Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(1)
Published: Feb. 18, 2025
The
intersection
of
climate
change
and
human
activities
exacerbates
the
prominent
contradiction
between
environmental
resources
economic
development.
synergistic
development
water
resources,
economy
society,
ecological
environment
is
particularly
urgent.
Therefore,
accurately
identifying
its
influencing
factors
related
pathways
holds
significant
practical
importance
in
resolving
This
study
constructs
a
system
for
"water
society
environment"
from
three
dimensions,
reveals
relationship
indicators
through
Decision
Making
Trial
Evaluation
Laboratory
(DEMATEL),
determines
hierarchical
structure
paths
Interpretive
Structural
Model
(ISM),
classifies
Matrix
Multiplication
Method
Cross
Influence
(MICMAC).
results
show
that
resource
are
important
cause
economic,
social
essential
effect
factors.
can
be
divided
into
four
levels,
which
total
precipitation
NDVI
at
bottom
most
fundamental
percentage
groundwater
supply,
utilization
rate
energy
consumption
10,000
yuan
GDP
deep
core
elements.
Total
grain
output,
per
capita,
use
capita
direct
Finally,
taking
Central
Plains
Urban
Agglomeration
as
an
example,
selecting
identified
analyzing
level
coupled
found
degree
coupling
coordination
increased
0.324
2011
to
0.978
2020.
showed
fluctuating
change,
it
still
key
Analyzing
subsystems
clarifying
systems
policy
formulation,
improving
governance
promoting
high-quality
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(1)
Published: Jan. 9, 2025
As
a
key
food
production
base,
land
use
changes
in
the
Jianghan
Plain
(JHP)
significantly
affect
surface
landscape
structure
and
ecological
risks,
posing
challenges
to
security.
Assessing
risk
of
JHP,
identifying
its
drivers,
predicting
trends
under
different
scenarios
can
provide
strategic
support
for
management
safeguarding
security
JHP.
In
this
study,
(LER)
index
was
constructed
by
integrating
indices
from
2000
2020,
firstly
analyzing
spatiotemporal
characteristics,
subsequently
influencing
factors
using
GeoDetector
model,
finally,
simulating
four
Markov-PLUS
model.
The
results
showed
that:
(1)
Cropland
dominant
use,
most
significant
decreases
increases
occurred
cropland
built-up
land,
respectively.
primary
conversion
interconversion
water
body.
(2)
LER
exhibited
trend
initially
increasing
decreasing,
levels
were
predominantly
medium
higher.
spatial
pattern
high
southeast
low
central
northern
areas.
(3)
patterns
resulted
combined
effect
multiple
mainly
influenced
natural
environment,
which
NDVI
first
factor.
(4)
intensity
higher
economic
development
than
protection
scenarios,
predicted
2030
former
latter
two.
These
findings
are
important
formulating
scientific
reasonable
planning
strategies
balance
growth
preservation
maintain
sustainability
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(1)
Published: Jan. 18, 2025
The
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei
major
mineral
belt
represents
a
significant
economic
development
area
in
China.
Effective
monitoring
and
assessment
of
the
regional
landscape
ecological
risk
can
provide
scientific
basis
for
an
protection
strategy
environmental
belt.
In
this
study,
index
was
constructed
based
on
land
use/land
cover,
spatial
temporal
variations
were
subsequently
analyzed.
Furthermore,
contribution
main
driving
factors
quantified
results
demonstrate
that:
(1)
use
types
within
study
underwent
changes
from
1985
to
2022.
predominant
type
transfer
cropland,
which
primarily
converted
construction
land,
grassland,
woodland.
(2)
central-northern
western
parts
is
higher,
while
southwest
lower.
Using
2015
as
time
point,
found
change,
with
average
value
all
classes
2015-2022
being
lower
than
that
1985-2015,
exception
high-risk
area.
mean
annual
obviously
higher
during
1985-2015
period
comparison
period,
regions
exhibiting
high
risk.
