A Prediction–Interaction–Driving Framework for Ecosystem Services Under Climate Change and Human Activities: A Case Study of Zoigê County
Land,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
14(3), P. 441 - 441
Published: Feb. 20, 2025
Under
climate
change
and
human
activities,
ecosystem
service
(ES)
research
lacks
systematic
approaches
scientific
depth.
This
study
develops
a
comprehensive
framework
integrating
advanced
models
to
predict
ESs,
analyze
interactions,
identify
key
drivers,
assess
spatial
effects
on
the
Zoigê
Plateau.
The
results
indicate
following:
(1)
From
2000
2020
across
three
2040
scenarios,
water
conservation
(WC)
improves,
while
carbon
storage
(CS)
habitat
quality
(HQ)
decline,
leading
overall
ES
degradation.
Core
areas
face
rising
degradation
risks
from
9%
29%
under
increasing
environmental
stress
(SSP119
SSP585).
(2)
importance
follows
HQ
>
CS
SC
WC,
with
bivariate
interactions
outperforming
single-factor
effects.
Future
scenarios
show
weakened
correlating
higher
ecological
stress,
indicating
stability
risks.
(3)
Land
use
(>40%
explanatory
power)
is
primary
driver,
urban
expansion,
slope,
evapotranspiration,
precipitation
contribute
(6–12%).
(4)
drivers
showed
weak
patterns
but
became
more
stable
future
suggesting
stronger
control.
provides
methodological
paradigm
for
analysis
supports
planning
in
alpine
wetland–grassland
regions.
Language: Английский
Interactions and Driving Force of Land Cover and Ecosystem Service Before and After the Earthquake in Wenchuan County
Sustainability,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
17(7), P. 3094 - 3094
Published: March 31, 2025
The
Wenchuan
earthquake,
an
unexpected
magnitude
8.0
mega-earthquake
that
struck
on
12
May
2008,
significantly
changed
land
cover
(LC),
particularly
affecting
vegetation
and
rock
cover.
However,
the
long-term
effects
of
LC
changes
ecosystem
services
(ESs)
remain
unclear
in
earthquake-affected
regions,
especially
across
different
spatial
scales.
This
study,
focusing
County,
employs
a
multi-model
framework
integrates
fractional
coverage
(FVC),
exposure
rate
(FR),
(ESs),
combining
correlation
analysis,
geographically
weighted
regression
(GWR),
Self-organizing
map
(SOM)
clustering,
XGBoost-SHAP
model,
to
analyze
spatiotemporal
dynamics,
interrelationships,
driving
mechanisms
(LC)
ESs
before
after
earthquake.
Results
show
that:
(1)
From
2000
2020,
FVC
FR
fluctuated
markedly
under
earthquake
influence,
with
slight
declines
habitat
quality
(HQ)
carbon
storage
(CS)
notable
improvements
soil
conservation
(SC)
water
yield
(WY).
(2)
With
increasing
elevation,
FVC–CS–SC
group
exhibited
downward
trend
synergy,
while
FR–HQ–WY
increased
also
showed
synergy;
trade-offs
synergies
became
more
pronounced
at
larger
scales,
displaying
strong
heterogeneity.
(3)
Elevation
(explaining
10–60%
variance)
was
main
driver
for
ESs,
use,
slope,
human
activities,
climate,
geological
conditions
impacting
individual
indicators.
At
same
time,
existing
hazard
points
are
mainly
concentrated
along
both
sides
river
valleys,
which
may
be
associated
intensified
human–land
conflicts.
These
findings
offer
valuable
insights
into
ecological
restoration
sustainable
development
regions.
Language: Английский
A health-service-risk framework for evaluating ecological carrying capacity in arid inland river basins: A case study of the Tarim River Basin
Rongqin Yang,
No information about this author
Zhenxia Mu,
No information about this author
Zilong Li
No information about this author
et al.
Ecological Indicators,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
173, P. 113427 - 113427
Published: April 1, 2025
Language: Английский
Exploration of the multi-scenario spatiotemporal evolution, trade-off and synergy relationships, and driving factors of ecosystem services in Henan Province, China, under the background of land use change
Yunwei Sun,
No information about this author
Qi Ma,
No information about this author
Weiye Wang
No information about this author
et al.
