The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 912, P. 169088 - 169088
Published: Dec. 5, 2023
Language: Английский
Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 345, P. 118729 - 118729
Published: Aug. 3, 2023
Language: Английский
Citations
48
Journal of Cleaner Production, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 442, P. 141158 - 141158
Published: Feb. 1, 2024
Language: Английский
Citations
22
Land, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 11(7), P. 992 - 992
Published: June 29, 2022
Land use change plays a crucial role in global environmental change. Understanding the mode and land procedure is conducive to improving quality of eco-environment promoting harmonized development human–land relationships. Large river basins play an important areal socioeconomic development. The Yellow River Basin (YRB) ecological protective screen, economic zone, major grain producing area China, which faces challenges with respect degradation water sediment management. Simulating alterations ecosystem service value (ESV) owing YRB under multiple scenarios great importance guaranteeing security basin improve regional ESV. According data 1990, 2000, 2010, 2018, ESV over past 30 years were calculated analyzed on basis six types: cultivated land, forestland, grassland, area, built-up unused land. patch-generating simulation (PLUS) model was used simulate study three (natural development, protection, protection 2026); estimate each scenario; conduct comparative analysis. We found that changed significantly during period. has slowly increased by ~USD 15 billion years. obtained scenario highest. YRB’s future change, comparison analysis different scenarios, provide guidance scientific for conservation high-quality worldwide.
Language: Английский
Citations
60
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 144, P. 109514 - 109514
Published: Oct. 3, 2022
Understanding the impact of land use change on ecosystem service values (ESV) will provide a valuable reference for formulation and implementation ecological restoration programs (ERPs) policies. The Guizhou Province is typical karst region with fragile in southwest China. During past decades, multiple ERPs, especially Grain Green Program (GFGP), have been implemented this region, which has resulted dramatic change. However, how ESV responded to remains unclear. Moreover, few studies addressed response different intensities ERPs future. This study adopted benefit transfer method quantitatively evaluate contributions transitions from 2000 2020. we designed three GFGP scenarios explore intensity identify priority areas. results showed that total experienced net increase 10.64 billion USD 2020, was mainly attributed expansion forestland water area. transition farmland loss 5.07 ESV, accounting 53.66% loss, should receive enough attention. by 17.07 USD, 30.16 48.58 under mild GFGP, moderate strong scenarios, respectively. high-intensity enhanced trade-off relationship between provision services other kinds (i.e. regulating services, culture habitant services). scenario converting slope greater than 20° into forestland) optimal Zunyi, Bijie, Qiandongnan be areas implement taken consideration suitable determined based local characteristics GFGP. can references formulating optimizing policy Province.
Language: Английский
Citations
59
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 146, P. 109801 - 109801
Published: Dec. 16, 2022
The National Ecological Barrier Zones are an important part of China's ecological security strategy. construction a scientific and reasonable pattern (ESP) is for the healthy development national barrier zones. existing literature does not consider impact potential changes in ecosystem health land use on ESP construction. In this study, we considered typical composite area, Sichuan-Yunnan barrier, to analyze such areas; probability future growth change, circuit theory, service trade-off synergy, construct sustainable ESP. Spatial heterogeneity was observed level barrier; high-value areas were mostly distributed central southern parts study but low-value northeastern western regions. contained 246 sources (distributed forest grassland contiguous south, central, northeast regions), 563 corridors that portrayed obvious differences spatial distribution, 123 pinchpoints, 231 barriers, topographic gradient characteristics. Based data, proposed relevant policy opinions zoning control. results show incorporating trade-offs services into assessments can lead more effective selection sources. Meanwhile, constructed by using correct resistance surface truly reflect need under trend. research framework "ecosystem assessment incorporates - theory" could address technical issues constructing compound large regional/national regions key function areas.
Language: Английский
Citations
59
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 144, P. 109526 - 109526
Published: Oct. 8, 2022
Simulation of changes in ecosystem service value (ESV) caused by land use change Wuhan under multiple scenarios is great significance for ensuring urban ecological security and enhancing regional values. The city was selected as the study area, ESV over past 31 years were analyzed calculated based on five-phase remote sensing images statistical yearbooks 1990, 1998, 2006, 2014 2021. On this basis, CA-Markov model multi objective planning (MOP) used to simulate area 2040 four (natural development scenario, cultivated protection scenario scenario), total estimated each scenario. services grid tools applied visualize spatial distribution degree aggregation services. results show that: (1) most obvious feature from 1990 2021 sharp reduction arable rapid expansion build-up area. Over years, decreased 78322.4 hm2, increased 52559.28 hm2. (2) From 2021, Wuhan's at five timepoints (1990, 2014, 2021) 74.554 billion yuan, 71.512 69.632 73.433 yuan 68.548 respectively. Overall, there has been a downward trend volatility. (3) Under scenarios, projected be 72.777 70.969 74.097 or 70.620 Among them, optimal simulation choice. (4) cold hot spots an aggregated large with mainly concentrated central southeastern parts located northeastern northwestern portions Wuhan. Simulating future trends exploring responses values various are conducive construction new pattern space can provide scientific basis reference decision-making comprehensively promoting sustainable other metropolitan areas China future.