(3)
There
positive
correlation
between
risks
different
periods.
pattern
exhibits
both
'high-high'
aggregation
'low-low'
aggregation.
aggregations
are
located
northern,
central
area,
zones
mainly
southeastern
region.
(4)
distribution
predominantly
shaped
by
population
density
slope.
context
interactive
factor
detection,
interaction
slope
temperature,
night-time
illumination
slope,
precipitation
identified
exerting
more
influence
observed
differentiation
It
multiple
drivers
had
pronounced
impact
any
single
factor.
findings
research
project
rationale
reference
future
use,
resource
optimization,
differential
management
restoration.
considerable
importance
terms
maintaining
security
patterns.
Water,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(4), P. 524 - 524
Published: Feb. 12, 2025
As
the
only
large
sulfate-type
salt
lake
in
global
warm
temperate
deciduous
forest
zone,
Yuncheng
Salt
Lake
plays
a
crucial
role
maintaining
ecosystem
stability
and
establishing
regional
ecological
barrier
due
to
its
unique
characteristics.
Currently,
there
is
lack
of
research
on
spatial
temporal
differentiation
risks
inland
lakes,
particularly
wetland
ecosystems,
under
current
future
scenarios.
Moreover,
studies
using
optimal
parameter-based
geographical
detectors
identify
influencing
factors
landscape
risks—while
avoiding
subjective
bias—remain
limited.
This
study
utilizes
land
use/land
cover
data
from
1990
2022
construct
risk
assessment
model.
By
employing
autocorrelation
analysis,
detector,
Patch-level
Land
Use
Simulation
(PLUS)
model,
explores
dynamic
evolution
wetlands
different
Furthermore,
it
analyzes
influence
various
natural
socio-economic
risk,
aiming
provide
valuable
insights
for
targeted
warning
management
measures
regions.
The
results
indicate
that:
(1)
Between
2022,
area
built-up
increased
significantly,
primarily
continuous
decline
farmland
area,
while
water
initially
decreased
then
increased.
(2)
index
declined
over
period,
indicating
an
improvement
status
recent
years,
with
overall
security
trending
positively.
(3)
Topographical
conditions
are
primary
wetlands,
followed
by
mean
annual
temperature
population
density.
synergistic
effect
elevation
precipitation
NDVI
(Normalized
Difference
Vegetation
Index)
exhibits
strongest
explanatory
power
region.
(4)
Under
scenarios,
proportion
high
areas
projected
decrease
varying
extents,
protection
scenario
contributing
more
effectively
sustainable
development
ecosystem.
Scientific Reports,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
15(1)
Published: Feb. 18, 2025
The
intersection
of
climate
change
and
human
activities
exacerbates
the
prominent
contradiction
between
environmental
resources
economic
development.
synergistic
development
water
resources,
economy
society,
ecological
environment
is
particularly
urgent.
Therefore,
accurately
identifying
its
influencing
factors
related
pathways
holds
significant
practical
importance
in
resolving
This
study
constructs
a
system
for
"water
society
environment"
from
three
dimensions,
reveals
relationship
indicators
through
Decision
Making
Trial
Evaluation
Laboratory
(DEMATEL),
determines
hierarchical
structure
paths
Interpretive
Structural
Model
(ISM),
classifies
Matrix
Multiplication
Method
Cross
Influence
(MICMAC).
results
show
that
resource
are
important
cause
economic,
social
essential
effect
factors.
can
be
divided
into
four
levels,
which
total
precipitation
NDVI
at
bottom
most
fundamental
percentage
groundwater
supply,
utilization
rate
energy
consumption
10,000
yuan
GDP
deep
core
elements.
Total
grain
output,
per
capita,
use
capita
direct
Finally,
taking
Central
Plains
Urban
Agglomeration
as
an
example,
selecting
identified
analyzing
level
coupled
found
degree
coupling
coordination
increased
0.324
2011
to
0.978
2020.
showed
fluctuating
change,
it
still
key
Analyzing
subsystems
clarifying
systems
policy
formulation,
improving
governance
promoting
high-quality
