DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals),
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
25(10), P. 730 - 734
Published: Oct. 20, 2022
Bayesian
statistics
is
an
approach
for
learning
from
evidences
as
it
accumulates,
combining
prior
distribution
with
current
information
on
a
quantity
of
interest,
in
which
posterior
and
inferences
are
being
updated
each
time
new
data
become
available
using
Bayes'
Theorem.
Though
frequentist
has
dominated
medical
studies,
been
more
widely
recognized
by
its
flexibility
efficiency.
Research
development
(R&D)
anti-cancer
drugs
have
so
hot
globally
recent
years
spite
relatively
high
failure
rate.
It
the
common
demand
pharmaceutical
enterprises
researchers
to
identify
optimal
dose,
regime
right
population
early-phase
R&D
stage
accurately
efficiently,
especially
when
following
three
major
changes
observed.
The
anticancer
transformed
chemical
biological
products,
monotherapy
combination
therapy,
study
design
also
gradually
changed
traditional
way
innovative
adaptive
mode.
This
raises
number
subsequent
challenges
decision-making
early
R&D,
such
inability
determine
MTD,
deal
delayed
toxicity,
response
dose-response
changing
relationships.
because
above
emerging
that
getting
attention
industry.
At
least,
decision-making,
could
potentially
help
achieve
higher
efficiency,
shorter
period
lower
investment.
expounds
application
drugs,
compares
analyzes
idea
scenarios
statistics,
aiming
provide
macroscopic
systematic
reference
all
related
stakeholders.
.【中文题目:贝叶斯方法在肿瘤新药早期临床研发中
的发展与应用】
【中文摘要:贝叶斯学派是通过综合未知参数的先验信息与样本信息,依据贝叶斯定理,求出后验分布,根据后验分布推断未知参数的统计方法。相比频率派,贝叶斯学派更加灵活、高效。肿瘤新药是全球研发的热点,但同时也存在高失败率的风险。在肿瘤新药早期研发中,高效寻找最佳剂量、优势人群、估计疗效和成功率是医药企业和研究者的共同需求。近年来,肿瘤新药研发呈现化学药物生物制品转变、单药治疗向联合治疗转变、传统设计向创新设计转变等新趋势;伴随出现的各种挑战,包括无法找到最高耐受剂量、延迟毒性、延迟反应、剂量疗效关系变化、剂量组合众多等。基于贝叶斯方法,恰当借用先验信息,能有效帮助企业在肿瘤早期研发中,实现从传统研发模式(高投入、长周期、低效率)向现代研发模式(低投入、短周期、高效率)的转变。研究还进行了贝叶斯方法在肿瘤新药早期研发的进展阐述,与频率派的理念、应用场景的比较分析,可为医药研发的所有从业人员提供宏观、系统的参考。
】
【中文关键词:早期试验;贝叶斯;
统计设计;肿瘤】.
Blood Cancer Journal,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
12(8)
Published: Aug. 23, 2022
Abstract
Targeted
therapies
against
phosphatidylinositol
3-kinase
(PI3K),
Bruton’s
tyrosine
kinase
(BTK),
and
B-cell
lymphoma-2
(BCL-2)
are
approved
for
chronic
lymphocytic
leukemia
(CLL).
Since
approval
of
the
first-in-class
drugs,
next-generation
agents
have
become
available
continuously
under
development.
While
these
act
on
well-characterized
molecular
targets,
this
knowledge
is
only
to
some
extent
taken
into
consideration
when
determining
their
dose
in
phase
I
trials.
For
example,
BTK
occupancy
has
been
assessed
dose-finding
studies
various
inhibitors,
but
minimum
doses
that
result
full
were
not
determined.
Although
targeted
a
different
dose–response
relationship
than
cytotoxic
agents,
which
more
effective
near
maximum
tolerated
dose,
traditional
3
+
toxicity-driven
trial
design
remains
heavily
used
era
therapies.
If
pharmacodynamic
biomarkers
stringently
guide
selection,
recommended
II
would
likely
be
lower
as
compared
selection.
Reduced
drug
may
toxicity,
cases
severe
supported
by
retrospective
demonstrating
non-inferior
outcomes
patients
with
clinically
indicated
reductions.
