
between
others,
such
storage
quality.
Priority
maps
fuzzy
geospatial
multicriteria
analysis
high-priority
areas
protection
restoration.
The
proposed
integrated
multi-scenario
approach
discovered
gap
regional,
urban,
landscape
planning,
emphasizing
need
priorities
minimize
promote
future.
helps
clarify
current
situation
trends
nature-based
solutions
that
help
build
resilience
cities