Published: Jan. 1, 2024

This study explores the electricity consumption patterns in institutional buildings at a university campus Greater Paris, employing time-series analysis to assess effects of major disruptions like COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent energy crisis triggered by war Ukraine. Utilizing dynamic linear modeling, our research achieved Mean Absolute Percentage Error 6.2%, demonstrating model's efficacy capturing complex under fluctuating conditions. We observed 13% reduction usage during initial lockdowns, with varying responses phases due crisis. These results underscore critical role adaptive policies advanced modeling techniques enhancing efficiency resilience educational institutions. By providing detailed insights into factors influencing usage, assists policymakers managers devising robust strategies improve management meet sustainable development goals, particularly response external shocks.

Language: Английский