Projecting the response of ecological risk to land use/land cover change in ecologically fragile regions

The Science of The Total Environment, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 914, P. 169908 - 169908

Published: Jan. 6, 2024

Language: Английский

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Decoding spatial patterns of urban thermal comfort: Explainable machine learning reveals drivers of thermal perception

Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 114, P. 107895 - 107895

Published: March 5, 2025

Language: Английский

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Thriving arid oasis urban agglomerations: Optimizing ecosystem services pattern under future climate change scenarios using dynamic Bayesian network

Journal of Environmental Management, Journal Year: 2023, Volume and Issue: 350, P. 119612 - 119612

Published: Nov. 29, 2023

Language: Английский

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Simulating the interrelationships among population, water, ecology, and economy in urban agglomerations based on a system dynamics approach

Journal of Cleaner Production, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 439, P. 140813 - 140813

Published: Jan. 21, 2024

Language: Английский

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Multi-scenario simulation and evaluation of the impacts of land use change on ecosystem service values in the Chishui River Basin of Guizhou Province, China

Ecological Indicators, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 163, P. 112078 - 112078

Published: April 29, 2024

Changes in land-use patterns are the main driving factors of ecosystem service values (ESVs). The quantitative evaluation ESVs is significant for sustainable development ecologically fragile areas. In this study, Chishui River Basin (CRB) China was selected as study region, and an intensity map (IM) used to analyze transformation land use/land cover (LULC). modified equivalent coefficient value method evaluate based on 2000, 2010, 2020 use datasets. spatial temporal distributions ESV its response changes LULC were analyzed using Getis-Ord Gi* statistical Spearman's rank correlation analysis. Moreover, over next 30 years four scenarios simulated Markov-PLUS model. following results obtained: 1) farmland forestland dominant categories, that pattern dramatically changed area; 2) total CRB decreased significantly from 23.21 billion yuan 2000 22.29 2020; 3) ecological conservation scenario promoted ESV, town more conducive urbanization process. Therefore, although showed a decreasing slowly increasing trend context series restoration measures, scientific protection policies must be continuously implemented achieve harmony between improvement development. Our provide important information making decisions facilitating protected basins.

Language: Английский

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Impact of multi-scenario land-use changes on habitat quality evolution in the Yangtze River economic belt

Frontiers in Environmental Science, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 12

Published: Jan. 9, 2025

Ecosystems worldwide are facing significant challenges resulting from the dual pressures of global climate change and human activities, particularly in terms biodiversity loss associated with land-use change. Focusing on Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), this study uses System Dynamics (SD) - Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model to simulate development under different scenarios shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) representative concentration (RCPs) 2030 2050. Furthermore, InVEST is applied evaluate changes habitat quality (HQ) over period 2000 A hotspot analysis further highlights spatial heterogeneity HQ within YREB. The showed that pattern YREB 2020 2050 will be dominated by cropland eastern region, grassland north-west, forest land central southern regions, a steady increase built-up east. index exhibits gradual east west, ultimately declining 0.726 SSP585 scenario for This trend reflects moderate degradation (HD), degree shifting towards lower higher proportions HQ. Spatial reveals region identified as cold spot, categorized non-significant, while western emerges hot where exceeds 40%. These findings offer scientific foundation promoting high-quality enhancing conservation

Language: Английский

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Non-linear responses and critical thresholds of human well-being to ecosystem services across land-use intensities in urbanizing areas

Environmental Impact Assessment Review, Journal Year: 2025, Volume and Issue: 114, P. 107921 - 107921

Published: March 22, 2025

Language: Английский

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Study on multi-scenarios regulating strategy of land use conflict in urban agglomerations under the perspective of “three-zone space”: a case study of Harbin-Changchun urban agglomerations, China

Frontiers in Environmental Science, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 11

Published: Feb. 5, 2024

Introduction: Against the background of rapid global urbanization, urban space expansion has led to increasingly acute land-use conflicts. Accurately understanding spatial and temporal evolution characteristics conflict patterns measuring level conflicts are crucial for intensifying sustainable use management land resources. Existing research focuses on analyzing current status conflicts, while there is limited discussion tracking spatial-temporal dynamic simulating future trends. Method: In this paper, was measured by constructing a comprehensive index (SCCI) model, spatio-temporal in Harbin-Changchun agglomeration from 2000 2020 discussed. addition, PLUS model used simulate predict pattern 2030, finally put forward control strategy. Results: Result shows that: (1) Over past 20 years, expanded rapidly with two provincial capitals as growth poles. Land-use generally exhibit distribution “high west low east, high core periphery.” (2) During have intensified initially then eased. Severe uncontrolled concentrated transition zone between rural areas agglomerations. (3) Agricultural resource key area contested different interest subjects process development utilization. Discussion: The agricultural priority scenario proves be most effective controlling However, single cannot adequately address multiple rights interests. Therefore, modes should implemented areas. purpose paper provide scientific strategies suggestions agglomerations achieving regional use.

Language: Английский

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A Study of the Spatiotemporal Evolution Patterns and Coupling Coordination between Ecosystem Service Values and Habitat Quality in Diverse Scenarios: The Case of Chengdu Metropolitan Area, China

Sustainability, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 16(9), P. 3741 - 3741

Published: April 29, 2024

The global ecological decline resulting from urban development presents a significant challenge for numerous regions striving to reconcile conservation efforts with developmental needs. This study explores the relationship between ecosystem service value (ESV) and habitat quality (HQ) under various scenarios elucidate prospective trajectories. utilized PLUS model simulate land use patterns in Chengdu metropolitan area across four distinct scenarios. Furthermore, it employed equivalent factor method Invest quantify ESV HQ values, investigated coupling coordination each city using (CCM). findings are as follows: (1) Between 2000 2020, primarily expanded through of construction land. (2) Concurrently, demonstrated fluctuating trend characterized by an initial succeeded upsurge, culminating Development–Ecological Balance Scenario. Likewise, displayed similar pattern increase, reaching its zenith Ecological Dominance (3) exhibited variability cities Ultimately, this offers distinctive perspective on evaluating interplay conservation, providing valuable insights promoting sustainable other regions.

Language: Английский

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Changes in ecosystem services supply–demand and key drivers in Jiangsu Province, China, from 2000 to 2020

Land Degradation and Development, Journal Year: 2024, Volume and Issue: 35(15), P. 4666 - 4681

Published: Aug. 6, 2024

Abstract Human activities and regional land development have considerably contributed to the degradation of ecosystems growing contradiction between supply demand ecosystem services (ESs) in Jiangsu Province, China. However, few studies applied a comprehensive approach elucidate patterns evolutionary characteristics ESs over long periods. This study investigated spatial–temporal evolution supply, demand, supply–demand relationships six individual Province from 2000 2020. It revealed key drivers changes relationship (CESSD) using geo‐detector model geographically temporally weighted regression address shortcomings previous studies. The results showed that at provincial level, CESSD presented surplus while state tended be imbalanced. At 1‐km 2 grid scale, spatial heterogeneity was obvious, with zones primarily distributed Taihu Lake watershed, hilly areas, riverside zones, watershed Hongze Gaoyou Lake, eastern coastal zone, deficit were mainly clustered areas concentrated contiguous construction land. From 2020, area increased 626 3257 km degree gradually deepened, socioeconomic factors having greatest influence on CESSD. Our findings reveal balance/imbalance human society natural ecology highlight need for effective management ecosystems.

Language: Английский

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