Language: Английский
Citations
56
Global Ecology and Conservation, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 34, P. e02006 - e02006
Published: Jan. 18, 2022
Ecological degradation is a serious problem across the world constraining regional sustainable development, while ecological restoration of great significance in alleviating this issue. Cost-benefit analysis valid for successful project implementation and planning but large-scale studies are still lacking, especially Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), which has special geographic location extremely fragile ecosystems. This study applied patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model to simulate different scenarios quantified their costs benefits (ecosystem services values). The results indicated that priority areas varied specific landscapes scenarios. For grassland restoration, prioritized southwestern regions with large tracts grassland. cost-benefit showed benefit cost ratio farmland afforestation scenario was largest, value 128.2; it lowest degraded scenario, 58.44. And between two, 80.83. Besides, comprehensive scenarios, increased increase area when remained unchanged. can guide support policy formulation on QTP.
Language: Английский
Citations
50
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 144, P. 109539 - 109539
Published: Oct. 10, 2022
High-intensity human activities have changed land use/land cover (LULC) patterns in the Huangshui River Basin (HRB), which has brought significant challenges to ecosystems sustainable development. Discerning ecosystem service dynamic characteristics and responses under different use/cover change (LUCC) scenarios are necessary increase public willingness pay for guide decision-making process. We examined LULC spatiotemporal dynamics HRB from 2000 2020 coupled Markov-chain, multi-objective programming (MOP), patch-generating use simulation (PLUS) models optimize simulate spatial pattern five scenarios: natural development scenario (NDs), city expansion (CEs), ecological protection (EPs), economic (EDs), balance (EEBs). Given regional differences, a spatially modified value (ESV) assessment model was proposed evaluate ESV. Factors driving ESV stratified heterogeneity were identified using geographic detectors. Ecosystem sensitivity response LUCC discriminated against elasticity model. The study area dominated by 56.86–60.40 % grassland 33.11–36.27 cropland. Grassland cropland decreased 579.75 km2 423.87 over period 2000–2020, while other areas such as forestland, water area, construction land, barren increased 289.81 km2, 140.77 489.10 83.96 respectively. Land conversion mainly occurred among grassland, cropland, land. Total 39,665 million yuan 2020, an of 2.25 compared 2000. NDs, EPs, EDs, EEBs 0.34 %, 1.04 2.01 7.78 respectively that CEs 0.17 %. coefficient 0.43 during 2010–2020, indicating 1 would result average changes services not very marked HRB. Elevation dominant driver effects elevation on should receive more attention management. Multi-objective optimization multi-scenario analysis effectively guided land-use planning involved uncertainty, complexity, interaction. EPs may be suitable future
Language: Английский
Citations
44
Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2022, Volume and Issue: 326, P. 116629 - 116629
Published: Nov. 5, 2022
Language: Английский
Citations
44
Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 155, P. 110926 - 110926
Published: Sept. 18, 2023
Changes in land use/land cover (LULC) can impact water yield (WY) by altering the structural layout and functions of terrestrial ecosystems. Therefore, to ensure regional economic ecosystem sustainability, it is critical investigate correlation between LULC change WY. The GMOP-PLUS-InVEST (GPI) coupling model based on gray multi-objective optimization model, patch-generating use simulation integrated valuation services trade-offs was used this study. Establishing three different scenarios: business as usual (BAU), development scenario (ED), ecological conservation (EC) predict distribution pattern Nansi Lake Basin (NLB) 2035, obtain WY from 2000 2035. Getis-Ord Gi* Anselin Local Moran's I were spatial–temporal features at grid scale. results indicated that: (1) dominant types NLB farmland construction land. primary transfer trend encroaching due acceleration urbanization process policy intervention. (2) 2035 showed that BAU had a continuous for nearly 20 years; Under ED, intensity encroachment accelerating; EC, an apparent increase proportion could be seen, contradiction eased, which expected more line with planning objectives. (3) significant effect From continued increase, under scenarios ED > EC BAU. Spatially always high value south west NLB. GPI service evaluation, providing ideas rational future LULC. Research have reference significance formulation policies protection restoration environment
Language: Английский
Citations
40