MaxEnt-Based Habitat Suitability Assessment for Vaccinium mandarinorum: Exploring Industrial Cultivation Opportunities DOI Open Access
Xiao Jun Bao, Peng Zhou, Min Zhang

et al.

Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(12), P. 2254 - 2254

Published: Dec. 22, 2024

Vaccinium mandarinorum Diels, a wild blueberry species distributed in the south of Yangtze River China, holds significant ecological and commercial value. Understanding its potential distribution response to climate change is crucial for effective resource utilization scientific introduction. By using Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model, we evaluated V. mandarinorum’s under current (1970–2000) future scenarios (2041–2060, 2061–2080, 2081–2100) based on 216 modern records seven bioclimatic variables. The results showed that MaxEnt model could effectively simulate historical suitability degree mandarinorum. top two major environmental variables were precipitation driest quarter annual precipitation, considering their contribution rates 61.3% 23.4%, respectively. Currently, high areas mainly concentrated central northern Jiangxi province, southern Zhejiang Anhui Fujian border Hunan Guangxi provinces, covering 21.5% total suitable area. Future projections indicate habitat will shift higher latitudes altitudes quality decline. Strategies are required protect populations habitats. study provide an important theoretical reference optimization planting ensure sustainable production industry.

Language: Английский

Ungulates conservation in the face of human development: Mining and roads' influences on habitat and connectivity in Iran's central plateau DOI Creative Commons
Alireza Mohammadi, Kamran Almasieh, Somaye Vaissi

et al.

Ecological Informatics, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 81, P. 102656 - 102656

Published: May 29, 2024

Language: Английский

Citations

8

Climate‐Driven Range Shifts and Conservation Challenges for Brown Bears in Türkiye DOI Creative Commons
Ercan Sıkdokur, İsmail K. Sağlam, Çağan H. Şekercioğlu

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(4)

Published: April 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Understanding the current and future distribution of wildlife species is crucial for effective conservation planning, particularly in face climate change increasing anthropogenic pressures. This study aims to assess potential brown bears across Türkiye both presently, by 2050 2070, considering various scenarios, evaluating habitat vulnerability, reassessing effectiveness protected areas. Using an ensemble forecasting approach, we modeled bears' suitability, incorporating 608 occurrence records along with bioclimatic, topographic, predictors under scenarios. Our model estimates that approximately 17.3% (135,556 km 2 ) currently offers suitable highest suitability found Euro‐Siberian (46%), Irano‐Turanian (43%), Mediterranean (11%) biogeographic regions. The results indicate combined pressures, expected reduce bear 40%–48% 2050, 40%–67% 2070 A significant contraction range, a northward shift habitats, projected, reflecting broader impacts climate. Additionally, habitats estimated be strongly influenced changes altitude. proportion protection projected decline from 21.4% 15%–16.1% further 11.3%–15.9% depending on scenario. These findings highlight need targeted strategies address emerging gap Mediterranean, Irano‐Turanian, Enhancing connectivity between fragmented status areas are critical actions safeguard population Türkiye. underscores pressing challenges strategic opportunities securing

Language: Английский

Citations

0

MaxEnt-Based Habitat Suitability Assessment for Vaccinium mandarinorum: Exploring Industrial Cultivation Opportunities DOI Open Access
Xiao Jun Bao, Peng Zhou, Min Zhang

et al.

Forests, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 15(12), P. 2254 - 2254

Published: Dec. 22, 2024

Vaccinium mandarinorum Diels, a wild blueberry species distributed in the south of Yangtze River China, holds significant ecological and commercial value. Understanding its potential distribution response to climate change is crucial for effective resource utilization scientific introduction. By using Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model, we evaluated V. mandarinorum’s under current (1970–2000) future scenarios (2041–2060, 2061–2080, 2081–2100) based on 216 modern records seven bioclimatic variables. The results showed that MaxEnt model could effectively simulate historical suitability degree mandarinorum. top two major environmental variables were precipitation driest quarter annual precipitation, considering their contribution rates 61.3% 23.4%, respectively. Currently, high areas mainly concentrated central northern Jiangxi province, southern Zhejiang Anhui Fujian border Hunan Guangxi provinces, covering 21.5% total suitable area. Future projections indicate habitat will shift higher latitudes altitudes quality decline. Strategies are required protect populations habitats. study provide an important theoretical reference optimization planting ensure sustainable production industry.

Language: Английский

Citations

2