Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 56, P. e03287 - e03287
Published: Nov. 6, 2024
Language: Английский
Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(4), P. 708 - 708
Published: March 26, 2025
Owing to climate change and increasing resource competition, elucidating the control mechanism of cultivated land productivity stability is essential. Previous research has focused on anthropogenic or climatic factors individually, overlooking their combined effects; therefore, “climate–anthropogenic” framework was constructed. Net primary (NPP) employed measure investigate impact in Poyang Lake from 2001 2022. Results revealed that NPP increased but fluctuated significantly higher southern than north. The low spatial distribution fluctuation area concentrated periphery Lake, riverbank comprised middle high areas, Ganjiang River Delta exhibited fluctuation. Multiple linear regression analysis indicated positively impacted by farmland river proximity average patch fractal dimension affected negatively annual precipitation. Stable production improved utilization efficiency requires irrigation drainage system optimization adaptability change. Moreover, fragmentation should be reduced, resilience external disturbances enhanced.
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Scientific Reports, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(1)
Published: April 23, 2025
Despite the ecological and socioeconomic importance of agro-pastoral ecotones, changes in land use cover (LULC) their driving mechanisms are not comprehensively understood. In this study, a systematic framework for LULC assessment covering comprehensive timeframes was constructed Tabu watershed. Results demonstrated that new process began 1998, with significant increase farmland decrease grassland. The dynamic degrees structural variation coefficients indicated intensive frequent LULC. Conversion ratios between grassland exceeded 95%, construction encroached upon Grassland were driven mainly by natural factors based on random forest regression, as well land. influence anthropogenic drivers became significant. Under sustainable development scenario, high fractional vegetation 2034 most significant, area bare decreased, steadily increased, reduction under control. both ecosystem stability can be achieved. This study provides insights into regional dynamics guidance management.
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Ecological Modelling, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 507, P. 111173 - 111173
Published: May 20, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 172, P. 113273 - 113273
Published: Feb. 22, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Habitat International, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 161, P. 103420 - 103420
Published: April 26, 2025
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(5), P. 1010 - 1010
Published: May 7, 2025
In the context of climate change and ecological degradation, enhancing cropland productivity in Northeast China is essential for ensuring national food security. This study adopted an integrated framework combining optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to identify key drivers average total at county level from 2001 2020. Growing-season-based Net Primary Productivity (NPP) was estimated using CASA model represent productivity. Results indicated that natural factors significantly dominated spatial variation productivity, with their interactions amplified through dual-factor or nonlinear enhancements. Various machine learning models were fine-tuned compared, selected subsequent SHAP analysis. The findings revealed erosion intensity exhibited most significant impact on whereas effect precipitation shifted negative positive, a clear threshold around 400 mm—matching boundary between China’s semi-arid semi-humid regions. Low-elevation plains (<300 m) gentle slopes (<0.5°) predominately promoted Interactions fertilizer highlighted need moderate fertilization prevent degradation severely eroded counties. These provide scientific support targeted management aimed achieving sustainable agriculture China.
Language: Английский
Citations
0
Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(14), P. 5922 - 5922
Published: July 11, 2024
In the past, during development processes, major ecological and environmental problems have occurred in agro-pastoral ecotone of China, which had a strong impact on regional sustainable development. As such, analyzing evolution ecosystem service value (ESV) predicting futural spatio-temporal under different scenarios will provide scientific basis for further This research analyzed land use cover change (LUCC) from 2000 to 2020, adopted Mark-PLUS model construct (prioritizing grassland development, PDG; prioritizing cropland PCD; business as usual, BAU), simulated future LUCC. The driving factors influencing each type were revealed using PLUS model. Based LUCC data, distribution ESV was calculated via equivalent factor method, including four primary services (supply service, adjustment support cultural service) eleven secondary (water resource supply, maintaining nutrient circulation, raw material production, aesthetic landscape, food purification, soil conservation, biodiversity, gas regulation, climate hydrologic regulation). results showed that total increased first then declined reaching highest CNY 8207.99 million 2005. scenarios, shows trend PGD (CNY 8338.79 million) > BAU 8194.82 PCD 8131.10 million). global Moran index also follows this distribution. Additionally, precipitation (18%), NDVI (16%), DEM (16%) are most important spatial agglomeration characteristics Moran’s local indicators auto-correlation, show high coordination degree between high–high cluster areas water areas. These point out key points next step restoration projects help with achieving goals more effectively.
Language: Английский
Citations
2
Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(10), P. 1824 - 1824
Published: Oct. 18, 2024
In the context of achieving goal carbon neutrality, exploring changes in land demand and ecological stocks under future scenarios at urban level is important for optimizing regional ecosystem services developing a land-use structure consistent with sustainable development strategies. We propose framework coupled system dynamics (SD) model, patch generation simulation (PLUS) integrated valuation trade-offs (InVEST) model to dynamically simulate spatial temporal use land-cover change (LUCC) NDS (natural scenario), EPS (ecological protection RES (rapid expansion HDS (high-quality scenario) Nanjing from 2020 2040. From 2005 2020, rate construction reached 50.76%, large amount shifted land, stock declined dramatically. Compared increased by 2.4 × 106 t 1.5 t, respectively, sizable effect. It has been calculated that forest cultivated are two largest pools Nanjing, conservation both decisive stock. necessary focus on enhancing ecosystems while designating differentiated sink enhancement plans based characteristics other types. Fully realizing potential each functional area will help achieve its neutrality goal. The results study not only reveal challenges but also provide useful guidance terrestrial formulating planning line
Language: Английский
Citations
2
Remote Sensing, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(21), P. 4054 - 4054
Published: Oct. 31, 2024
Net primary production (NPP) serves as a critical proxy for monitoring changes in the global capacity vegetation carbon sequestration. The assessment of factors (i.e., human activities and climate changes) influencing NPP is great value study terrestrial systems. To investigate influence on grassland NPP, ecologically vulnerable Qinghai–Tibet Plateau region was considered an appropriate area period from 2000 to 2020. We innovated use RICI index quantitatively represent analyzed effects climatic using geographical detector. In addition, future predicted through integration two modeling approaches: Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model. revealed that expanded contributed 7.55 × 104 Gg C (Gg = 109 g) total whereas deterioration resulted decline 1.06 105 C. factor identified dominant restoration, representing 70.85% well degradation, 92.54% NPP. By subdividing change activity into sub-factors detecting them with detector, results show anthropogenic have significant ability explain geographic variation considerable extent, effect greater when interact. q-values Relative Impact Contribution Index (RICI) land are consistently than 0.6, management practices evapotranspiration remaining at approximately 0.5. analysis interaction between reveals average impact 0.8. 2030, natural development scenario, economic scenario (ED), ecological protection (EP) decreasing trend due change, factor, causing decrease. Human play role improvement. EP indicates positive expansion growth rate forests, water, wetlands, while ED rapid urbanization. It notable this accompanied by temporary suspension urban greening.
Language: Английский
Citations
1
Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 56, P. e03287 - e03287
Published: Nov. 6, 2024
Language: Английский
Citations
1