Land Use Modeling and Predicted Ecosystem Service Value Under Different Development Scenarios: A Case Study of the Upper–Middle Yellow River Basin, China DOI Creative Commons
Mingwei Ma, Yafen He,

Yanwei Sun

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(1), P. 115 - 115

Published: Jan. 8, 2025

Exploring the future ecosystem service value (ESV) of upper–middle Yellow River Basin is great significance to enhancing its ecological security and capacity. This in response strategy for protection high-quality development Basin. In this study, land use change from 2000 2020 was analyzed quantitatively. The pattern 2035 predicted using Cellular Automata Markov models under business as usual (BAU), (EPS), high urbanization (HUS) scenarios. ESV estimated impact changes on regional identified. results indicate that study area experienced a reduction (~12,139 km2) cultivation an expansion (~10,597 built-up 2020. 2035, BAU scenario, construction water would expand by 24.52% 11.51%, respectively, while grassland unused decrease 18,520 km2 2770 km2, respectively. Under EPS forests, grasslands, increase 16.57%, 10.59%, 4%, three different scenarios, ESVs are at CNY 2475 2710 billion, grasslands contribute largest part accounting 57.98% 59.21%. These findings could help guide through construction.

Language: Английский

Land Use Modeling and Predicted Ecosystem Service Value Under Different Development Scenarios: A Case Study of the Upper–Middle Yellow River Basin, China DOI Creative Commons
Mingwei Ma, Yafen He,

Yanwei Sun

et al.

Land, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 14(1), P. 115 - 115

Published: Jan. 8, 2025

Exploring the future ecosystem service value (ESV) of upper–middle Yellow River Basin is great significance to enhancing its ecological security and capacity. This in response strategy for protection high-quality development Basin. In this study, land use change from 2000 2020 was analyzed quantitatively. The pattern 2035 predicted using Cellular Automata Markov models under business as usual (BAU), (EPS), high urbanization (HUS) scenarios. ESV estimated impact changes on regional identified. results indicate that study area experienced a reduction (~12,139 km2) cultivation an expansion (~10,597 built-up 2020. 2035, BAU scenario, construction water would expand by 24.52% 11.51%, respectively, while grassland unused decrease 18,520 km2 2770 km2, respectively. Under EPS forests, grasslands, increase 16.57%, 10.59%, 4%, three different scenarios, ESVs are at CNY 2475 2710 billion, grasslands contribute largest part accounting 57.98% 59.21%. These findings could help guide through construction.

Language: Английский

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