Projecting Future Wetland Dynamics Under Climate Change and Land Use Pressure: A Machine Learning Approach Using Remote Sensing and Markov Chain Modeling
Penghao Ji,
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Rong Jun Su,
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Guodong Wu
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et al.
Remote Sensing,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(6), P. 1089 - 1089
Published: March 20, 2025
Wetlands
in
the
Yellow
River
Watershed
of
Inner
Mongolia
face
significant
reductions
under
future
climate
and
land
use
scenarios,
threatening
vital
ecosystem
services
water
security.
This
study
employs
high-resolution
projections
from
NASA’s
Global
Daily
Downscaled
Projections
(GDDP)
Intergovernmental
Panel
on
Climate
Change
Sixth
Assessment
Report
(IPCC
AR6),
combined
with
a
machine
learning
Cellular
Automata–Markov
(CA–Markov)
framework
to
forecast
cover
transitions
2040.
Statistically
downscaled
temperature
precipitation
data
for
two
Shared
Socioeconomic
Pathways
(SSP2-4.5
SSP5-8.5)
are
integrated
satellite-based
(Landsat,
Sentinel-1)
2007
2023,
achieving
high
classification
accuracy
(over
85%
overall,
Kappa
>
0.8).
A
Maximum
Entropy
(MaxEnt)
analysis
indicates
that
rising
temperatures,
increased
variability,
urban–agricultural
expansion
will
exacerbate
hydrological
stress,
driving
substantial
wetland
contraction.
Although
certain
areas
may
retain
or
slightly
expand
their
wetlands,
dominant
trend
underscores
urgency
spatially
targeted
conservation.
By
synthesizing
data,
multi-temporal
transitions,
ecological
modeling,
this
provides
insights
adaptive
resource
planning
management
ecologically
sensitive
regions.
Language: Английский
Impacts of extreme climate events on vegetation succession at the northern foothills of Yinshan mountain, inner Mongolia
Pingping Zhou,
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Zilong Liao,
No information about this author
Xiaoyan Song
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et al.
Frontiers in Environmental Science,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
13
Published: March 11, 2025
Extreme
climate
events
significantly
impact
vegetation
ecosystems
in
dry
regions,
particularly
areas
adjacent
to
the
northern
foothills
of
Yinshan
Mountain
(NYSM).
However,
there
remains
limited
understanding
how
responds
such
events.
Analyzing
response
regions
drought
is
beneficial
for
protection
and
restoration
ecosystem.
This
study
analyzes
spatiotemporal
variation
characteristics
extreme
NDVI.
By
employing
correlation
analysis
geographic
detectors,
it
explores
NDVI
The
findings
indicate
a
recent
decline
temperature
concurrent
rise
precipitation
From
2000
2020,
demonstrated
consistent
improvement,
trend
expected
persist
future.
exhibited
strong
negative
with
NDVI,
whereas
positive
correlation.
Furthermore,
possess
greater
explanatory
power
variability
compared
research
provide
theoretical
basis
different
types
NYSM
respond
events,
they
inform
targeted
ecological
measures
based
on
varying
responses
these
Language: Английский
Multiscale Structural Patterns of Intertidal Salt Marsh Vegetation in Estuarine Wetlands and Their Interactions with Tidal Creeks
Jianfang Hu,
No information about this author
Yan Jiapan,
No information about this author
Bian Zhenbang
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et al.
Published: Jan. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Ecological security prediction and land use conflict identification in fragile mountain cities: a case study of Longnan, China
Journal of Cleaner Production,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 145146 - 145146
Published: Feb. 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Forecasting urban expansion: A dynamic urban growth model using DS-ConvLSTM to simulate multi-land regulation scenarios
Juyeong Nam,
No information about this author
Changyeon Lee
No information about this author
Ecological Informatics,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 103136 - 103136
Published: April 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Assessing and predicting the dynamics of land use/land cover in northern Bangladesh using cellular Automata-Markov chain model
Geology Ecology and Landscapes,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 1 - 17
Published: Nov. 13, 2024
Rapid
urbanization
and
land
use
changes
significantly
impact
environmental
sustainability
resource
management,
particularly
in
developing
regions.
Therefore,
this
study
examines
the
spatiotemporal
dynamics
of
cover
(LULC)
Rangpur,
Bangladesh,
from
1991
to
2021
projects
future
trends
2041.
Using
supervised
unsupervised
classification
techniques,
along
with
cellular
automata
Markov-chain
models,
we
assessed
historical
LULC
predicted
scenarios.
Results
show
a
38.86%
increase
built-up
areas
(BAs)
49.86%
decrease
vegetation
(VL)
during
period,
accuracy
above
87%.
Projections
indicate
further
loss
over
210
km²
VL
an
more
than
123
urban
by
Notably,
expansion
is
linked
development
road
networks,
significant
growth
115.06
km2
124.33
2041
within
15-kilometer
radius
around
city
center.
These
findings
offer
crucial
insights
for
planning,
emphasizing
need
sustainable
strategies
manage
protect
socio-economic
resilience
Rangpur.
Language: Английский