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution,
Journal Year:
2025,
Volume and Issue:
13
Published: April 7, 2025
Introduction
Ecosystem
services
(ESs)
assessment
plays
a
significant
role
in
managing
ecological
resources.
From
the
perspective
of
land
use,
this
research
aims
to
uncover
complex
interdependence
between
ESs
and
their
key
drivers
clarify
optimize
function
zoning
region.
Methods
This
focuses
on
Henan
Province
China,
quantifying
five
ESs,
namely,
carbon
storage
(CS),
habitat
quality
(HQ),
soil
conservation
(SC),
water
(WC),
yield
(WY),
assessing
interactions
from
2000
2020
2035.
Moreover,
study
explores
social
-
driving
factors
influencing
these
ESs.
Finally,
it
classifies
types
ecosystem
service
bundles
(ESBs).
Results
(1)
2020,
use
evolution
was
characterized
by
large
expansion
construction
land,
continuous
decrease
cultivated
area,
relatively
stable
changes
other
types.
In
protection
(EP)
scenario
2035,
area
decreased
most,
forest
increased
slightly.
CS
HQ
showed
trend
degradation,
while
SC,
WY,
WC
first
fluctuated
then
increased.
(2)
The
synergistic
relationship
each
main
one,
among
which
WC-WY,
CS-HQ
HQ-SC
relationships,
CS-WC
HQ-WC
change
trade-off
relationship,
were
mainly
relationships.
Meanwhile,
most
B4
central
part
region
dominated,
rest
volatility.
(3)
Elevation
slope
are
dominant
restricting
spatiotemporal
distribution
CS,
HQ,
SC.
Temperature
precipitation
primary
conditions
affecting
differentiation
WY
WC.
interaction
topographic
climatic
has
greater
impact
than
single
factor.
Discussion
conclusion,
during
period
there
spatio-temporal
heterogeneity
various
functions
Province.
Approaches
such
as
exploring
relationships
different
ecosystems
classifying
clusters,
discussing
potential
can
provide
references
for
territorial
space
governance
environment
Language: Английский
Identifying the Key Protection Areas of Alpine Marsh Wetlands in the Qinghai Qilian Mountains, China: An Ecosystem Patterns–Characteristics–Functions Combined Method
Lei Wang,
No information about this author
Xufeng Mao,
No information about this author
Hongyan Yu
No information about this author
et al.
Land,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
13(12), P. 2115 - 2115
Published: Dec. 6, 2024
The
alpine
marsh
wetlands
in
the
Qilian
Mountains
of
Qinghai
(QMQ)
are
under
constant
threat
from
effects
climate
change
and
human
activities.
Identifying
key
ecological
protection
areas
(KEPAs)
is
prerequisite
for
formulating
strategies
executing
spatial
planning
programs.
current
study
developed
a
novel
method
to
identify
KEPAs
by
following
ecosystem
pattern–characteristics–functions
(EPCFs)
combined
source–ecological
corridor–ecological
node
research
paradigm.
More
specifically,
an
evaluation
system
resistance
was
constructed
integrating
drivers
EPCFs
wetlands.
Additionally,
wetland
degradation
disturbances
were
analyzed
through
incorporated
with
field
survey.
findings
indicated
following:
(1)
had
total
water
yield
approximately
3.96
×
108
m3.
soil
conservation
rate
habitat
quality
per
unit
area
calculated
be
52.92
t·hm−2·a−1
0.992,
respectively,
higher
values
observed
on
southern
bank
lower
northern
river
QMQ.
(2)
covered
extent
996.53
km2
QMQ,
encompassing
40
sources,
39
corridors,
nodes,
predominantly
located
source
regions.
(3)
restructured
into
framework
comprising
two
axes,
four
belts,
cores,
multiple
nodes
In
response
factors
contributing
wetlands,
adaptive
measures
including
prioritizing
natural
restoration,
modifying
grazing
strategies,
restoration
projects
as
minimum,
designating
protected
have
been
recommended.
This
could
contribute
enhancing
efficiency
regional
territorial
offer
theoretical
foundation
improving
Language: Английский