Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Hippophae neurocarpa in China Using Biomod2 Modeling DOI Creative Commons

Tingjiang Gan,

Quanwei Liu, Danping Xu

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(7), P. 722 - 722

Published: March 27, 2025

Hippophae neurocarpa is a relatively new member of the Rhamnus genus that has various potential edible and medicinal values, but still needs to be further developed. To better develop H. neurocarpa, it crucial determine its current future population distribution. This study utilized “Biomod2” package in R integrate five individual models investigate effects climate change on distribution as well key climatic factors influencing The results indicated that, under scenario, mainly concentrated eastern parts Loess Plateau Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. In future, suitable habitats will undergo varying degrees change: area medium/low suitability decrease, while high shift westward increase. analysis changes, was found some Sichuan Shaanxi directly transition from highly unsuitable areas. Key environmental variable showed temperature, particularly low factor affecting neurocarpa. Additionally, altitude also significant impact predicted which aid development provide reference for selecting regions cultivation.

Language: Английский

Prediction of Potential Suitability Areas for Ephedra sinica in the Five Northwestern Provinces of China under Climate Change DOI Creative Commons

Yibo Xu,

Xiaohuang Liu,

Lianrong Zhao

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 14(10), P. 1830 - 1830

Published: Oct. 17, 2024

Ephedra sinica (E. sinica) holds significant economic and medicinal importance is predominantly found in arid areas. Due to the limitations of environmental variables, growth habits, human activities, production suitability areas E. have significantly decreased, especially five northwestern provinces China. In this study, 212 distribution points 40 variables were obtained project habitat under different emission scenarios future. It identified precipitation wettest month, monthly mean diurnal temperature difference, solar radiation intensity April July as primary factors affecting region. The high, medium, low region cover 103,000 km2, 376,500 486,800 km2. Under future scenarios, from 2021 2100 will decrease by 20%, with high decreasing 65% 85% particularly. With comprehensive are projected, filling gap projection China over long time period. show a trend. This research provides valuable insights into crucial factors, offering theoretical support for protection management efforts sinica.

Language: Английский

Citations

3

Assessment of Mountain Floods Susceptibility and Flood Runoff Simulation in the Upper Reaches of Baishui River Basin, Wen County, China DOI
Hao Wang, Quanfu Niu, Xiaoyan Wang

et al.

Published: Jan. 1, 2025

This paper takes the upstream of Baishuijiang River Basin in Wen County, Gansu Province, as study area. By integrating terrain, soil, land cover, and climate data, primary hazard-inducing factors are screened. The MaxEnt ombined with Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm is utilized for mountain flood susceptibility assessment runoff simulation. conclusion obtained follows: (1)From major disaster-inducing area, precipitation (bio14, bio15) temperature (bio2, bio5) greatest impact on to disasters; (2) Predictions risk areas over next four periods (2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100) show that, compared period from 2021 2030, medium high remain generally stable, mainly distributed along both banks River, a slight increasing trend; (3) basin's infiltration capacity, water storage topography, use have significant flow volume, evidenced by sensitivity volume peak SCS Curve Number (CN) Recession Constant. Flood directly proportional Ratio Peak, while inversely it. time only sensitive CN value other parameters indices close 0.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Adaptive Distribution and Priority Protection of Endangered Species Cycas balansae DOI Creative Commons
Huayong Zhang, Yanxia Zhou, Shijia Zhang

et al.

Plants, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(5), P. 815 - 815

Published: March 5, 2025

As an endangered species, the habitat of Cycas balansae (C. balansae) is subject to a variety impacts, including climate change and human activities, exploring its adaptive distribution conservation areas under such conditions crucial protecting ecological security species. In this study, we used MaxEnt model Marxan v4.0.6 systematically evaluate priority protection species C. balansae. The results showed that concentrated in Xishuangbanna surrounding zones southern Yunnan Province. main factors affecting were temperature seasonality, mean coldest quarter, isothermality, precipitation warmest among which was dominant factor. Under different scenarios future, area slight decrease, northward migration trend. future pattern closely related seasonality quarter. addition, influence anthropogenic disturbances on cannot be ignored. Currently, there large range vacancies for balansae, it recommended Simao City as area. This study provides new insights determining strategies

Language: Английский

Citations

0

From Ecological Niche to Conservation Planning; Climate‐Driven Range Dynamics of Ephedra intermedia in Central Asia DOI Creative Commons
Muhammad Waheed, Fahim Arshad, Sehrish Sadia

et al.

Ecology and Evolution, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(3)

Published: March 1, 2025

ABSTRACT Ephedra intermedia , a medicinally significant plant, is an important component of arid and semi‐arid ecosystems across Central South Asia. This research sought to predict the present future distribution E. by applying ecological niche modeling (ENM) methods. The model incorporated comprehensive bioclimatic edaphic variables species' habitat suitability. results demonstrated high predictive accuracy, highlighting importance temperature seasonality, annual range, soil pH, nitrogen content as key species determinants. current suitability map revealed core areas in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Tajikistan mountain regions. Under climate change scenarios (SSP2‐4.5 SSP5‐8.5) for 2050s 2070s, projected upward northward shift suitable habitats, coupled with notable contraction extent highly areas, particularly under high‐emission SSP5‐8.5 scenario. predicted range shifts reflect sensitivity increasing temperatures changing precipitation patterns. suggests potential loss habitats low‐elevation southern parts its range. Including factors provided novel insights, specifically critical role properties, such pH content, shaping . These findings complement observed scenarios, emphasizing reliance on high‐altitude refugia conditions change. underscore implications conservation planning, suggesting that strategies should prioritize protection these refugial while also considering measures connectivity assisted migration support adaptation shifting environmental conditions.

Language: Английский

Citations

0

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Hippophae neurocarpa in China Using Biomod2 Modeling DOI Creative Commons

Tingjiang Gan,

Quanwei Liu, Danping Xu

et al.

Agriculture, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 15(7), P. 722 - 722

Published: March 27, 2025

Hippophae neurocarpa is a relatively new member of the Rhamnus genus that has various potential edible and medicinal values, but still needs to be further developed. To better develop H. neurocarpa, it crucial determine its current future population distribution. This study utilized “Biomod2” package in R integrate five individual models investigate effects climate change on distribution as well key climatic factors influencing The results indicated that, under scenario, mainly concentrated eastern parts Loess Plateau Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. In future, suitable habitats will undergo varying degrees change: area medium/low suitability decrease, while high shift westward increase. analysis changes, was found some Sichuan Shaanxi directly transition from highly unsuitable areas. Key environmental variable showed temperature, particularly low factor affecting neurocarpa. Additionally, altitude also significant impact predicted which aid development provide reference for selecting regions cultivation.

Language: Английский

Citations

0