Here,
we
review
strategies
selection
currently
select
investigational
CLL,
discuss
how
our
initial
clinical
experience
pointed
reductions,
intermittent
dosing,
combinations
overcome
treatment
intolerance
resistance.
The
purpose
of
this
study
was
to
determine
the
maximum
tolerated
dose
(MTD)
for
stereotactic
body
radiation
therapy
(SBRT)
in
treatment
non-metastatic
prostate
cancer.
This
a
phase
1
escalation
trial
conducted
Japan.
Patients
with
histologically
proven
cancer
without
lymph
node
or
distant
metastasis
were
enrolled.
prescribed
doses
42.5,
45,
47.5
Gy
five
fractions.
Dose-limiting
toxicity
(DLT)
defined
as
grade
(G)
3+
gastrointestinal
genitourinary
within
180
days
after
SBRT
completion
and
6
plus
design
used
method
escalation.
A
total
16
patients
enrolled,
42.5
group
10
45
group.
No
DLT
observed
In
group,
one
patient
experienced
G3
rectal
hemorrhage,
another
had
G4
perforation,
leading
determination
MTD.
None
biochemical
recurrence
death
during
follow-up
period.
We
concluded
that
at
5
fractions
could
be
safely
performed,
but
increased
severe
toxicity.
Cancers,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
16(8), P. 1472 - 1472
Published: April 11, 2024
The
purpose
of
this
study
was
to
determine
the
maximum
tolerated
dose
(MTD)
for
stereotactic
body
radiation
therapy
(SBRT)
in
treatment
non-metastatic
prostate
cancer.
This
a
phase
1
escalation
trial
conducted
Japan.
Patients
with
histologically
proven
cancer
without
lymph
nodes
or
distant
metastases
were
enrolled.
prescribed
doses
42.5,
45,
47.5
Gy
five
fractions.
Dose-limiting
toxicity
(DLT)
defined
as
grade
(G)
3+
gastrointestinal
genitourinary
within
180
days
after
SBRT
completion,
and
6
plus
design
used
method
escalation.
A
total
16
patients
enrolled,
42.5
group
10
45
group.
No
DLT
observed
In
group,
one
patient
experienced
G3
rectal
hemorrhage,
another
had
G4
perforation,
leading
determination
MTD.
None
biochemical
recurrence
death
during
follow-up
period.
We
concluded
that
at
fractions
could
be
safely
performed,
but
increased
severe
toxicity.
Mathematics,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
10(22), P. 4206 - 4206
Published: Nov. 10, 2022
The
area
under
the
receiver
operating
characteristics
curve
is
a
popular
measure
of
overall
discriminatory
power
continuous
variable
used
to
indicate
presence
an
outcome
interest,
such
as
disease
or
progression.
In
clinical
practice,
use
cut-off
points
benchmark
values
for
further
treatment
planning
greatly
appreciated,
despite
loss
information
that
dichotomization
implies.
Optimal
are
often
derived
from
fixed
sample
size
studies,
and
aim
this
study
was
investigate
convergence
behavior
optimal
with
increasing
explore
heuristic
path-based
algorithm
point
determination
targets
stagnating
values.
To
end,
closest-to-(0,1)
criterion
in
analysis
used,
aimed
at
deviated
less
than
1%
previous
iteration.
Such
stopped
after
only
few
iterations,
thereby
implicating
practicable
sizes;
however,
result
was,
best,
rough
estimate
unbiased
positively
negatively
biased
prevalence
0.5,
smaller
larger
respectively.
Sequential Analysis,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
43(1), P. 28 - 48
Published: Jan. 2, 2024
In
dose-finding
(DF)
trials,
methods
for
discovering
an
optimal
criterion
that
controls
toxicity
while
demonstrating
a
potential
efficacy
have
been
the
subject
of
statistical
research.
Although
continual
reassessment
(CRMs)
utilized,
consensus
among
practitioners
and
clinical
trial
specialists
is
there
always
room
improvement
with
CRMs.
Within
paradigm
full-Bayesian
method
CRMs,
we
examine
performance
dose
selection
algorithms
based
on
family
loss
functions
defined
in
Huber
(The
Annals
Mathematical
Statistics,
vol.
35,
issue
1,
pp.
73–101,
1964),
namely,
function,
special
focus
modified
function
(MHLF).
Our
exploration
suggests
that,
compared
to
Bayesian
interval
design
(BOIN)
(TILF),
approach
MHLF
has
able
select
correct
doses
fewer
average
number
patients
across
spectrum
escalation
schemes
such
as
those
seen
settings.
Pharmaceutical Statistics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown
Published: Oct. 24, 2024
ABSTRACT
Immunotherapies
and
targeted
therapies
have
gained
popularity
due
to
their
promising
therapeutic
effects
across
multiple
treatment
areas.
The
focus
of
early
phase
dose‐finding
clinical
trials
has
shifted
from
finding
the
maximum
tolerated
dose
(MTD)
identifying
optimal
biological
(OBD),
which
aims
balance
toxicity
efficacy
outcomes,
thus
optimizing
risk–benefit
trade‐off.
These
often
collect
pharmacokinetics
(PK)
outcomes
assess
drug
exposure,
shown
correlations
with
but
not
been
utilized
in
current
designs
for
OBD
selection.
Moreover,
PK
are
usually
available
within
days
after
initial
treatment,
much
faster
than
outcomes.
To
bridge
this
gap,
we
introduce
innovative
model‐assisted
PKBOIN‐12
design,
enhances
BOIN12
by
integrating
information
into
both
algorithm
final
determination
process.
We
further
extend
TITE‐PKBOIN‐12
address
challenges
late‐onset
Simulation
results
demonstrate
that
more
effectively
identifies
allocates
a
greater
number
patients
it
BOIN12.
Additionally,
decreases
probability
selecting
inefficacious
doses
as
excluding
those
low
exposure.
Comprehensive
simulation
studies
sensitivity
analysis
confirm
robustness
various
scenarios.
Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics,
Journal Year:
2024,
Volume and Issue:
unknown, P. 1 - 21
Published: Nov. 16, 2024
Traditional
phase
I
dose
finding
cancer
clinical
trial
designs
aim
to
determine
the
maximum
tolerated
(MTD)
of
investigational
cytotoxic
agent
based
on
a
single
toxicity
outcome,
assuming
monotone
dose-response
relationship.
However,
this
assumption
might
not
always
hold
for
newly
emerging
therapies
such
as
immuno-oncology
and
molecularly
targeted
therapies,
making
conventional
no
longer
appropriate.
To
tackle
issue,
numerous
early
have
been
developed
identify
optimal
biological
(OBD),
which
takes
both
efficacy
outcomes
into
account.
In
article,
we
review
current
model-assisted
designs,
BOIN-ET,
BOIN12,
UBI,
TEPI-2,
PRINTE,
STEIN,
uTPI
OBD
compare
their
operating
characteristics.
Extensive
simulation
studies
case
study
using
CAR
T-cell
therapy
conducted
performance
aforementioned
under
different
possible
relationship
scenarios.
The
results
demonstrate
that
varies
depending
particular
specific
metric
considered.
Based
our
practical
considerations,
BOIN12
outperform
other
from
perspectives.
Japanese Journal of Biometrics,
Journal Year:
2022,
Volume and Issue:
43(1), P. 3 - 36
Published: Jan. 1, 2022
Numerous
model-based
designs
for
dose-finding
have
been
proposed
to
improve
the
phase
I
trials
(e.g.,
increasing
accuracy
identify
maximum
tolerated
dose).
However,
algorithm-based
3+3
design)
are
still
dominantly
used
regardless
of
relatively
poor
performance
due
complexity
implementation
designs.
In
this
review,
we
introduce
model-assisted
that
simplicity
design
and
similar
designs,
which
promising
approaches
transcend
conventional
framework.
addition,
comprehensively
review
expansion
a
complex
area
such
as
developments
in
dual-agent
therapies;
considerations
fast
accrual
issues
or
late-onset
toxicities
would
be
observed
targeted
therapies
immunotherapies;
exploration
optimal
dose
efficacy
safety;
other
toxicity
grades
historical
data).